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$U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield (US10Y.BD)$
Approaching the top of the trend line.
Is it time for a downward move soon ⤵️
If it breaks through here, it may go up to around 4.304, the Fibo 618 level 😅
In any case, at least once ⤵️ maybe haha.
*The image shows the weekly and daily charts
Approaching the top of the trend line.
Is it time for a downward move soon ⤵️
If it breaks through here, it may go up to around 4.304, the Fibo 618 level 😅
In any case, at least once ⤵️ maybe haha.
*The image shows the weekly and daily charts
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Today the market went up, right?'
😂 "It's been too volatile up and down lately 💦"
『Why did you do that?』
Yesterday's sharp decline rebound + substantial yen depreciation, right?
"Why yen depreciation? Isn't it preferred for Mr. Ishiba to have yen appreciation?"
- On the 2nd, Prime Minister Ishiba made cautious remarks about the additional rate hike by the Bank of Japan, resulting in significant yen depreciation and stock market rise in the financial markets (from the news).
Just after Mr. Ishiba's decision, I thought the yen would return to the upward trendline↘️, but with his careless remarks, it came back to the yen depreciation↗️ trendline...
"The influential power of important individuals is quite scary."
【Nikkei Average】
- The Nikkei average is up ⬆️¥38,552 (+¥743)
- Most stocks are up ⬆️, indicating overheating.
- Semiconductors, virtual currency, and a weak yen are attracting attention.
- After the opening, there was a gentle downward trend during the day, moving similarly to USD/JPY.
- The USD/JPY briefly reached 147.2 yen.147.2 yenbecame
I have been concerned about my VIX alert (set value above 20) ringing frequently lately.
From the past candlestick chart, the MACD of VIX hasbeen signaling a major market crash when it crosses 20, and it is a situation where one should remain vigilant in the future.
Memo:
Today, with all the positive factors in place, the Nikkei average is up.
Mr. Ishiba's statement may signal a trend reversal for the USD/JPY rate (yen depreciation).
In the future, the Bank of Japan will remain silent...
😂 "It's been too volatile up and down lately 💦"
『Why did you do that?』
Yesterday's sharp decline rebound + substantial yen depreciation, right?
"Why yen depreciation? Isn't it preferred for Mr. Ishiba to have yen appreciation?"
- On the 2nd, Prime Minister Ishiba made cautious remarks about the additional rate hike by the Bank of Japan, resulting in significant yen depreciation and stock market rise in the financial markets (from the news).
Just after Mr. Ishiba's decision, I thought the yen would return to the upward trendline↘️, but with his careless remarks, it came back to the yen depreciation↗️ trendline...
"The influential power of important individuals is quite scary."
【Nikkei Average】
- The Nikkei average is up ⬆️¥38,552 (+¥743)
- Most stocks are up ⬆️, indicating overheating.
- Semiconductors, virtual currency, and a weak yen are attracting attention.
- After the opening, there was a gentle downward trend during the day, moving similarly to USD/JPY.
- The USD/JPY briefly reached 147.2 yen.147.2 yenbecame
I have been concerned about my VIX alert (set value above 20) ringing frequently lately.
From the past candlestick chart, the MACD of VIX hasbeen signaling a major market crash when it crosses 20, and it is a situation where one should remain vigilant in the future.
Memo:
Today, with all the positive factors in place, the Nikkei average is up.
Mr. Ishiba's statement may signal a trend reversal for the USD/JPY rate (yen depreciation).
In the future, the Bank of Japan will remain silent...
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
Technical analysis (Rating: 3.63/5)
- The gradual range market that has been ongoing since May broke out on 7/25. It will deviate in price movements from 8/2 to 8/7 and 8/30, but it will remain within the blue resistance/support lines. There is no room for a trend reversal.
- From the concern of a hard landing due to the rise in unemployment rate on 8/5, the trend shifted from upward to downward. Subsequently, although there was gradual recovery due to improvements in inflation indicators, it did not change to an upward trend due to the concern of a rise in unemployment rate caused by the worsening of employment statistics on 8/21. However, it changed to a downward to upward trend reversal, surpassing the levels of ① and ②, due to the strength of inflation-related indicators such as PCE deflator and the decrease in unemployment rate. The trend reversal in the short-term perspective has been achieved, and now we are aiming for a trend reversal in the medium-term perspective. However, if there is a quick rate cut, the situation may change and there is a possibility of a trend reversal to a downward trend.
- Strong uptrend. I think it is in an upward direction in the short-term and medium-term in terms of momentum, but it has been overbought...
Technical analysis (Rating: 3.63/5)
- The gradual range market that has been ongoing since May broke out on 7/25. It will deviate in price movements from 8/2 to 8/7 and 8/30, but it will remain within the blue resistance/support lines. There is no room for a trend reversal.
- From the concern of a hard landing due to the rise in unemployment rate on 8/5, the trend shifted from upward to downward. Subsequently, although there was gradual recovery due to improvements in inflation indicators, it did not change to an upward trend due to the concern of a rise in unemployment rate caused by the worsening of employment statistics on 8/21. However, it changed to a downward to upward trend reversal, surpassing the levels of ① and ②, due to the strength of inflation-related indicators such as PCE deflator and the decrease in unemployment rate. The trend reversal in the short-term perspective has been achieved, and now we are aiming for a trend reversal in the medium-term perspective. However, if there is a quick rate cut, the situation may change and there is a possibility of a trend reversal to a downward trend.
- Strong uptrend. I think it is in an upward direction in the short-term and medium-term in terms of momentum, but it has been overbought...
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ Is it about time to go in?
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
It seems like we will be hit by the strength of the yen before we see a bull run in cryptocurrency.
What will you all do?
It seems like we will be hit by the strength of the yen before we see a bull run in cryptocurrency.
What will you all do?
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
So far, cutting interest rates once every two meetings from September is dominant, isn't it?
So far, cutting interest rates once every two meetings from September is dominant, isn't it?
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ Purchased at 55. There are still rave reviews and losses, but considering past charts and the current sense of economic stagnation, I can expect it even if I hold.
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ The FOMC has indicated a policy to reduce the pace of runoff of US bonds to $25 billion per month from June. If the amount of US bonds released from the balance sheet decreases, the amount of bonds that the market must absorb will also decrease. This is expected to help curb the sharp rise in long-term bond yields seen so far this year.
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Yesterday was tough for everyone, wasn't it...
I withdrew early as you can see from the image, with my usual grip strength.
In addition to this, I sold all the strong stocks such as TMF and TSLL.
There may still be a possibility of further decline, but a tremendous buying opportunity awaits beyond the crash.
I can't help but look forward to the upcoming big bargain sale.
Let's all work hard with a positive attitude.
I withdrew early as you can see from the image, with my usual grip strength.
In addition to this, I sold all the strong stocks such as TMF and TSLL.
There may still be a possibility of further decline, but a tremendous buying opportunity awaits beyond the crash.
I can't help but look forward to the upcoming big bargain sale.
Let's all work hard with a positive attitude.
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