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This week's points
Are Japanese stocks turbulent this week? Market interests include the Rice Producer Price Index (PPI), the US Consumer Price Index (CPI), and US retail salesGathered in economic indicators. Currently, in response to economic indicators suggesting labor market relaxationExpectations for interest rate cuts are getting stronger again. If the price index also falls, the US interest rate cut scenario will strengthen, and US stocks are expected to rise, which will be positive for Japanese stocks. Meanwhile, a sense of caution against additional interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan is smoldering, and even when stock prices fall due to strong US indicators, etc., there is speculation that the share buybacks announced during the financial season will now enter the implementation phase and support lower prices.
Domestically, in response to Bank of Japan Governor Ueda Kazuo's remarks in his lecture and the main opinions of the Bank of Japan meetings,Speculation about additional interest rate hikes lurks. Also, it is conspicuous that domestic companies' financial results for the fiscal year ending 2014/3 are generally strong up to this point,There are many companies that give cautious numbers when it comes to earnings forecasts for the current fiscal year、There are few views in the market that positive surprises are strong、Expectations as a catalyst for stock appreciation are scarce. It is regarded as a safe range, including shareholder returns, and “stock prices are...
Are Japanese stocks turbulent this week? Market interests include the Rice Producer Price Index (PPI), the US Consumer Price Index (CPI), and US retail salesGathered in economic indicators. Currently, in response to economic indicators suggesting labor market relaxationExpectations for interest rate cuts are getting stronger again. If the price index also falls, the US interest rate cut scenario will strengthen, and US stocks are expected to rise, which will be positive for Japanese stocks. Meanwhile, a sense of caution against additional interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan is smoldering, and even when stock prices fall due to strong US indicators, etc., there is speculation that the share buybacks announced during the financial season will now enter the implementation phase and support lower prices.
Domestically, in response to Bank of Japan Governor Ueda Kazuo's remarks in his lecture and the main opinions of the Bank of Japan meetings,Speculation about additional interest rate hikes lurks. Also, it is conspicuous that domestic companies' financial results for the fiscal year ending 2014/3 are generally strong up to this point,There are many companies that give cautious numbers when it comes to earnings forecasts for the current fiscal year、There are few views in the market that positive surprises are strong、Expectations as a catalyst for stock appreciation are scarce. It is regarded as a safe range, including shareholder returns, and “stock prices are...
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This article uses automatic translation for some of its parts
The fundamentals of AI-related stocks will drive further big tech performance
● While investors are closely watching the financial results announcements of approximately 180 S&P 500 companies, including major high-tech companies, they are also paying attention to geopolitical tension in the Middle East.
● As demand for AI expands and contributes greatly to the profits of high-tech companies, there is a possibility that global data center capital investment in 2024 will be underestimated at 300 billion US dollars.
● Despite recent sales, valuations in the tech sector are seen as attractive. Since the current predicted PER for Big Tech is still low, there is a possibility that it will exceed expectations.
Is the fall in semiconductor stocks not over yet?
● Semiconductor stocks have skyrocketed since the beginning of this year. Even after the recent decline, the year-to-date increase rate has exceeded 20%. Valuations are also extremely expensive, and PER (TTM, trailing twelve months) for March has reached 56 times. In addition to these factors, interest rate increases due to higher-than-expected inflation and geopolitical concerns...
The fundamentals of AI-related stocks will drive further big tech performance
● While investors are closely watching the financial results announcements of approximately 180 S&P 500 companies, including major high-tech companies, they are also paying attention to geopolitical tension in the Middle East.
● As demand for AI expands and contributes greatly to the profits of high-tech companies, there is a possibility that global data center capital investment in 2024 will be underestimated at 300 billion US dollars.
● Despite recent sales, valuations in the tech sector are seen as attractive. Since the current predicted PER for Big Tech is still low, there is a possibility that it will exceed expectations.
Is the fall in semiconductor stocks not over yet?
● Semiconductor stocks have skyrocketed since the beginning of this year. Even after the recent decline, the year-to-date increase rate has exceeded 20%. Valuations are also extremely expensive, and PER (TTM, trailing twelve months) for March has reached 56 times. In addition to these factors, interest rate increases due to higher-than-expected inflation and geopolitical concerns...
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Major US EVs $Tesla(TSLA.US$Is4/24 5:00 Japan timeupon2024 Q1 financial results are scheduled to be announced。
According to market consensus, Tesla's first quarter sales compared to the same period last year$22.521 billion, down 3.46%, EPS compared to the same period last year$0.44, down 39.48%It is expected.
Tesla in 2024 had a rough start. A decrease in the number of car deliveries was expected to drag profits, and intentions such as personnel cuts due to sluggish demand and intensifying competition were also conveyed. Due to a series of bad news in recent months, Tesla's stock price has fallen by nearly 40% year to date, making it the worst performing major stock this year.
Due to the decline in demand for electric vehicles in general and the intensification of competition from China, the company's quarterly profit declined 40% from the same period last year in the 23/Q4 financial results reported in January, and sales growth also stopped at 3%, which is lower than expected. Also, the number of car deliveries in the first quarter, which was revealed at the beginning of the month, declined sharply compared to the same period last year, which is a nightmare figure for the company. The EV giants are facing a difficult year.
Slowing EV demand and shrinking profit margins
The number of car deliveries for the first quarter announced by Tesla on the 2nd of this monthSame year as last year...
According to market consensus, Tesla's first quarter sales compared to the same period last year$22.521 billion, down 3.46%, EPS compared to the same period last year$0.44, down 39.48%It is expected.
Tesla in 2024 had a rough start. A decrease in the number of car deliveries was expected to drag profits, and intentions such as personnel cuts due to sluggish demand and intensifying competition were also conveyed. Due to a series of bad news in recent months, Tesla's stock price has fallen by nearly 40% year to date, making it the worst performing major stock this year.
Due to the decline in demand for electric vehicles in general and the intensification of competition from China, the company's quarterly profit declined 40% from the same period last year in the 23/Q4 financial results reported in January, and sales growth also stopped at 3%, which is lower than expected. Also, the number of car deliveries in the first quarter, which was revealed at the beginning of the month, declined sharply compared to the same period last year, which is a nightmare figure for the company. The EV giants are facing a difficult year.
Slowing EV demand and shrinking profit margins
The number of car deliveries for the first quarter announced by Tesla on the 2nd of this monthSame year as last year...
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TSMC and ASML declined after financial results, and the SOX index also declined
Two companies with important positions in the global semiconductor industryRecently, financial results were announced. It is the only company in the world that manufactures cutting-edge exposure measures $ASML Holding(ASML.US$and the world's largest semiconductor contract manufacturing (foundry) $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US$ that's it.The financial results announcements of both companies were disgusted, and not only stock prices but also the SOX index(Philadelphia Semiconductor Stock Index) tooDeclineI did it. However,Risk-aversion movements that were wary of a sharp rise in US 10-year bond yields also encouraged profit-making salesIt seems that they did it.
This timeWhat was mainly disliked about the financial results of both companiesI would like to take a look at it along with the financial results. Also, both companiesConfirmed the outlook for the semiconductor market in general and demand for AI semiconductors shown at the financial results briefingI decided to try it out.
ASML
ASML's largest customer(Bloomberg data...
Two companies with important positions in the global semiconductor industryRecently, financial results were announced. It is the only company in the world that manufactures cutting-edge exposure measures $ASML Holding(ASML.US$and the world's largest semiconductor contract manufacturing (foundry) $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US$ that's it.The financial results announcements of both companies were disgusted, and not only stock prices but also the SOX index(Philadelphia Semiconductor Stock Index) tooDeclineI did it. However,Risk-aversion movements that were wary of a sharp rise in US 10-year bond yields also encouraged profit-making salesIt seems that they did it.
This timeWhat was mainly disliked about the financial results of both companiesI would like to take a look at it along with the financial results. Also, both companiesConfirmed the outlook for the semiconductor market in general and demand for AI semiconductors shown at the financial results briefingI decided to try it out.
ASML
ASML's largest customer(Bloomberg data...
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$Tesla(TSLA.US$
If it were to take another 2 years or so related to AI...
I think it will be the last time to buy in a few years, but what about everyone?
If it were to take another 2 years or so related to AI...
I think it will be the last time to buy in a few years, but what about everyone?
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No need to sell this great technology!! Good news will come from inside us.
No need to sell this great technology!! Good news will come from inside us.
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