$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
There was no particular excitement, right?
Personally, it's good in the afternoon too.
Because Jackson Hole is the main focus.
One point of interest from a technical perspective.
If it breaks above the recent high of 146.526 yen without falling below the recent low of 144.458 yen, a trend reversal in the Dow Theory would be confirmed, so attention should be paid to the short-term trend of a weakening yen and a strengthening dollar.
Due to the excessive inflation of market rate cut expectations influenced by recent economic indicators, if there is any disappointment in rate cuts, there is a possibility of an excessive reaction of dollar buying, so it is important to be prepared.
If it falls below the recent low, follow the trend straightforwardly.

$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
Regarding the annual revision of the US employment statistics starting from 23:00.
It's too niche, I honestly don't know about this kind of stuff.
The only thing I can say is that it has been well factored in over the past 2-3 days, and selling two yen worth of dollars has already been completed.
In other words, if there is not as much revision as anticipated beforehand, what will happen is the buyback of the dollar.
Rather, considering this risk, it is desirable to prepare for a long position on the dollar.
This is an OCO for times like this! 👊

$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
Last night, it broke through the range in an instant.
I've been trading while taking profits here and there, but in the end, it kept dropping from where I placed my order, and now I'm holding unrealized losses (I wonder if there are others in the same boat? 😅).
Well, it's inevitable to see some serious profit taking with such a big rise (same goes for long-term interest rates).
To be honest, I don't mind whether the yen strengthens or weakens in the future, but this time there is one reason why I wanted to get along better with unrealized losses.
That is the daily MACD.
For those who like technical analysis, I think you know that the further away the MACD crosses from the zero line, the higher the reliability.
So I looked up the distance from the zero line for this MACD line.
The maximum value was -3.35 on August 7th.
Looking back in the past, this is the first time since 2000 that the MACD line has exceeded -3 (if there are any oversights, I apologize as it is done manually).
However, it is not possible to make an accurate comparison between 2000 and now because the trading environment and participants are completely different, but it can be said that the distance from the zero line of this MACD is significant...

$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
Although PPI and CPI announcements have been completed, it was not possible to break the 146-148 yen range.
Now that this has happened, we can't help but pay attention to tonight's retail sales announcement.
Additionally, it was America that expected a gradual recession in the economy, but recently concerns about rapid economic deterioration have surpassed that, so announcements of retail sales directly linked to private consumption should attract more attention than usual.
If it doesn't break even with this, let's all be nice and break the screen 👊🖥️🔨
Will it break or not,
which one is it!!!!!!

$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
The US long-term interest rate (10-year bond yield) was just around 4%, which is half price to 61.8% return.
In other words, it is also necessary to consider the risk that interest rates will drop due to a return sale (buy since it's a bond) soon.
Currently, prices are being held down by a downward downward resistance line with the peak around 147.900 yen, so contrary to the reaction immediately after the announcement of the number of unemployment insurance claims, I would rather keep in mind the possibility that the yen will appreciate in the future.

$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
interest rates eventually went up this much after the Michigan announcement...
Undercover intervention?
intervention back?
It would have been perfect without this, but...
But if this is really an intervention, the recent intervention is so tricky that I'm seriously falling in love with Kanda Treasurer lol (the damage is huge)