Chairman Powell of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) avoided presenting specific guidance on when to cut interest rates for the first time on the 2nd,“dovish”It seems to show such an attitude. Chairman Powell also revealed that there has been considerable progress in the Federal Reserve lowering the inflation rate to policy targets.
Overall, more than half of financial institutionsThe first rate cut will be in SeptemberI anticipate that.
CitigroupInterest rate cuts of 25 bp in September, November, and December, respectivelyI'm predicting it. In June, the bank revised downward its previous forecast, which had been to cut interest rates 4 times from July. The main indicator that the bank is paying attention to is the unemployment rate, which rose moderately from 3.9% the previous month to 4% in May. Also, the inflation rate is expected to cool down in the next few months.
Similar to Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and Nomura Securities also anticipate that the first rate cuts will be in September.
JPMorgan, which has a hawkish stance, predicts that the first rate cut will be in November since labor market momentum continues to be strong. The bank changed the number of interest rate cuts from 3 to 1 this year, but the employment situation is sluggish, and interest rate cuts took a few months...

Even people who aren't really interested in current affairs recentlyJapanese and US stock prices hit record highsHave you ever seen the news that they did it?
Right now,The Japanese and US stock markets are on an upward trend and hit record highs many timesI'm doing it. particularlyJapanese stocks since the beginning of February were finally able to surpass the highest value of the Nikkei Stock Average, which had not been surpassed since the bubble period, after 34 years! Also, in March, it was possible to break through 40,000 yen for the first time。
What is driving the recent stock prices in Japan and the US is quiteArtificial intelligence (AI) and semiconductorsThat's it. As shown by the high level of attention paid to the generative AI “ChatGPT,” AI is expected to drastically change our business and life in the future.The fields where AI can play an active role, such as autonomous driving, robots, space-related matters, medical care, etc., are expanding infinitelyIt can also be said.
andDemand for semiconductors, which are essential for AI development, is also rapidly increasingI'm doing it.The entire stock market is now movingWithin the AI/semiconductor sector, which seems to beSome stocks with the most momentumIf you hold it down, it's great for grasping stock market trends...

Even though I'm guessing the financial results.
The stop became high for a moment, then returned to normal the next day.
The growth index is negative even though Nikkei 225 has gone up like this...