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米半導体が決算を受け、波乱の様相を呈している。決算発表序盤ではTSMCやASMLのガイダンス下振れで大幅に調整したが、4月中旬は急反発した。4月末はAMDの決算を受け、再び反落した。AIブームの恩恵で株高が続いた半導体株にとって、足元の波乱は何を意味するのか。決算内容と相場環境を踏まえながら考察してみたいと思う。
主要半導体株の決算と決算直後の株価反応
SOX指数(フィラデルフィア半導体株価指数)構成銘柄のうち、約7割の企業が5月2日時点で決算発表を終えた。うち時価総額が1,000億ドルを超える主力株の調整後EPS(1当たり利益)を確認してみると、いずれも市場予想を上振れした。
$Micron Technology(MU.US$は決算期が2月・決算発表は3月のため、正確には4月から始まった今回の決算シーズンの該当銘柄でないが、3月末に発表した決算には今年1-2月の業績も含まれているため、併せて載せることにした。マイクロン・テクノロジーは市場予想を大幅に上回る業績を発表した...
SOX指数(フィラデルフィア半導体株価指数)構成銘柄のうち、約7割の企業が5月2日時点で決算発表を終えた。うち時価総額が1,000億ドルを超える主力株の調整後EPS(1当たり利益)を確認してみると、いずれも市場予想を上振れした。
$Micron Technology(MU.US$は決算期が2月・決算発表は3月のため、正確には4月から始まった今回の決算シーズンの該当銘柄でないが、3月末に発表した決算には今年1-2月の業績も含まれているため、併せて載せることにした。マイクロン・テクノロジーは市場予想を大幅に上回る業績を発表した...
![【AIブームはまだ続くのか】 波乱に満ちた半導体株の決算と株価、&エヌビディア](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20240502/96b1664cb384fd8163044b88a39674d5.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![【AIブームはまだ続くのか】 波乱に満ちた半導体株の決算と株価、&エヌビディア](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20240502/1a9b3c8c172442a87df7418041c1e219.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![【AIブームはまだ続くのか】 波乱に満ちた半導体株の決算と株価、&エヌビディア](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20240502/4204192f4dd9c892bd41f0e1aa4c4056.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
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Good morning to all moomoo users!
Here are the key points of this morning's first report.
● [Tokyo Stock Exchange Rate Forecast Range] 37,500 yen - 38,000 yen (closing price 37,552 yen 16 sen on the 23rd)
● The yen hit a low again for the first time in about 34 years against the dollar - heightened sense of caution against intervention
● US comprehensive PMI, lowest level this year - employment shrinks for the first time since 2020
● From January to March, US Tesla saw a decline in sales and profit for the first time in 4 years, and EV sales declined worldwide
● Tesla accelerates launch of models that are easy to obtain, rising 11% after hours even with poor financial results
● GM rose more than 5% outside of settlement hours
● US TI shows bullish sales outlook - suggests easing of sluggish semiconductor demand
● Visa profits increased 17% from January to March, exceeding market expectations - card spending increased
● French luxury goods Kering anticipates sharp decline in profit in the first half - Chinese wealthy people refrain from buying Gucci
-MooMoo News Kathy
Market Overview
In the US stock market on the 23rd, the NY Dow Jones Industrial Average continued to rise for 4 days to 38,503 dollars 69 cents, 263 dollars 71 cents higher than the previous business day. The Nasdaq Composite Stock Price Index was 245.33...
● [Tokyo Stock Exchange Rate Forecast Range] 37,500 yen - 38,000 yen (closing price 37,552 yen 16 sen on the 23rd)
● The yen hit a low again for the first time in about 34 years against the dollar - heightened sense of caution against intervention
● US comprehensive PMI, lowest level this year - employment shrinks for the first time since 2020
● From January to March, US Tesla saw a decline in sales and profit for the first time in 4 years, and EV sales declined worldwide
● Tesla accelerates launch of models that are easy to obtain, rising 11% after hours even with poor financial results
● GM rose more than 5% outside of settlement hours
● US TI shows bullish sales outlook - suggests easing of sluggish semiconductor demand
● Visa profits increased 17% from January to March, exceeding market expectations - card spending increased
● French luxury goods Kering anticipates sharp decline in profit in the first half - Chinese wealthy people refrain from buying Gucci
-MooMoo News Kathy
Market Overview
In the US stock market on the 23rd, the NY Dow Jones Industrial Average continued to rise for 4 days to 38,503 dollars 69 cents, 263 dollars 71 cents higher than the previous business day. The Nasdaq Composite Stock Price Index was 245.33...
Translated
![[Morning Report] Yen hits low against the dollar for the first time in about 34 years Tesla accelerates launch of a model where it is easy to seek stock price increases outside of hours even with dull financial results](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20240424/f66a87989b46d50e31b21dfa065eb599.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![[Morning Report] Yen hits low against the dollar for the first time in about 34 years Tesla accelerates launch of a model where it is easy to seek stock price increases outside of hours even with dull financial results](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20240424/77641172057dc269e6cda377a536c092.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![[Morning Report] Yen hits low against the dollar for the first time in about 34 years Tesla accelerates launch of a model where it is easy to seek stock price increases outside of hours even with dull financial results](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20240424/1713914409076-169536c651.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
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Two companies with important positions in the global semiconductor industryRecently, financial results were announced. It is the only company in the world that manufactures cutting-edge exposure measures $ASML Holding(ASML.US$and the world's largest semiconductor contract manufacturing (foundry) $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US$ that's it.The financial results announcements of both companies were disgusted, and not only stock prices but also the SOX index(Philadelphia Semiconductor Stock Index) tooDeclineI did it. However,Risk-aversion movements that were wary of a sharp rise in US 10-year bond yields also encouraged profit-making salesIt seems that they did it.
This timeWhat was mainly disliked about the financial results of both companiesI would like to take a look at it along with the financial results. Also, both companiesConfirmed the outlook for the semiconductor market in general and demand for AI semiconductors shown at the financial results briefingI decided to try it out.
ASML's largest customer(Bloomberg data...
Translated
![<Semiconductor stocks, footsteps of Cellinmay?! > Decline factors and AI semiconductor demand as seen from TSMC & ASML financial results](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20240419/7533d7c25f4e362dbecc5881bf72b348.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![<Semiconductor stocks, footsteps of Cellinmay?! > Decline factors and AI semiconductor demand as seen from TSMC & ASML financial results](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20240419/5815732f104f2c9ce20a4ffd05d6962a.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![<Semiconductor stocks, footsteps of Cellinmay?! > Decline factors and AI semiconductor demand as seen from TSMC & ASML financial results](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20240419/e8ef79ee4bdedb5224798fdccfe798a0.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
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Good morning to all moomoo users!
Here's an overview of this morning's turnaround. Thank you in advance.![]()
Market Overview
Today's Nikkei Stock Average began at 39056.93 yen, 466.62 yen lower than the previous business day, and the Tokyo Stock Price Index (TOPIX) fell 27.35 points at 2732.29.
Top news
The return to life insurance yen bonds is progressing, is foreign debt investment prudent - management plans announced starting this week
There is a high possibility that life insurance companies will increase their holdings of Japanese government bonds in 2024 in response to the end of the Bank of Japan's negative interest rate policy. While the normalization of monetary policy seems to be progressing cautiously, it seems that investment in ultra-long-term bonds will continue as interest rates rise. Meanwhile, there is a possibility that foreign bonds will increase open foreign bonds while managing exchange risk.
The yen is in the first half of the 153 yen range against the dollar, making a nervous move due to uncertainty surrounding the situation in the Middle East
The yen exchange rate of the Tokyo Foreign Exchange Market on the 15th was 1 dollar = in the first half of the 153 yen range. In response to Iran carrying out an attack on Israel over the weekend, there was a scene where risk-avoiding yen purchases took precedence in early morning transactions. The market has entered a phase of determining the course of the situation in the Middle East...
Market Overview
Today's Nikkei Stock Average began at 39056.93 yen, 466.62 yen lower than the previous business day, and the Tokyo Stock Price Index (TOPIX) fell 27.35 points at 2732.29.
Top news
The return to life insurance yen bonds is progressing, is foreign debt investment prudent - management plans announced starting this week
There is a high possibility that life insurance companies will increase their holdings of Japanese government bonds in 2024 in response to the end of the Bank of Japan's negative interest rate policy. While the normalization of monetary policy seems to be progressing cautiously, it seems that investment in ultra-long-term bonds will continue as interest rates rise. Meanwhile, there is a possibility that foreign bonds will increase open foreign bonds while managing exchange risk.
The yen is in the first half of the 153 yen range against the dollar, making a nervous move due to uncertainty surrounding the situation in the Middle East
The yen exchange rate of the Tokyo Foreign Exchange Market on the 15th was 1 dollar = in the first half of the 153 yen range. In response to Iran carrying out an attack on Israel over the weekend, there was a scene where risk-avoiding yen purchases took precedence in early morning transactions. The market has entered a phase of determining the course of the situation in the Middle East...
Translated
![Starting with the depreciation of the Nikkei average of 466 yen, is the return to life insurance yen bonds progressing, is foreign debt investment cautious - management plans announced starting this week](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181569713/20240415/3c6e92bf8ad64941bc23babd7ff029cf.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![Starting with the depreciation of the Nikkei average of 466 yen, is the return to life insurance yen bonds progressing, is foreign debt investment cautious - management plans announced starting this week](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181569713/20240415/a9572536caad41599bc7a579c45dd7b4.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![Starting with the depreciation of the Nikkei average of 466 yen, is the return to life insurance yen bonds progressing, is foreign debt investment cautious - management plans announced starting this week](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181569713/20240415/34d71ad83e6a4a55ac8c174b08c325ca.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
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Expectations for electric cars, which have been greatly excited, have now slowed globally. The world's major automobile manufacturers have postponed their electric vehicle investment plans one after another, and the United States $Tesla(TSLA.US$It can also be confirmed from changes in stock prices of major EV manufacturers, starting with Since the beginning of the year, $Toyota Motor(TM.US$What is the stock price ofUp close to 40%But what is Tesla's stock priceDecrease of 30% or more year to dateAnd it has been moving in the low range.
The depreciation of the yen and increased production and sales boosted Toyota's counterattack
Toyota's sharp rise has been supported by several factors, such as the depreciation of the yen, growth in production and sales, and a sense that the value of Japanese stocks is undervalued.
First,The depreciation of the yen benefits export-oriented Japanese companies like ToyotaIt's bringing it. Most of Toyota's production costs are in yen, and overseas sales are in local currency, so when the yen depreciates, Toyota's revenue in yen increases, and profit margins increase. The depreciation of the yen gave Toyota products a price advantage in overseas markets and contributed to an increase in unit sales.
Secondly,Manufacturing recovery and consumer preferencesAs a result, Toyota continued to win the title of world automobile sales volume. Last year...
Toyota's sharp rise has been supported by several factors, such as the depreciation of the yen, growth in production and sales, and a sense that the value of Japanese stocks is undervalued.
First,The depreciation of the yen benefits export-oriented Japanese companies like ToyotaIt's bringing it. Most of Toyota's production costs are in yen, and overseas sales are in local currency, so when the yen depreciates, Toyota's revenue in yen increases, and profit margins increase. The depreciation of the yen gave Toyota products a price advantage in overseas markets and contributed to an increase in unit sales.
Secondly,Manufacturing recovery and consumer preferencesAs a result, Toyota continued to win the title of world automobile sales volume. Last year...
Translated
![Is Tesla changing the leading role in the automobile industry again due to the rush to cut target stock prices and the rapid rise in Toyota?](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20240327/fe0a7126a85740e7b120ed3d492511e2.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![Is Tesla changing the leading role in the automobile industry again due to the rush to cut target stock prices and the rapid rise in Toyota?](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20240327/c7aa3d6b870c43fd8a52905bafd20ee5.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![Is Tesla changing the leading role in the automobile industry again due to the rush to cut target stock prices and the rapid rise in Toyota?](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20240327/4ec562e74f694af381fe0970a1545410.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
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Good evening to all Moomoo users!
This is the reading for tonight's NY stock.![]()
Market Overview
The US market started, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which consists of excellent stocks, rose 179.65 dollars to 39461.98 dollars, and the Nasdaq Composite Stock Price Index, which has a high high-tech stock ratio, rose 109.06 points to 16424.76. The S&P 500 average, which consists of stocks of 500 companies, which are large US stocks, rose 22.73 points to 5226.31.
$Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US$
$Nasdaq Composite Index(.IXIC.US$
$S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US$
Top news
NVIDIA's stock price has skyrocketed, and the bullies are uneasy -- will this include several years' worth of profit
US semiconductor manufacturers that occupy an overwhelming market share in semiconductors for artificial intelligence (AI), $NVIDIA(NVDA.US$The sharp rise in stock prices from the beginning of 2023 was so rapid and strong that even bullish investors can't help but feel uneasy about the extent to which there is room for growth left. 55 since the beginning of last year...
Market Overview
The US market started, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which consists of excellent stocks, rose 179.65 dollars to 39461.98 dollars, and the Nasdaq Composite Stock Price Index, which has a high high-tech stock ratio, rose 109.06 points to 16424.76. The S&P 500 average, which consists of stocks of 500 companies, which are large US stocks, rose 22.73 points to 5226.31.
$Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US$
$Nasdaq Composite Index(.IXIC.US$
$S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US$
Top news
NVIDIA's stock price has skyrocketed, and the bullies are uneasy -- will this include several years' worth of profit
US semiconductor manufacturers that occupy an overwhelming market share in semiconductors for artificial intelligence (AI), $NVIDIA(NVDA.US$The sharp rise in stock prices from the beginning of 2023 was so rapid and strong that even bullish investors can't help but feel uneasy about the extent to which there is room for growth left. 55 since the beginning of last year...
Translated
![US Market Outlook: NVIDIA Stock Prices Soar, Bulls Are Uneasy - Whether Years of Profit Are Included? The Dow Average Starts at $179 Higher](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20240327/5e9d0b38c80b56997764d313e1da22c8.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![US Market Outlook: NVIDIA Stock Prices Soar, Bulls Are Uneasy - Whether Years of Profit Are Included? The Dow Average Starts at $179 Higher](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20240327/0e8787ca99f410a5565110f861df508f.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![US Market Outlook: NVIDIA Stock Prices Soar, Bulls Are Uneasy - Whether Years of Profit Are Included? The Dow Average Starts at $179 Higher](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20240326/1711409053481-dd1995229e.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
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