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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
The VIX Index is bad for today only. Go to sleep
The VIX Index is bad for today only. Go to sleep
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$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(SEP4) (NQmain.US)$
Unfortunately, VIX is rising and it seems that NASDAQ100 will start to decline. Please be careful of the institution's sell signals and inducement display⚠️⚠️⚠️
Unfortunately, VIX is rising and it seems that NASDAQ100 will start to decline. Please be careful of the institution's sell signals and inducement display⚠️⚠️⚠️
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The dollar fell to the mid-146 yen range in the afternoon at 3 pm, adjusting the carryover position, offsetting the overseas gains.
On September 3, 2024, at 3:33 PM GMT+9 (excerpt)
In the afternoon, the dollar/yen is trading at around 146 yen, with the dollar weakening and the yen strengthening from the end of the New York market the previous day. With the release of important US economic indicators continuing into the second half of the week, the dollar fell back from the adjustment movement and is expected to return to the previous day's evening level.
On September 3, 2024, at 3:33 PM GMT+9 (excerpt)
In the afternoon, the dollar/yen is trading at around 146 yen, with the dollar weakening and the yen strengthening from the end of the New York market the previous day. With the release of important US economic indicators continuing into the second half of the week, the dollar fell back from the adjustment movement and is expected to return to the previous day's evening level.
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tom 83
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$Announced earnings after the close on August 28th. Subsequently, the stock price after-hours trading.In Decreased by 6.9%.There is a new cycle approaching where central banks around the world are cutting interest rates and starting monetary easing.
(For information on sector rotation, please refer to the report below. Dated August 20th)
The following three factors are believed to have led to profit-taking selling.
1) Falling short of explosive growth expectations.
2Q results exceeded market expectations. 3Q revenue guidance of 32.5 billion dollars ±2%, surpassing the market average of 31.9 billion dollars, but did not reach the bullish estimate of 37.9 billion dollars.
2) Evaluation of the impact of Blackwell delays.
Demand for AI semiconductor Hopper (current product) and Blackwell (next-generation product) have been strong. However, the company acknowledged delays by changing the Blackwell GPU mask to improve yield. The company indicated that Blackwell's revenue is expected to reach several billion dollars in 4Q, but investors seem to be confused about the impact of the delay and how to evaluate the scale of several billion dollars. After the earnings announcement, analysts revised their performance outlook upward.
3) Sector low...
(For information on sector rotation, please refer to the report below. Dated August 20th)
The following three factors are believed to have led to profit-taking selling.
1) Falling short of explosive growth expectations.
2Q results exceeded market expectations. 3Q revenue guidance of 32.5 billion dollars ±2%, surpassing the market average of 31.9 billion dollars, but did not reach the bullish estimate of 37.9 billion dollars.
2) Evaluation of the impact of Blackwell delays.
Demand for AI semiconductor Hopper (current product) and Blackwell (next-generation product) have been strong. However, the company acknowledged delays by changing the Blackwell GPU mask to improve yield. The company indicated that Blackwell's revenue is expected to reach several billion dollars in 4Q, but investors seem to be confused about the impact of the delay and how to evaluate the scale of several billion dollars. After the earnings announcement, analysts revised their performance outlook upward.
3) Sector low...
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
Even though the financial results are good, the stock price is dropping a lot. Some people were saying it's because the expectations were too high, but as a beginner, I don't understand that way of thinking...
What should I do to make it go up?
Even though the financial results are good, the stock price is dropping a lot. Some people were saying it's because the expectations were too high, but as a beginner, I don't understand that way of thinking...
What should I do to make it go up?
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
In the end, which one is it?
In the end, which one is it?
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1. Impact of Nvidia's earnings.
- Nvidia's revenue outlook.
Failing to meet the market's expectations, investor sentiment worsens.
Impact Range
Companies such as Tokyo Electron and Advantest are experiencing selling pressure in the Tokyo market's semiconductor-related stocks.
Market Reaction
The Nikkei futures on the Chicago futures market fell by 230 yen compared to the previous day, and there is a possibility of a lower start in the Tokyo market.
2. Factors supporting Japanese stocks
Positive factors
Improvement in corporate performance.
Especially, share buyback supports the stock price in terms of supply and demand.
Reduction of policy-owned shares.
It functions as a support factor for stock prices.
- Market reaction
There is also a view that the impact of Nvidia's earnings is limited, and there is a possibility that extreme selling pressure will be avoided.
3. The impact of the macroeconomic environment and policies
- Rising interest rates in the usa
10-year bond yields have risen to 3.83%, negative for the stock market.
Japan-specific factors in the market.
Potential for policy support and corporate performance improvement to maintain market strength.
4. Conclusion and Investment Strategy [Insight of culture💡]
- Short-term outlook
The Tokyo market is expected to be weak due to the impact of NVIDIA's earnings, but there is room for a rebound due to Japan-specific factors.
- Proposal to investors
- Semiconductor-related...
- Nvidia's revenue outlook.
Failing to meet the market's expectations, investor sentiment worsens.
Impact Range
Companies such as Tokyo Electron and Advantest are experiencing selling pressure in the Tokyo market's semiconductor-related stocks.
Market Reaction
The Nikkei futures on the Chicago futures market fell by 230 yen compared to the previous day, and there is a possibility of a lower start in the Tokyo market.
2. Factors supporting Japanese stocks
Positive factors
Improvement in corporate performance.
Especially, share buyback supports the stock price in terms of supply and demand.
Reduction of policy-owned shares.
It functions as a support factor for stock prices.
- Market reaction
There is also a view that the impact of Nvidia's earnings is limited, and there is a possibility that extreme selling pressure will be avoided.
3. The impact of the macroeconomic environment and policies
- Rising interest rates in the usa
10-year bond yields have risen to 3.83%, negative for the stock market.
Japan-specific factors in the market.
Potential for policy support and corporate performance improvement to maintain market strength.
4. Conclusion and Investment Strategy [Insight of culture💡]
- Short-term outlook
The Tokyo market is expected to be weak due to the impact of NVIDIA's earnings, but there is room for a rebound due to Japan-specific factors.
- Proposal to investors
- Semiconductor-related...
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Nvidia, the leading AI chip company, doubled its revenue in the previous quarter and exceeded market expectations, but the guidance for this quarter did not reach Wall Street's most optimistic expectations. Nvidia expects the eagerly awaited Blackwell architecture chip to generate billions of dollars in revenue in the final quarter of the year. However, Nvidia executives did not answer the question of whether the billions of dollars in revenue would be considered new revenue during the earnings call.
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