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In July 2024, the number of non-agricultural sector employees (employment statistics) fell below market expectations, causing the unemployment rate to rise to 4.3%. Accuracy rate of 100% for predicting the USA economic recessionofSarm economic recession indicatoris Lit up at 0.53 in July.This has led to a growing perception that America has entered a recession, and the market has shifted to risk-off mode. (*The Sam recessions index, devised by former FRB economist Sam, known as the 'Sam Rule,' suggests a recession when the 3-month moving average of the unemployment rate exceeds the 3-month moving average minimum of the past 12 months by 0.50 percentage points, with a historical recession prediction accuracy of 100%. The US unemployment rate is announced every first Friday of the month.)
Subsequently, the unemployment rate improved in August and September, with the Sam recession index decreasing from 0.57 in August to 0.50 in September.Ease worries about economic downturnThe market sentiment has turned into a risk-on environment with high stock prices and low bond yields.
Tonight, the employment statistics for October are finally scheduled to be released, with a high likelihood of the 'Saam Rule' being lifted. The American economy is moving away from concerns of a recession and the good economic conditions continue...
Subsequently, the unemployment rate improved in August and September, with the Sam recession index decreasing from 0.57 in August to 0.50 in September.Ease worries about economic downturnThe market sentiment has turned into a risk-on environment with high stock prices and low bond yields.
Tonight, the employment statistics for October are finally scheduled to be released, with a high likelihood of the 'Saam Rule' being lifted. The American economy is moving away from concerns of a recession and the good economic conditions continue...
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The Bank of Japan monetary policy meeting, which is the first since the July meeting that led to the "Black Monday of Reiwa," will be held on the 19th and 20th. The decision will be announced around noon on the 20th, followed by a press conference by Governor Kuroda in the afternoon.
The previous July meeting became an unforgettable event for stock investors.In addition to the second interest rate hike since March, Governor Kuroda mentioned the possibility of further rate hikes within the year in the press conference after the meeting.Giving a surprise to the marketprompting a sharp appreciation of the yen and contributing to the "Black Monday of Reiwa" on August 5th。
It is expected that there will be no policy changes at the September meeting, but利上げペースの加速に関する植田総裁らの発言次第ではドル円相場や株価に再び大きなインパクトを与え、二番底へと向かう可能性も否定できない。米国の利下げに関する思惑で足元の為替レートが円高に振れていることも前回の“悪夢”と重なる。株式投資家も固唾をのんで見守る緊迫の重要イベントになりそうだ。
令和のブラックマンデー招いた前回の7月会合
At the previous July meeting, many market participants' expectations were that the June meeting would result...
The previous July meeting became an unforgettable event for stock investors.In addition to the second interest rate hike since March, Governor Kuroda mentioned the possibility of further rate hikes within the year in the press conference after the meeting.Giving a surprise to the marketprompting a sharp appreciation of the yen and contributing to the "Black Monday of Reiwa" on August 5th。
It is expected that there will be no policy changes at the September meeting, but利上げペースの加速に関する植田総裁らの発言次第ではドル円相場や株価に再び大きなインパクトを与え、二番底へと向かう可能性も否定できない。米国の利下げに関する思惑で足元の為替レートが円高に振れていることも前回の“悪夢”と重なる。株式投資家も固唾をのんで見守る緊迫の重要イベントになりそうだ。
令和のブラックマンデー招いた前回の7月会合
At the previous July meeting, many market participants' expectations were that the June meeting would result...
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Basically, we only buy shares of Nippon Coke Industry for a short period of time, so we don't buy stocks worth hundreds to thousands of yen or more per share.
(^^
(^^
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I have new entries in my portfolio.
Other stocks, like my friends.
Just like me, diligently.
Serious and steady for the medium to long term.
Not moving much without interesting stories.
$MonoAI Technology (5240.JP)$
It was nice to buy it at the beginning of the adventure, but
Today, feeling nervous.
Price movements are too stimulating.
I feel like I'm about to have a nosebleed.
One of the stocks I've been monitoring for a while.
Deciding on the upside and downside, saying goodbye.
Other stocks, like my friends.
Just like me, diligently.
Serious and steady for the medium to long term.
Not moving much without interesting stories.
$MonoAI Technology (5240.JP)$
It was nice to buy it at the beginning of the adventure, but
Today, feeling nervous.
Price movements are too stimulating.
I feel like I'm about to have a nosebleed.
One of the stocks I've been monitoring for a while.
Deciding on the upside and downside, saying goodbye.
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