StreetLife
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
It seems like an incredibly dull time will continue until around 3:00 on Thursday. The pollen is also terrible, and being itchy on top of being bored is tough 😓.
It seems like an incredibly dull time will continue until around 3:00 on Thursday. The pollen is also terrible, and being itchy on top of being bored is tough 😓.
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StreetLife
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
The wallet balance is difficult to rise until a clear downward trend occurs. Conversely, if it clearly goes down, it indicates a trend reversal and will go up.
The wallet balance is difficult to rise until a clear downward trend occurs. Conversely, if it clearly goes down, it indicates a trend reversal and will go up.
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StreetLife
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
Good morning! It often feels like prices drop on weekends, but they haven't decreased much from yesterday to this morning.
Good morning! It often feels like prices drop on weekends, but they haven't decreased much from yesterday to this morning.
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StreetLife
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$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(JUN5) (NQmain.US)$
$E-mini S&P 500 Futures(JUN5) (ESmain.US)$
$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
Based on the previous economic Indicators, CPI is gradually declining, employment is also healthy, PPI has remained almost flat compared to the previous month, retail revenue will be reported next week, but regarding retail, various consumer sentiments may have fluctuated due to tariffs, so it might be wise not to over-rely on the most recent data. The finances of American households are stable; hence, regarding consumption, looking at the ISM non-manufacturing numbers, the service industry, which accounts for 70% of the whole, is robust and inflation is calming down, so the possibility of worsening is low. Therefore, the real GDP growth rate is unlikely to show negative growth in the future, and there is no sight of recession, so there are no worries.![]()
Since there is no data indicating a negative surprise for the FOMC, it is not surprising that the market is starting to move in earnest ahead of the FOMC.
The market has already priced in that there will be almost no interest rate cuts, and since Powell has already stated that the economy is strong, I don't think any economic Indicators released afterwards will change that outlook.
$E-mini S&P 500 Futures(JUN5) (ESmain.US)$
$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
Based on the previous economic Indicators, CPI is gradually declining, employment is also healthy, PPI has remained almost flat compared to the previous month, retail revenue will be reported next week, but regarding retail, various consumer sentiments may have fluctuated due to tariffs, so it might be wise not to over-rely on the most recent data. The finances of American households are stable; hence, regarding consumption, looking at the ISM non-manufacturing numbers, the service industry, which accounts for 70% of the whole, is robust and inflation is calming down, so the possibility of worsening is low. Therefore, the real GDP growth rate is unlikely to show negative growth in the future, and there is no sight of recession, so there are no worries.
Since there is no data indicating a negative surprise for the FOMC, it is not surprising that the market is starting to move in earnest ahead of the FOMC.
The market has already priced in that there will be almost no interest rate cuts, and since Powell has already stated that the economy is strong, I don't think any economic Indicators released afterwards will change that outlook.
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StreetLife
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StreetLife
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
$E-mini S&P 500 Futures(JUN5) (ESmain.US)$
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(JUN5) (NQmain.US)$
From my perspective, I am contemplating every day which stock will provide the best return from this big bargain sale festival until the end of the year.![]()
Since the situation is not conducive to a crash, I believe a healthy adjustment is taking place. The fact that a 10% drop has already occurred in the Index indicates that if we endure this and even manage to increase our purchases, we can achieve super returns. Therefore, by selecting and concentrating, the number of stocks in the portfolio has been reduced by half, and the plan is to leave it almost untouched until the second half of the year.![]()
Regarding Bitcoin-related stocks, it seems that everything except leveraged stocks can remain as is until the second half of the year. I think I will consider what happens next based on how much Bitcoin can rise by the end of May.![]()
$E-mini S&P 500 Futures(JUN5) (ESmain.US)$
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(JUN5) (NQmain.US)$
From my perspective, I am contemplating every day which stock will provide the best return from this big bargain sale festival until the end of the year.
Since the situation is not conducive to a crash, I believe a healthy adjustment is taking place. The fact that a 10% drop has already occurred in the Index indicates that if we endure this and even manage to increase our purchases, we can achieve super returns. Therefore, by selecting and concentrating, the number of stocks in the portfolio has been reduced by half, and the plan is to leave it almost untouched until the second half of the year.
Regarding Bitcoin-related stocks, it seems that everything except leveraged stocks can remain as is until the second half of the year. I think I will consider what happens next based on how much Bitcoin can rise by the end of May.
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StreetLife
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
Similar points.
• Countries around the world have started quantitative easing, such as lowering interest rates.
Different points.
The Bitcoin ETF has appeared. The consideration of Shareholding by Institutions is becoming commonplace.
It occurred to me that Institutions probably have a greater influence than individuals now.
In such a context, using the pessimism level of individual investors as an Indicator doesn't seem to hold much meaning. In fact, it appears that many S who sold yesterday were in a state of panic.
Similar points.
• Countries around the world have started quantitative easing, such as lowering interest rates.
Different points.
The Bitcoin ETF has appeared. The consideration of Shareholding by Institutions is becoming commonplace.
It occurred to me that Institutions probably have a greater influence than individuals now.
In such a context, using the pessimism level of individual investors as an Indicator doesn't seem to hold much meaning. In fact, it appears that many S who sold yesterday were in a state of panic.
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StreetLife
liked
$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
Gold prices at $3,000, increasing tenfold over 20 years - "The third wave of wavering U.S. dollar hegemony" - Japan Economic Newspaper.
The rise of Gold reflects the decline in the real value of currency. In essence, it is not that Gold is rising, but rather that the value of currency is declining. Bitcoin, which has a fixed issuance, is believed to be strong 💪.
Gold prices at $3,000, increasing tenfold over 20 years - "The third wave of wavering U.S. dollar hegemony" - Japan Economic Newspaper.
The rise of Gold reflects the decline in the real value of currency. In essence, it is not that Gold is rising, but rather that the value of currency is declining. Bitcoin, which has a fixed issuance, is believed to be strong 💪.
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StreetLife
liked
$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
It seems to have clearly fallen below the 200-day moving average.
During the big crash last August, the deviation from the 200-day moving average reached △20.40%.
Applying it to the current situation, that would be about $66,500. However, even during such a significant crash, the deviation rate only slightly exceeded 20%, so it’s difficult to consider that right now. If we think about △10%, that would be about $75,000. Is that about it?
It seems to have clearly fallen below the 200-day moving average.
During the big crash last August, the deviation from the 200-day moving average reached △20.40%.
Applying it to the current situation, that would be about $66,500. However, even during such a significant crash, the deviation rate only slightly exceeded 20%, so it’s difficult to consider that right now. If we think about △10%, that would be about $75,000. Is that about it?
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StreetLife
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
Generally, when USA bonds fall, the dollar rises, but in the near future (in terms of years), due to credit concerns leading to a decline in USA bonds, the dollar is expected to weaken and Bitcoin is expected to rise. 😃
Generally, when USA bonds fall, the dollar rises, but in the near future (in terms of years), due to credit concerns leading to a decline in USA bonds, the dollar is expected to weaken and Bitcoin is expected to rise. 😃
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