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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
Conversely, it's scary that all states would approve it.
US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Monitor
Conversely, it's scary that all states would approve it.
US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Monitor
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普通じゃないエビ
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
Hello. This is Piru.
Today, I would like to re-post part of what I wrote before.I have partially reposted "[Analysis Report] Turbulent February. When did the downward trend begin? Let's analyze it using Dow Theory."I would be happy if those who are feeling down due to the decline could read it. ☺️
【Reposting part】
Do you think there will be a bubble collapse by the end of February or March? Indeed, after the halving, it's said that about a year of a bubble period follows. However, will this time be different and result in a bubble collapse just within that period? It seems to me that it will continue until the end of 2025. The reasons for this belief are as follows.
The groundwork for the relaxation of regulations regarding Bitcoin reserves has not yet been established, but this does not mean that it will "not be implemented."
First of all, there is no need to mention point ①. It is concerning that there has been no particular movement related to cryptocurrencies since the Trump administration began. However, the same was true under the Democratic administration in 2022. In fact, there was a nomination approval hearing for the SEC chairman at that time on April 14, and they took office on April 17. Under the Trump administration, it was even faster to...
Hello. This is Piru.
Today, I would like to re-post part of what I wrote before.I have partially reposted "[Analysis Report] Turbulent February. When did the downward trend begin? Let's analyze it using Dow Theory."I would be happy if those who are feeling down due to the decline could read it. ☺️
【Reposting part】
Do you think there will be a bubble collapse by the end of February or March? Indeed, after the halving, it's said that about a year of a bubble period follows. However, will this time be different and result in a bubble collapse just within that period? It seems to me that it will continue until the end of 2025. The reasons for this belief are as follows.
The groundwork for the relaxation of regulations regarding Bitcoin reserves has not yet been established, but this does not mean that it will "not be implemented."
First of all, there is no need to mention point ①. It is concerning that there has been no particular movement related to cryptocurrencies since the Trump administration began. However, the same was true under the Democratic administration in 2022. In fact, there was a nomination approval hearing for the SEC chairman at that time on April 14, and they took office on April 17. Under the Trump administration, it was even faster to...
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普通じゃないエビ
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
It has temporarily stopped, hasn’t it 💦 Although not in the image, the Fibonacci 0.382 line on 8/5 is almost exact.
It feels like it is rebounding more from short covering than from support 💦 Drawing Fibonacci from the recent high shows that it is sort of consolidating around Fibonacci 0.236 from the recent high, doesn’t it? 💪
It's understandable to think that the adjustment of ABC is complete, so if it continues to rise like this, it seems likely to reach around 92,300.![]()
The green line broke through decisively when it fell, so it probably won't serve as much of a Support.
If it goes down again, it might be around 80,000, the 50% Fibonacci level from August 5.![]()
It's honestly unclear which way it will go, so the XRP short position has a stop loss set at about 2.4 (+3.5%) to secure profits. This time the alt movement is quite strong, so temporarily rising because of momentum and getting burned is something that should be avoided, haha.
It has temporarily stopped, hasn’t it 💦 Although not in the image, the Fibonacci 0.382 line on 8/5 is almost exact.
It feels like it is rebounding more from short covering than from support 💦 Drawing Fibonacci from the recent high shows that it is sort of consolidating around Fibonacci 0.236 from the recent high, doesn’t it? 💪
It's understandable to think that the adjustment of ABC is complete, so if it continues to rise like this, it seems likely to reach around 92,300.
If it goes down again, it might be around 80,000, the 50% Fibonacci level from August 5.
It's honestly unclear which way it will go, so the XRP short position has a stop loss set at about 2.4 (+3.5%) to secure profits. This time the alt movement is quite strong, so temporarily rising because of momentum and getting burned is something that should be avoided, haha.
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
It has happened 💦
If we can return to the candlestick pattern before the confirmation of the 4-hour and daily charts at 9:00, I think this decline will be interpreted as a false move, so I wonder what will happen... The RSI on the 4-hour chart has dropped below 30, so I think a rebound should come soon, but whether it can return to the candlestick pattern is the question.![]()
The short position on XRP is ongoing 📉 So far it has been stress-free, but based on the Candlestick, if a profit of around 10% is made, I plan to lower the stop-loss line to secure the profit 🫡
What I'm really worried about is SOL... 💦 I've missed the opportunity at 175 for the spot purchase, but if it drops below around 140, I'll be at a level where I have to reconsider abandoning the scenario to re-enter with a Buy.![]()
It has happened 💦
If we can return to the candlestick pattern before the confirmation of the 4-hour and daily charts at 9:00, I think this decline will be interpreted as a false move, so I wonder what will happen... The RSI on the 4-hour chart has dropped below 30, so I think a rebound should come soon, but whether it can return to the candlestick pattern is the question.
The short position on XRP is ongoing 📉 So far it has been stress-free, but based on the Candlestick, if a profit of around 10% is made, I plan to lower the stop-loss line to secure the profit 🫡
What I'm really worried about is SOL... 💦 I've missed the opportunity at 175 for the spot purchase, but if it drops below around 140, I'll be at a level where I have to reconsider abandoning the scenario to re-enter with a Buy.
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ $Cohen Circle Acquisition Corp. I (CCIR.US)$
The wedge has broken out, but the momentum is weak, and the range continues. However, as the volatility has increased, it might be better to consider the range indicated by the white line at the top and the gray line or the lower green line. The upper green line is probably not functioning anymore 💦
A short position on BTC has been placed at 95,100, averaging down at 96,500 and 96,900, bringing the acquisition cost to 96,000. The amount averaged down has been settled with no profit or loss. After all, it was originally a 2 lot 50x leverage, so it's funny.
Yesterday's wild fluctuations were interpreted as a preemptive move in demand, but it seems that was not the only factor... or rather, it is not just that; it's the news that President Trump is negotiating for an early end to the war with President Putin! The market appears to have had mixed interpretations.![]()
Interest rates are rising again, so what do you think... normally, it would be expected to drop, but since it has risen to the line that denies the triple top, is it a risk-on shift to risk assets... yet, interest rates and crude oil are both rising... Gold is also in a high price range... hmmm, it’s a confusing situation.
Just the Ukraine war...
The wedge has broken out, but the momentum is weak, and the range continues. However, as the volatility has increased, it might be better to consider the range indicated by the white line at the top and the gray line or the lower green line. The upper green line is probably not functioning anymore 💦
A short position on BTC has been placed at 95,100, averaging down at 96,500 and 96,900, bringing the acquisition cost to 96,000. The amount averaged down has been settled with no profit or loss. After all, it was originally a 2 lot 50x leverage, so it's funny.
Yesterday's wild fluctuations were interpreted as a preemptive move in demand, but it seems that was not the only factor... or rather, it is not just that; it's the news that President Trump is negotiating for an early end to the war with President Putin! The market appears to have had mixed interpretations.
Just the Ukraine war...
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![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined"){kind=small}
普通じゃないエビ
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
It's been dropping, but now we are in the phase of searching for where the bottom might be...![]()
As I have mentioned before, I consider the red line as one benchmark, and it's not strange at all to see a rebound at 86,000.
Therefore, purchases will be made in installments at 86,500 to 77,000 (Futures gap filling) 💰 Some discrepancies can be smoothed out with dollar-cost averaging, which is the strength of physical assets 💪
It’s not yet time to increase the Buy of altcoins 💦
The XRP short has passed the turning point, but if BTC starts to rebound from around now, I am considering temporarily escaping.![]()
It's been dropping, but now we are in the phase of searching for where the bottom might be...
As I have mentioned before, I consider the red line as one benchmark, and it's not strange at all to see a rebound at 86,000.
Therefore, purchases will be made in installments at 86,500 to 77,000 (Futures gap filling) 💰 Some discrepancies can be smoothed out with dollar-cost averaging, which is the strength of physical assets 💪
It’s not yet time to increase the Buy of altcoins 💦
The XRP short has passed the turning point, but if BTC starts to rebound from around now, I am considering temporarily escaping.
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$XRP (XRP.CC)$ $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
XRP Short 10x
Order 2.49
50% at 2.00, full profit at 1.9.
DCA at 2.55.
Stop loss at 2.65.
After confirming the rebound following the triangular consolidation breakout, the position is established.
Concerns: ① RSI shows Bullish Dai divergence on the 4-hour chart ② 65,000 for BTC is solid.
Since BTC is rebounding at 65,000, it seems like it might be okay to increase leverage and go long... However, BTC is around the middle of the consolidation range, so it feels a bit half-hearted to hold a position... The risk-reward ratio is also close to 1:1, so I decided against it 💦
XRP Short 10x
Order 2.49
50% at 2.00, full profit at 1.9.
DCA at 2.55.
Stop loss at 2.65.
After confirming the rebound following the triangular consolidation breakout, the position is established.
Concerns: ① RSI shows Bullish Dai divergence on the 4-hour chart ② 65,000 for BTC is solid.
Since BTC is rebounding at 65,000, it seems like it might be okay to increase leverage and go long... However, BTC is around the middle of the consolidation range, so it feels a bit half-hearted to hold a position... The risk-reward ratio is also close to 1:1, so I decided against it 💦
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$Gorilla Technology (GRRR.US)$ Other holders have also posted, so I'm also posting to sort out my feelings. There are also many new individual stock traders, so I'm going back to my original intention when I first started trading individual stocks.
First of all, gorillas don't come out with bad material → why are they going down? →Aren't economic indicators bad? recession? When it comes to that, short-term traders retreat at a glance. There are short-term traders in 20% to 30% of any stock, so you will often encounter this kind of decline if you trade individual stocks.
(Rather than increasing the number of institutional investors, emphasis is placed on not decreasing.
Also, since the SP500 and NASDAQ indices haven't dropped that far, it calms down when you think about things from multiple angles)
Also, even if people who are too stressed don't sell everything, I think it's possible to lower them to an acceptable position. Let's make sure it doesn't interfere with our daily lives ❣️ → I think this is pretty important.If you do a deal with a strange mentality, you won't be able to make a calm decision and you may even leaveBecause it's possible
In my opinion, what do you value the most when trading stocks“Don't leave”That's it.
Short-term training...
First of all, gorillas don't come out with bad material → why are they going down? →Aren't economic indicators bad? recession? When it comes to that, short-term traders retreat at a glance. There are short-term traders in 20% to 30% of any stock, so you will often encounter this kind of decline if you trade individual stocks.
(Rather than increasing the number of institutional investors, emphasis is placed on not decreasing.
Also, since the SP500 and NASDAQ indices haven't dropped that far, it calms down when you think about things from multiple angles)
Also, even if people who are too stressed don't sell everything, I think it's possible to lower them to an acceptable position. Let's make sure it doesn't interfere with our daily lives ❣️ → I think this is pretty important.If you do a deal with a strange mentality, you won't be able to make a calm decision and you may even leaveBecause it's possible
In my opinion, what do you value the most when trading stocks“Don't leave”That's it.
Short-term training...
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
After all, BTC in its physical form is the strongest. It’s tough to endure if other assets are bought at a high price. 😇
Decline rate from the high price.
BTC▲16%.
MSTU▲80%.
CONL▲70%
After all, BTC in its physical form is the strongest. It’s tough to endure if other assets are bought at a high price. 😇
Decline rate from the high price.
BTC▲16%.
MSTU▲80%.
CONL▲70%
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