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Good morning, MOOMOO users!
The key points of this morning's report are here.![]()
● [Tokyo Stock Market Expected Range] ¥8,900 - ¥9,300 (closing price on the 25th: ¥9,130.43)
● Is this year's Santa Rally stronger than usual?
● In 2024, there are 4 stocks aiming to surpass NVIDIA.
● Today's yen exchange rate outlook: The dollar-yen is mainly moving around the 157 yen level.
● Kobayashi Pharmaceutical: Oasis Management increases shareholding from 7.54% to 10.10%.
● Stocks that were bought the previous day! Total scenario includes Zalai, Nissan, F Tech, Toyota, and more.
MOOMOO News Julie
Market Overview
◇On the 25th, the US market was closed for 'Christmas'. In the morning of the 26th, the USD/JPY was in the upper 157 yen range.
◇On the 26th, in the Tokyo stock market, amidst conflicting views of strength and weakness, the Nikkei average stock price is expected to show a narrow range near the previous day's closing price.
Top News
Is this year's Santa rally stronger than usual?
◇The US market was closed on the 25th for "Christmas," but on the 24th (shortened trading day), the S&P 500 index rose by 1.1%. The rate of change on the day before the Christmas holiday in the past 5 years ranged from -0.2% to +0.6...
● [Tokyo Stock Market Expected Range] ¥8,900 - ¥9,300 (closing price on the 25th: ¥9,130.43)
● Is this year's Santa Rally stronger than usual?
● In 2024, there are 4 stocks aiming to surpass NVIDIA.
● Today's yen exchange rate outlook: The dollar-yen is mainly moving around the 157 yen level.
● Kobayashi Pharmaceutical: Oasis Management increases shareholding from 7.54% to 10.10%.
● Stocks that were bought the previous day! Total scenario includes Zalai, Nissan, F Tech, Toyota, and more.
MOOMOO News Julie
Market Overview
◇On the 25th, the US market was closed for 'Christmas'. In the morning of the 26th, the USD/JPY was in the upper 157 yen range.
◇On the 26th, in the Tokyo stock market, amidst conflicting views of strength and weakness, the Nikkei average stock price is expected to show a narrow range near the previous day's closing price.
Top News
Is this year's Santa rally stronger than usual?
◇The US market was closed on the 25th for "Christmas," but on the 24th (shortened trading day), the S&P 500 index rose by 1.1%. The rate of change on the day before the Christmas holiday in the past 5 years ranged from -0.2% to +0.6...
Translated
![Is this year's Santa Rally stronger than usual? In 2024, there are 4 stocks that are expected to surpass NVIDIA.](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20241226/web-1735164503593-UcOSLF9xrM.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![Is this year's Santa Rally stronger than usual? In 2024, there are 4 stocks that are expected to surpass NVIDIA.](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20241226/web-1735166498470-efO0IEwnHk.jpeg/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![Is this year's Santa Rally stronger than usual? In 2024, there are 4 stocks that are expected to surpass NVIDIA.](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20241226/web-1735166967074-Uxl03TAhAD.jpeg/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
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Hello MOOMOO users, good morning!
Here is a summary of the morning opening. Thank you.
Market Overview
On today's Tokyo stock market, the Nikkei average stock price started at 39,040.72 yen, up 338.82 yen from the previous trading day, and the Tokyo Stock Price Index (TOPIX) started at 2720.32, up 18.33 points. The Nikkei average, in addition to the rise in US stocks, also saw buying dominance due to a rebound from a decline exceeding 1,100 yen in the last six days on a closing price basis. However, this week, with foreign investors entering Christmas holidays, it may be difficult for actual demand buying to increase overall trading volume.
Top News
In 2024, it will be the 'year of Bitcoin', what virtual currencies will attract attention next year?
$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$In 2024, the successful launch of the first US-listed exchange-traded fund (ETF) and the unexpected support for digital assets by the future President Donald Trump made it mainstream. Some investors are skeptical that small tokens like Solana and XRP will follow the same path.
US FX Market Summary: Temporarily softened to 155.90 yen levels in response to lower-than-expected US PCE.
...
Market Overview
On today's Tokyo stock market, the Nikkei average stock price started at 39,040.72 yen, up 338.82 yen from the previous trading day, and the Tokyo Stock Price Index (TOPIX) started at 2720.32, up 18.33 points. The Nikkei average, in addition to the rise in US stocks, also saw buying dominance due to a rebound from a decline exceeding 1,100 yen in the last six days on a closing price basis. However, this week, with foreign investors entering Christmas holidays, it may be difficult for actual demand buying to increase overall trading volume.
Top News
In 2024, it will be the 'year of Bitcoin', what virtual currencies will attract attention next year?
$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$In 2024, the successful launch of the first US-listed exchange-traded fund (ETF) and the unexpected support for digital assets by the future President Donald Trump made it mainstream. Some investors are skeptical that small tokens like Solana and XRP will follow the same path.
US FX Market Summary: Temporarily softened to 155.90 yen levels in response to lower-than-expected US PCE.
...
Translated
![Nikkei average marks a rebound start for the first time in 7 days, driven by significant gains in US stocks. Honda and Nissan announced today that they have entered full-fledged discussions on management integration.](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181569713/20241223/d57da4f1d2e163604d3d876b3f3f740e.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![Nikkei average marks a rebound start for the first time in 7 days, driven by significant gains in US stocks. Honda and Nissan announced today that they have entered full-fledged discussions on management integration.](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181569713/20241223/86424a8b05c9b1f2dee5e5e8a1104d39.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![Nikkei average marks a rebound start for the first time in 7 days, driven by significant gains in US stocks. Honda and Nissan announced today that they have entered full-fledged discussions on management integration.](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181569713/20241223/31b82b3d64506bb5a79b0fedad305fe0.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
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$Micron Technology (MU.US)$After financial results were announced on 6/26, stock prices plummeted 8% due to overtime trading. In response to it, $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$It also fell 2% due to overtime trading, and semiconductors generally had a sales advantage.
Micron Technology, a leading semiconductor memory companyisHBM is essential in AI data centersIn the (high bandwidth memory) market3rd place in the world market share(1st place is SK Hynix, 2nd place is Samsung Electronics)It has a high level of attention as an AI-related brand. Micron and $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$There are also analysts who evaluate it along with NVIDIA, which is representative of the AI boom. The analyst said that both companies can acquire positions as AI leaders similar to NVIDIA, and 3 companies“AI 3 Musketeers”It's called.
Also,Micron is the “HBM3E...” to be mounted on NVIDIA's AI semiconductor “H200” GPU in February this year
Translated
![Why did Micron plummet 8%? Take NVIDIA with you too! A chance to buy in the spotlight?](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181000001/20240627/1719472898631-baafb9983d.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![Why did Micron plummet 8%? Take NVIDIA with you too! A chance to buy in the spotlight?](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181000001/20240627/1719473088751-e6c0dc8f1c.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![Why did Micron plummet 8%? Take NVIDIA with you too! A chance to buy in the spotlight?](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181000001/20240627/1719474541385-b86387fcdb.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$After reaching an all-time high on June 18th on a closing basis, it fell and by the 24th, it had declined by 13%.This sudden drop, does it signal the end of the AI boom, or is it simply a speed adjustment?.To explore the answer, let's consider the real selling factors. I also want to confirm the downside medium..Let's examine the true selling factors to find out. I also want to check the downside medium.I think.
Selling factor.
The reasons for selling NVIDIA this time mainly include the following three.
1) The upward momentum was too fast.
2) Sector rotation.
3) Supply and demand factors
1) The upward pace was too fast
When I checked the stock price of NVIDIA and the 200-day moving average, both continued to trend upwards. However,the stock price's upward pace was too fast, so the deviation ratio from the 200-day moving average widened.When it reached its high on June 18th, the deviation ratio reached 98%. Based on past cases, When the deviation ratio approaches 100%, the stock price either stalls or adjusts..
2) Sector rotation
When we look at the US market after NVIDIA's stock correction on June 18th, The aspect of sector rotationshowed a rise. In the industry-specific rise and fall rates of the S&P500 index...
The reasons for selling NVIDIA this time mainly include the following three.
1) The upward momentum was too fast.
2) Sector rotation.
3) Supply and demand factors
1) The upward pace was too fast
When I checked the stock price of NVIDIA and the 200-day moving average, both continued to trend upwards. However,the stock price's upward pace was too fast, so the deviation ratio from the 200-day moving average widened.When it reached its high on June 18th, the deviation ratio reached 98%. Based on past cases, When the deviation ratio approaches 100%, the stock price either stalls or adjusts..
2) Sector rotation
When we look at the US market after NVIDIA's stock correction on June 18th, The aspect of sector rotationshowed a rise. In the industry-specific rise and fall rates of the S&P500 index...
Translated
![Nvidia dropped 13%! What is the real selling factor? Where is the lower limit?](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20240621/1718925184711-7a52e56441.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![Nvidia dropped 13%! What is the real selling factor? Where is the lower limit?](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181000001/20240625/1719303680346-16a4dc7d61.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![Nvidia dropped 13%! What is the real selling factor? Where is the lower limit?](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181000001/20240625/1719303718325-9862bf326e.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
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