投資家Akito_iPad
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF(TMF.US$
The scenario I don't want to be number one is the September interest rate cut in 90%
Powell “We haven't cut interest rates yet, Pow”
We “('`)”
If you want to buy something here, you have to have a big nerve!
The scenario I don't want to be number one is the September interest rate cut in 90%
Powell “We haven't cut interest rates yet, Pow”
We “('`)”
If you want to buy something here, you have to have a big nerve!
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投資家Akito_iPad
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$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US$ This is a chart where interest rate cuts are being incorporated little by little. However, the interest rate cut in September is the market forecast, and I don't think bond prices will rise significantly until next July if there are no indicators showing a slowdown in inflation 🤔
① Waiting for weak indicators
② July unemployment rate 4.1% [Sam rule]
③ July interest rate cut [surprise]
First, I think I'll aim for 95.5 dollars while slowly rising from ①. Bond investors are waiting for the Therm Rule to be triggered from ②, and I think that if ①② moves in reverse, the insertion amount will recoil and it will return to square one again 😓
③ The probability is still low, so I would like to slowly collect TMF etc. with dividends 😊
① Waiting for weak indicators
② July unemployment rate 4.1% [Sam rule]
③ July interest rate cut [surprise]
First, I think I'll aim for 95.5 dollars while slowly rising from ①. Bond investors are waiting for the Therm Rule to be triggered from ②, and I think that if ①② moves in reverse, the insertion amount will recoil and it will return to square one again 😓
③ The probability is still low, so I would like to slowly collect TMF etc. with dividends 😊
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![What are the future bonds!?](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/182864816/20240622/1719061470671-random8740-182864816-android-org.jpeg/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
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投資家Akito_iPad
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There is still a possibility that the FRB will raise interest rates, maintaining a bearish attitude towards US bonds - PGIM(some excerpts)
If the core inflation rate continues to rise 0.3% from the previous month, the authorities will lean towards raising interest rates.
The FRB will not be convinced that the policy is “sufficiently suppressive.”
Bond traders are reigniting the US Federal Reserve (FRB) interest rate cut observations, but PGIM fixed income sees that there is still a possibility that the financial authorities will actually lean in the direction of interest rate increases, and maintains a bearish attitude towards US bonds.
If the core inflation rate continues to rise 0.3% from the previous month, the authorities will lean towards raising interest rates.
The FRB will not be convinced that the policy is “sufficiently suppressive.”
Bond traders are reigniting the US Federal Reserve (FRB) interest rate cut observations, but PGIM fixed income sees that there is still a possibility that the financial authorities will actually lean in the direction of interest rate increases, and maintains a bearish attitude towards US bonds.
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投資家Akito_iPad
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It's off the 200-day line!![]()
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投資家Akito_iPad
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF(TMF.US$ As for the 10-year government bond bid, Peter Bookbar, the author of the Book Report, pointed out that “good and reasonable bids continued for many months, but strong demand was finally seen.” “Is the market sniffing out the softening of CPI on the 12th, or are they concerned about economic growth,” he said.
No investors think that interest rates will be cut 3 times per year anymore. What will happen with dot plots?
Recently, I've been buying more money left over from stock trading like a piggy bank. 😀
No investors think that interest rates will be cut 3 times per year anymore. What will happen with dot plots?
Recently, I've been buying more money left over from stock trading like a piggy bank. 😀
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投資家Akito_iPad
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF(TMF.US$ Answer the full core CPI
My TMF, Levanas, and Levafan shine
My TMF, Levanas, and Levafan shine
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投資家Akito_iPad
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投資家Akito_iPad
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$U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield(US10Y.BD$
CPI is going to drop. Well, that's because the prices of various resources, starting with crude oil, have dropped. There, we anticipate a certain decline in interest rates, but it is difficult to think beyond that. I don't know whether the American economy is strong or weak, and there is no guarantee that raw material prices will settle down as they are. In that case, it is difficult to expect interest rates to fall in the long run. As of today, I came to that conclusion.
CPI is going to drop. Well, that's because the prices of various resources, starting with crude oil, have dropped. There, we anticipate a certain decline in interest rates, but it is difficult to think beyond that. I don't know whether the American economy is strong or weak, and there is no guarantee that raw material prices will settle down as they are. In that case, it is difficult to expect interest rates to fall in the long run. As of today, I came to that conclusion.
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