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$U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield (US10Y.BD)$
Approaching the top of the trend line.
Is it time for a downward move soon ⤵️
If it breaks through here, it may go up to around 4.304, the Fibo 618 level 😅
In any case, at least once ⤵️ maybe haha.
*The image shows the weekly and daily charts
Approaching the top of the trend line.
Is it time for a downward move soon ⤵️
If it breaks through here, it may go up to around 4.304, the Fibo 618 level 😅
In any case, at least once ⤵️ maybe haha.
*The image shows the weekly and daily charts
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Today the market went up, right?'
😂 "It's been too volatile up and down lately 💦"
『Why did you do that?』
Yesterday's sharp decline rebound + substantial yen depreciation, right?
"Why yen depreciation? Isn't it preferred for Mr. Ishiba to have yen appreciation?"
- On the 2nd, Prime Minister Ishiba made cautious remarks about the additional rate hike by the Bank of Japan, resulting in significant yen depreciation and stock market rise in the financial markets (from the news).
Just after Mr. Ishiba's decision, I thought the yen would return to the upward trendline↘️, but with his careless remarks, it came back to the yen depreciation↗️ trendline...
"The influential power of important individuals is quite scary."
【Nikkei Average】
- The Nikkei average is up ⬆️¥38,552 (+¥743)
- Most stocks are up ⬆️, indicating overheating.
- Semiconductors, virtual currency, and a weak yen are attracting attention.
- After the opening, there was a gentle downward trend during the day, moving similarly to USD/JPY.
- The USD/JPY briefly reached 147.2 yen.147.2 yenbecame
I have been concerned about my VIX alert (set value above 20) ringing frequently lately.
From the past candlestick chart, the MACD of VIX hasbeen signaling a major market crash when it crosses 20, and it is a situation where one should remain vigilant in the future.
Memo:
Today, with all the positive factors in place, the Nikkei average is up.
Mr. Ishiba's statement may signal a trend reversal for the USD/JPY rate (yen depreciation).
In the future, the Bank of Japan will remain silent...
😂 "It's been too volatile up and down lately 💦"
『Why did you do that?』
Yesterday's sharp decline rebound + substantial yen depreciation, right?
"Why yen depreciation? Isn't it preferred for Mr. Ishiba to have yen appreciation?"
- On the 2nd, Prime Minister Ishiba made cautious remarks about the additional rate hike by the Bank of Japan, resulting in significant yen depreciation and stock market rise in the financial markets (from the news).
Just after Mr. Ishiba's decision, I thought the yen would return to the upward trendline↘️, but with his careless remarks, it came back to the yen depreciation↗️ trendline...
"The influential power of important individuals is quite scary."
【Nikkei Average】
- The Nikkei average is up ⬆️¥38,552 (+¥743)
- Most stocks are up ⬆️, indicating overheating.
- Semiconductors, virtual currency, and a weak yen are attracting attention.
- After the opening, there was a gentle downward trend during the day, moving similarly to USD/JPY.
- The USD/JPY briefly reached 147.2 yen.147.2 yenbecame
I have been concerned about my VIX alert (set value above 20) ringing frequently lately.
From the past candlestick chart, the MACD of VIX hasbeen signaling a major market crash when it crosses 20, and it is a situation where one should remain vigilant in the future.
Memo:
Today, with all the positive factors in place, the Nikkei average is up.
Mr. Ishiba's statement may signal a trend reversal for the USD/JPY rate (yen depreciation).
In the future, the Bank of Japan will remain silent...
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
テクニカル分析(評価 : 3.63/5)
・5月から続いた緩やかなレンジ相場が7/25にブレイクアウト。8/2~8/7・8/30に逸脱した値動きになるが、青色のレジスタンス/サポートライン内で推移する。トレンド転換の余地は見られない。
・「①8/5の失業率上昇によるハードランディング懸念」から、上昇→下落トレンド転換。その後インフレ指標改善などから、徐々に回復するも「②8/21の雇用統計悪化による失業率上昇懸念」により上昇トレンド転換ならず。しかし、PCEデフレータなどのインフレ系指標の堅調さや失業率の低下により①・②の水準を超え下落→上昇トレンド転換する。短期目線のトレンド転換は達成しており、次は中期目線のトレンド転換を目指す局面へ。ただし、ペースの早い利下げになる場合は話が変わり、下落トレンドへ転換する可能性は大いにあり
・強い上昇トレンド中。勢い的には短期・中期的には上昇方向にあるとは思うが、買われ...
テクニカル分析(評価 : 3.63/5)
・5月から続いた緩やかなレンジ相場が7/25にブレイクアウト。8/2~8/7・8/30に逸脱した値動きになるが、青色のレジスタンス/サポートライン内で推移する。トレンド転換の余地は見られない。
・「①8/5の失業率上昇によるハードランディング懸念」から、上昇→下落トレンド転換。その後インフレ指標改善などから、徐々に回復するも「②8/21の雇用統計悪化による失業率上昇懸念」により上昇トレンド転換ならず。しかし、PCEデフレータなどのインフレ系指標の堅調さや失業率の低下により①・②の水準を超え下落→上昇トレンド転換する。短期目線のトレンド転換は達成しており、次は中期目線のトレンド転換を目指す局面へ。ただし、ペースの早い利下げになる場合は話が変わり、下落トレンドへ転換する可能性は大いにあり
・強い上昇トレンド中。勢い的には短期・中期的には上昇方向にあるとは思うが、買われ...
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ Is it about time to go in?
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
So far, cutting interest rates once every two meetings from September is dominant, isn't it?
So far, cutting interest rates once every two meetings from September is dominant, isn't it?
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ Purchased at 55. There are still rave reviews and losses, but considering past charts and the current sense of economic stagnation, I can expect it even if I hold.
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ FOMCは米国債のランオフペースを6月から月額250億ドルに減速させる方針を示した。バランスシートから放出される米国債が減れば、市場が吸収しなければならない国債の量も減る。これは今年これまでに急上昇してきた長期債利回りの抑制に役立つだろう
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Yesterday was tough for everyone, wasn't it...
I withdrew early as you can see from the image, with my usual grip strength.
In addition to this, I sold all the strong stocks such as TMF and TSLL.
There may still be a possibility of further decline, but a tremendous buying opportunity awaits beyond the crash.
I can't help but look forward to the upcoming big bargain sale.
Let's all work hard with a positive attitude.
I withdrew early as you can see from the image, with my usual grip strength.
In addition to this, I sold all the strong stocks such as TMF and TSLL.
There may still be a possibility of further decline, but a tremendous buying opportunity awaits beyond the crash.
I can't help but look forward to the upcoming big bargain sale.
Let's all work hard with a positive attitude.
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