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普通のエビ Male ID: 182945580
先に言っておきますが掌バンバン返します
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    $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
    Feeling bearish, I have temporarily taken profits on leverage trading for ALAB, MU, LLY, MDB, BTC, and other altcoins.
    If it continues to rise like this, we will go until the end of December with the remaining position, taking profit at both the beginning and the end.
    I have completely taken profits in GOOGL.
    The others are on hold, right.
    Translated
    $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
    As of 0:00 Japan time, nasdaq is bearish on technology other than semiconductors. Today's main players, such as TSMC, continue to rise even in the early stages of the market, while NVDA briefly updated its all-time high and then declined. Will it look up again? 📈
    The recent financial earnings in general were good, with gold trading at high levels. Yields increased, but stock prices showed no reaction at that time.
    On the 4-hour chart of BTC, it rebounded back to RSI 61.5 after the death cross, while MACD shows a death cross. The chart pattern appears to be a bull flag. There is a possibility of being pushed up there as the cloud, which was far below, is rising.
    On the daily chart, both RSI and MACD have been maintained after the golden cross, and RSI retraced back to 65.
    Hmm... the assessment materials show mixed strength and weakness, but maybe I've been a bit too cautious... There also seems to be a high probability of being supported at the previous high of 66,498.
    So, instead of taking profit at the market price, I will raise the stop-loss (profit-taking limit) line and hold for now!
    Translated
    Change in perspective and tactics.
    普通のエビ commented on
    $Micron Technology (MU.US)$
    To succeed in stocks, perhaps it is important not to worry about the details?
    It is a famous story that someone who left a share of Coca-Cola stock unattended became a millionaire.
    nvidia also had times when its stock price was just a few dollars and not considered. Considering the subsequent stock splits, it has now become incredibly valuable.
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    $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
    When nasdaq drops after the opening, especially around TSMC, how will it move during the trading session? 📈
    If it seems visibly advantageous to take profits, I think it's a good idea to take profits on leveraged positions of BTC and other virtual currency, at least around 50-75%. 💰
    I think the reason why the 10-year yield is rising is the same logic as October 4th, so I am not concerned this time.
    Translated
    普通のエビ commented on
    $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
    30-minute chart again.
    When I woke up, I was still fighting the support line.
    You spend more time in battle than at Sekigahara, my friend...
    Once it falls from the ultra-short-term consolidation, the return is remarkable.
    However, if this consolidation exists (laughing), the conclusion will be reached in about 1 more hour... Usually, it will break through upwards.
    After that, praying that there won't be a sudden drop in TSMC earnings.
    Translated
    Are you still fighting, haha.
    6
    $Micron Technology (MU.US)$
    It's strong, huh? Apparently they really want to create a head and shoulders pattern no matter what, haha.
    Personally, I have the assumption that the limit of the bullish trend based on the date is until around 10/29, so there are only about 9 more market sessions from now on. 💦
    If we assume the formation of a head and shoulders pattern and expect further growth afterwards, we need to see an increase of 8% to 10% in the next 3 days to establish the head and shoulders pattern 📈 It's just that Micron is strong right now, so maybe it's not impossible... I guess I don't know, haha. However, the unchanged perspective from the upside.
    If there are any concerns, it's like there's a bearish divergence showing up on RSI between the day before yesterday and today, but it's not too obvious, so I don't think you need to worry too much about it, 😄
    If you can make it until the establishment and subsequent growth, I think the resistance line of the current triangle consolidation will turn into support.
    In order to do that, the key is whether you can overlook today's TSMC earnings!
    I think this will significantly change MU's profit margin until the end of the year!
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    $MongoDB (MDB.US)$
    A black three soldiers pattern has formed, right? 💦
    In the short term, it seems to be moving in an upward channel. Tentatively, Elliott is in the middle of the 4th wave in the short term, and in the middle of the 3rd wave in the medium term. 📈
    On the left side, 12345 represents the medium-term 1st wave, and the correction of ABC represents the 2nd wave, which has led to the current situation. That's the idea.
    However, in this case, if the short-term 5th wave does not extend significantly, I think there is a possibility that it will break below the peak of the medium-term 1st wave at 300 during the subsequent correction. So, in that case, the medium-term Elliott wave would collapse. 💦. I think there needs to be a minimum of 5 waves crossing the channel at least to validate it as a Elliott wave chart... It seems difficult, right? 💦
    Well, it is common to have zigzag patterns within the channel, regardless of Elliott or any crap, lol.
    By the way, there is another short-term Elliott pattern, so see below ↓
    In this case, this is a natural and coherent explanation... I'm starting to worry if I'm not under confirmation bias myself 💦
    In this case, considering a correction of the 4th wave from the end of October to early November.
    Looking forward to checking the answers together!
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    $Astera Labs (ALAB.US)$
    You've made a comeback, haven't you? ✨
    It bounced a little above Fibonacci 0.5, so I understand the sense of satisfaction, but I'm a little concerned about the short daily range. Well, considering that the daily range of the rise is also short, it's okay.
    The limit order only hit 63, not 60... Well, if it continues to rise, it's good to buy back at about 8% cheaper as a dip buy.
    However, the RSI is still high... This is the most concerning part.
    If it continues to rise like this, Elliott's 5th wave seems highly probable~ If it breaks through the short-term channel of the red line and surpasses the recent high of 70.74, I also think that is almost certain.
    So, how high will it go? Considering that this time it's not an overwhelming rise, I think it might reach around 77-81. Hmm, in some cases, it could also go down to 73...
    Therefore, as an exit strategy,
    Half profit-taking at 73, full profit-taking at 77 while adjusting based on the daily range, and making changes accordingly 💡
    If TSMC collapses, it's all over 💦
    Translated
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    $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
    The ↑ is uncommonly on a 30-minute chart.
    In the ultra-short term, it is in a triangular consolidation.
    Temporarily crossing or returning to the medium-term support line, despite a significant retreat on the first attempt, seeing the momentary breakthrough and current consolidation for the next (around 70,000) seems to be forming a foothold.
    For now, congratulations! 🈁
    I think that if this area strengthens, next will be ETH at 2800 and SOL at 163. As for BNB, who knows! 😂
    Depending on TSMC tomorrow, it may or may not dominate for three days!
    Translated
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    $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
    Yesterday, the market dropped sharply, but it seems to be recovering. ❤️‍🩹
    ASML, which announced earnings yesterday, well... it wasn't good, huh. 💦
    As a company directly impacted by china's semiconductor export restrictions, this year's financial results have been consistently poor. It's abnormal that despite such poor financial results, it was initially positive year-to-date.
    The chart below shows the daily chart of ASML. The part marked with 'E' is the date of the earnings announcement.
    Of course, I believe that many people are aware of this, so I conclude that the current decline is an excessive reaction similar to August 5th.
    If TSMC falls hard tomorrow, it won't be a temporary situation, so I think yesterday's low was due to caution as well.
    In other words, viewing it as a buying opportunity, I have been increasing my positions in companies like GOOGL and ALAB.
    For a while, I think the transition will be more driven by momentum than technicals, whether it's up or down.
    Translated
    It's too early to determine a decline.
    It's too early to determine a decline.