This week is an amazing earnings week, so today I'd like to share my personal opinion on TSLA.
What to expect
・Earnings per share: Expected 62 cents
・Revenue: Expected 24.7 billion 70 million dollars
A year ago, Tesla had EPS of 91 cents and sales of 24.9 billion dollars.
First of all, I'm getting a put spread.
Why options trading? Stock prices actually surged due to previous earnings.
backgrounds
The reason behind the expected decline is a decline in unit sales volume and vehicle prices. Tesla shipped approximately 0.44 million4,000 vehicles in the second quarter at an average prevailing price of 0.04 million2,500 dollars. A year ago, the company shipped approximately 0.46 million6,000 vehicles at an average price of about 0.04 million4,000 dollars.
The continued decline in sales will probably continue until 2025, so there are no indicators of strong performance at all. Take a look at the headline. Musk's Cybertruck is a complete failure. Tesla's semitrailers are a failure. Tesla's roasters have not been sold and will never be. What are his other projects? Hyperloop, solar panel roofing material? It's all a failure.
Measuring
today...
What to expect
・Earnings per share: Expected 62 cents
・Revenue: Expected 24.7 billion 70 million dollars
A year ago, Tesla had EPS of 91 cents and sales of 24.9 billion dollars.
First of all, I'm getting a put spread.
Why options trading? Stock prices actually surged due to previous earnings.
backgrounds
The reason behind the expected decline is a decline in unit sales volume and vehicle prices. Tesla shipped approximately 0.44 million4,000 vehicles in the second quarter at an average prevailing price of 0.04 million2,500 dollars. A year ago, the company shipped approximately 0.46 million6,000 vehicles at an average price of about 0.04 million4,000 dollars.
The continued decline in sales will probably continue until 2025, so there are no indicators of strong performance at all. Take a look at the headline. Musk's Cybertruck is a complete failure. Tesla's semitrailers are a failure. Tesla's roasters have not been sold and will never be. What are his other projects? Hyperloop, solar panel roofing material? It's all a failure.
Measuring
today...
Translated
4
Veteran investor Eric Jackson $NVIDIA(NVDA.US$ They say growth has just begun. He predicts that the company's total market value could double to reach 6 trillion dollars by the end of the year, boosted by strong earnings reports in August or November.
In addition to continued demand for H100 and H200 chips, this outlook hinges on the possibility of new Blackwell chips specialized in artificial intelligence, and is in line with Nvidia founder Jen-Hsun Huang's previous insights on demand trends.
Eric Jackson believes that if NVIDIA's performance is as expected, investors will accept a fairly high price-earnings ratio.
This reality is worrisome for fundamental traders, but it is an exciting prospect for NVDA, and suggests there is potential for significant growth if earnings continue to grow.
In addition to continued demand for H100 and H200 chips, this outlook hinges on the possibility of new Blackwell chips specialized in artificial intelligence, and is in line with Nvidia founder Jen-Hsun Huang's previous insights on demand trends.
Eric Jackson believes that if NVIDIA's performance is as expected, investors will accept a fairly high price-earnings ratio.
This reality is worrisome for fundamental traders, but it is an exciting prospect for NVDA, and suggests there is potential for significant growth if earnings continue to grow.
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16
news
Investors have been forced to make decisions since the beginning of the week over whether US President Biden's withdrawal from the presidential election and his expression of support for Vice President Harris as a candidate to replace himself will increase or decrease the possibility of former President Trump's return.
Effects on market prices
The dollar is strong in financial markets $USD/JPY(USDJPY.FX$ In addition to rising US bond yields and rising banks, healthcare, and energy stocks, it has been assumed that the crypto asset (virtual currency) Bitcoin will rise.
A problem for investors
Now that Mr. Biden has announced his withdrawal, it is a question of whether such deals should continue.
The market may become unstable while trying to determine whether Mr. Harris will win the party's nomination and whether he can gain enough momentum to counter Mr. Trump's lead in opinion polls.
Investors have been forced to make decisions since the beginning of the week over whether US President Biden's withdrawal from the presidential election and his expression of support for Vice President Harris as a candidate to replace himself will increase or decrease the possibility of former President Trump's return.
Effects on market prices
The dollar is strong in financial markets $USD/JPY(USDJPY.FX$ In addition to rising US bond yields and rising banks, healthcare, and energy stocks, it has been assumed that the crypto asset (virtual currency) Bitcoin will rise.
A problem for investors
Now that Mr. Biden has announced his withdrawal, it is a question of whether such deals should continue.
The market may become unstable while trying to determine whether Mr. Harris will win the party's nomination and whether he can gain enough momentum to counter Mr. Trump's lead in opinion polls.
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2
Second quarter sales and profit
$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US$ On Thursday, it was announced that sales and profits for the second quarter exceeded expectations as demand for advanced chips used in artificial intelligence applications continues to rise rapidly.
Here's how TSMC's second quarter results surpassed the London Stock Exchange's consensus forecast:
Sales: 673.5 billion10 million Taiwan dollars (20.8 billion 20 million US dollars) vs. expected 657.5 billion80 million Taiwan dollars
TSMC predicts sales for the 3rd quarter to be 22.4 billion to 23.2 billion US dollars. Sales for the same period last year were 17.3 billion US dollars.
The company reduced the scope of this year's capital budget from 28 billion to 32 billion dollars to 30 billion to 32 billion dollars. Of these, 70 to 80 percent is spent on advanced technology.
Massive demand for artificial intelligence
TSMC's Taiwanese listed stock is this year due to a sharp rise in demand for advanced chips used in artificial intelligence applications...
$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US$ On Thursday, it was announced that sales and profits for the second quarter exceeded expectations as demand for advanced chips used in artificial intelligence applications continues to rise rapidly.
Here's how TSMC's second quarter results surpassed the London Stock Exchange's consensus forecast:
Sales: 673.5 billion10 million Taiwan dollars (20.8 billion 20 million US dollars) vs. expected 657.5 billion80 million Taiwan dollars
TSMC predicts sales for the 3rd quarter to be 22.4 billion to 23.2 billion US dollars. Sales for the same period last year were 17.3 billion US dollars.
The company reduced the scope of this year's capital budget from 28 billion to 32 billion dollars to 30 billion to 32 billion dollars. Of these, 70 to 80 percent is spent on advanced technology.
Massive demand for artificial intelligence
TSMC's Taiwanese listed stock is this year due to a sharp rise in demand for advanced chips used in artificial intelligence applications...
Translated
3
A computer running Windows has crashed due to a product update from information security vendor CrowdStrike.
The Register found that a number of Windows 10 computers crashed, displayed a blue screen of death, and failed to restart.
“BSOD Orgs caused by csagent.sys have occurred extensively and critical services have been shut down. We will issue tickets, but this is a big deal,” one user wrote.
According to the forum, Crowdstrike posted an advisory on a URL containing the phrase “tech-alert-windows-related related-to-falcon-sensor-2024-07-19,” but it is behind a checkout wall that only customers can access.
The screenshot in this post says, “CrowdStrike is aware of reports of crashes related to Falcon Sensors on Windows hosts...
The Register found that a number of Windows 10 computers crashed, displayed a blue screen of death, and failed to restart.
“BSOD Orgs caused by csagent.sys have occurred extensively and critical services have been shut down. We will issue tickets, but this is a big deal,” one user wrote.
According to the forum, Crowdstrike posted an advisory on a URL containing the phrase “tech-alert-windows-related related-to-falcon-sensor-2024-07-19,” but it is behind a checkout wall that only customers can access.
The screenshot in this post says, “CrowdStrike is aware of reports of crashes related to Falcon Sensors on Windows hosts...
Translated
5
Today's Japanese stocks are a great time to buy.
The Nikkei Average continued to drop by ▲ 2.4%, but the cause is clear.
This time it was just that multiple factors overlapped, such as restrictions against China and the appreciation of the Trump yen.
Obviously, it's a short-term event, and there's no problem.
TSMC's financial results were announced in the afternoon, and both sales and profit were record highs.
Disco's financial results after closing are also strong.
NASDAQ futures are already rising.
The Nikkei Average continued to drop by ▲ 2.4%, but the cause is clear.
This time it was just that multiple factors overlapped, such as restrictions against China and the appreciation of the Trump yen.
Obviously, it's a short-term event, and there's no problem.
TSMC's financial results were announced in the afternoon, and both sales and profit were record highs.
Disco's financial results after closing are also strong.
NASDAQ futures are already rising.
Translated
7
A lot of things are on sale, and prices may drop soon, but this is a good opportunity. What stocks would you like to buy cheaply?
・ $Chipotle Mexican Grill(CMG.US$ has fallen sharply from its highest price and is approaching the 200-day moving average.
・ $NVIDIA(NVDA.US$ and TSM have almost reached the 50 EMA, so a rebound is expected as we move towards earnings
MMFI has shown that it is in an adjustment area, so I think there is a possibility that it will fall further in the next few sessions.
$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US$ Financial results will be announced at 3 p.m. What will happen to stocks?
・ $Chipotle Mexican Grill(CMG.US$ has fallen sharply from its highest price and is approaching the 200-day moving average.
・ $NVIDIA(NVDA.US$ and TSM have almost reached the 50 EMA, so a rebound is expected as we move towards earnings
MMFI has shown that it is in an adjustment area, so I think there is a possibility that it will fall further in the next few sessions.
$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US$ Financial results will be announced at 3 p.m. What will happen to stocks?
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If interest rates fall, companies will be able to use more funds for capital investment, and that $NVIDIA(NVDA.US$ It leads to revenue.
In the current scenario, interest rate cuts seem to be viewed as a bearish move.
Was the 2022 crash caused by interest rate hikes?
In the current scenario, interest rate cuts seem to be viewed as a bearish move.
Was the 2022 crash caused by interest rate hikes?
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Bank of America recently raised its target share price for AAPL from $230 to $256.
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