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$U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield (US10Y.BD)$
This is my speculation, but there is a high probability that US stocks will rise while long-term interest rates are rising.
I think the real danger lies in the timing when long-term interest rates start to decline and the timing when the yen becomes overly strong.
Although the US has decided to issue a large amount of long-term bonds through its bond issuance plan, it is desirable for the US to issue long-term bonds with low long-term interest rates as much as possible.
And if Japan swings too high, it will sell yen and buy US Treasury bonds. In other words, if the yen swings too high, buyers of US Treasury bonds will appear.
If long-term interest rates fall, the exchange rate is more likely to swing higher, and in this case it is a great opportunity for the US to issue long-term bonds and for Japan to buy US Treasury bonds to a certain extent in order to control the exchange rate.
The massive issuance of long-term bonds means a significant decline in liquidity, which I believe is a nightmare-like situation awaiting the stock market.
This is my speculation, but there is a high probability that US stocks will rise while long-term interest rates are rising.
I think the real danger lies in the timing when long-term interest rates start to decline and the timing when the yen becomes overly strong.
Although the US has decided to issue a large amount of long-term bonds through its bond issuance plan, it is desirable for the US to issue long-term bonds with low long-term interest rates as much as possible.
And if Japan swings too high, it will sell yen and buy US Treasury bonds. In other words, if the yen swings too high, buyers of US Treasury bonds will appear.
If long-term interest rates fall, the exchange rate is more likely to swing higher, and in this case it is a great opportunity for the US to issue long-term bonds and for Japan to buy US Treasury bonds to a certain extent in order to control the exchange rate.
The massive issuance of long-term bonds means a significant decline in liquidity, which I believe is a nightmare-like situation awaiting the stock market.
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19
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During the day, I described the reasons for the economic slowdown (especially in the US, which I particularly like 🇺🇸), but it seems that it takes a considerable amount of time and further in-depth research to know this for sure.
'Is there a sign of an economic slowdown in the United States?'
August 29, 2024
'Could the United States be facing an economic slowdown?'
The employment statistics for July released by the US Department of Labor on August 2 were unexpectedly weak, leading to increased concerns about a US economic slowdown, resulting in significant declines in stocks, a stronger yen, and lower interest rates.
Market volatility due to concerns about a US economic slowdown.
Due to the weak ISM manufacturing sentiment index on August 1 and the employment statistics on August 2, concerns about a US economic slowdown suddenly surged, and on the next business day, the S&P 500 index temporarily fell by 7.3% compared to the end of July, and the yield on US 10-year Treasury bonds, which was in the 4.0% range at the end of July, also temporarily decreased to the 3.6% range. The USD/JPY exchange rate fluctuated from the 150 yen level at the end of July to 141.70 yen on August 5, showing a strengthening of the yen and a weakening of the dollar. The Nikkei average stock price temporarily fell by 20.3% compared to the end of July, considering the impact of the sharp appreciation of the yen.
Until now, the US economy has remained in a gentle slowdown as inflation settles and it is expected to achieve a soft landing.
'Is there a sign of an economic slowdown in the United States?'
August 29, 2024
'Could the United States be facing an economic slowdown?'
The employment statistics for July released by the US Department of Labor on August 2 were unexpectedly weak, leading to increased concerns about a US economic slowdown, resulting in significant declines in stocks, a stronger yen, and lower interest rates.
Market volatility due to concerns about a US economic slowdown.
Due to the weak ISM manufacturing sentiment index on August 1 and the employment statistics on August 2, concerns about a US economic slowdown suddenly surged, and on the next business day, the S&P 500 index temporarily fell by 7.3% compared to the end of July, and the yield on US 10-year Treasury bonds, which was in the 4.0% range at the end of July, also temporarily decreased to the 3.6% range. The USD/JPY exchange rate fluctuated from the 150 yen level at the end of July to 141.70 yen on August 5, showing a strengthening of the yen and a weakening of the dollar. The Nikkei average stock price temporarily fell by 20.3% compared to the end of July, considering the impact of the sharp appreciation of the yen.
Until now, the US economy has remained in a gentle slowdown as inflation settles and it is expected to achieve a soft landing.
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20
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Welcome moomoo users to the papertrade contest!![]()
![]()
So far6,300 users have participated in the contestand 2,039 users have achieved positive earningsJust this week, 2,025 users have achieved positive earnings.
This event successfully concluded on August 25th. We thank everyone who participated!![]()
【Top Rankings】
🎉One month has passed since the start, and the top 10 of the contest earnings ranking have been announced. The 10 users who achieved the best results are as follows: @183313571 @カットバック @キムコ @りんご_3636 @GoldenT @181311497 @Namidame @181307410 @ruirui7 @コタローくん
To all of the above, congratulations on your excellent performance!![]()
![]()
In the last week, among the many users who participated in the contest, there were users who achieved good results. Just last week, 2,025 users have achieved positive earnings, and each of them has achieved 50 yen...
So far6,300 users have participated in the contestand 2,039 users have achieved positive earningsJust this week, 2,025 users have achieved positive earnings.
This event successfully concluded on August 25th. We thank everyone who participated!
【Top Rankings】
🎉One month has passed since the start, and the top 10 of the contest earnings ranking have been announced. The 10 users who achieved the best results are as follows: @183313571 @カットバック @キムコ @りんご_3636 @GoldenT @181311497 @Namidame @181307410 @ruirui7 @コタローくん
To all of the above, congratulations on your excellent performance!
Translated
+1
90
2
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liked
It's a credit oversold and unbought chart 📊 💦
I'm not going to do it, so I don't know
They say they make predictions in a short period of time and compete
I kept thinking that it would be difficult...![]()
$Tokyo Electron (8035.JP)$
I'm not going to do it, so I don't know
They say they make predictions in a short period of time and compete
I kept thinking that it would be difficult...
$Tokyo Electron (8035.JP)$
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10
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Scheduled to be held on May 4th (Saturday) to May 6th (Monday), 2024, Japanese time, this is the annual global investment event led by renowned investor Warren Buffett.Shareholders meeting of the investment and insurance company led by renowned investor Warren Buffett, known as the god of investment, will be held. $Berkshire Hathaway-A (BRK.A.US)$ Scheduled to be held.
$Berkshire Hathaway-A (BRK.A.US)$ $Berkshire Hathaway-B (BRK.B.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$
$Apple (AAPL.US)$ $Bank of America (BAC.US)$ $American Express (AXP.US)$ $Coca-Cola (KO.US)$ $Chevron (CVX.US)$ $Occidental Petroleum (OXY.US)$ $The Kraft Heinz (KHC.US)$ $Moody's (MCO.US)$ $DaVita (DVA.US)$ $Citigroup (C.US)$
...
$Berkshire Hathaway-A (BRK.A.US)$ $Berkshire Hathaway-B (BRK.B.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$
$Apple (AAPL.US)$ $Bank of America (BAC.US)$ $American Express (AXP.US)$ $Coca-Cola (KO.US)$ $Chevron (CVX.US)$ $Occidental Petroleum (OXY.US)$ $The Kraft Heinz (KHC.US)$ $Moody's (MCO.US)$ $DaVita (DVA.US)$ $Citigroup (C.US)$
...
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+4
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もーりー2
Set a live reminder
Powell, Chairman of the US Federal Reserve Board (FRB) Press Conference Live (Subtitled Translation)
The Federal Reserve Board (FRB) will hold a meeting to decide on monetary policy (FOMC) at 3:30 am Japan time on August 1st.
Chairman Powell has indicated a cautious approach to assessing trends in prices and employment, and in the market,it is strongly believed that the policy interest rate will be maintained.The focus is expected to be on how the timing and frequency of interest rate cuts will be mentioned in the press conference after the meeting.
The future monetary policy of the FRBIf you want to know more about it, don't miss this live broadcast!!
This event isIt will be delivered in subtitle translation formatIf you wish to watch, please"Reserve" Click the button.
◆Notes
The content of this live is provided by a subtitle translation service for the convenience of our customers. The subtitles are generated using Microsoft Azure and Amazon Translate. No guarantee of the accuracy, reliability, or correctness of machine translation from English to Japanese is made, whether explicit or implicit. We do not assume any responsibility for damages caused by the translation content. If you suffer any damage, we will not be held responsible for it. Please...
Chairman Powell has indicated a cautious approach to assessing trends in prices and employment, and in the market,it is strongly believed that the policy interest rate will be maintained.The focus is expected to be on how the timing and frequency of interest rate cuts will be mentioned in the press conference after the meeting.
The future monetary policy of the FRBIf you want to know more about it, don't miss this live broadcast!!
This event isIt will be delivered in subtitle translation formatIf you wish to watch, please"Reserve" Click the button.
◆Notes
The content of this live is provided by a subtitle translation service for the convenience of our customers. The subtitles are generated using Microsoft Azure and Amazon Translate. No guarantee of the accuracy, reliability, or correctness of machine translation from English to Japanese is made, whether explicit or implicit. We do not assume any responsibility for damages caused by the translation content. If you suffer any damage, we will not be held responsible for it. Please...
Translated
Live broadcast of US Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's press conference (subtitle translation)
Jul 31 13:30
24
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It is market watch.![]()
Here is a list of the current situation from negative to positive👇👇👇
Here is a list of the current situation from negative to positive👇👇👇
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$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
You may need a seat belt. 🧐
Possibly a bounce to -10% at 52-53.![]()
Optrel and the market are busy.![]()
You may need a seat belt. 🧐
Possibly a bounce to -10% at 52-53.
Optrel and the market are busy.
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16
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The yen rose by more than 1% against the dollar, at one point in the 153 yen range - high since May
Updated 2024/7/24 at 21:39 JST (some excerpts)
Bank of Japan to consider raising interest rates next week and also announces plans to halve bond purchases - Reuters
It is necessary to create a strong and stable yen due to the revitalization of the Japanese economy - Mr. Motegi
In the foreign exchange market on the morning of the 24th New York time, the yen exchange rate increased against the dollar. One dollar = 153 yen 91 yen was added at one point due to an increase of over 1%. The highest price since May.
Yen is being bought due to speculation that the Bank of Japan will make a drastic policy change at the monetary policy meeting at the end of the month.
Updated 2024/7/24 at 21:39 JST (some excerpts)
Bank of Japan to consider raising interest rates next week and also announces plans to halve bond purchases - Reuters
It is necessary to create a strong and stable yen due to the revitalization of the Japanese economy - Mr. Motegi
In the foreign exchange market on the morning of the 24th New York time, the yen exchange rate increased against the dollar. One dollar = 153 yen 91 yen was added at one point due to an increase of over 1%. The highest price since May.
Yen is being bought due to speculation that the Bank of Japan will make a drastic policy change at the monetary policy meeting at the end of the month.
Translated
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$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
If you want to intervene between Kono and Motegi, do it at the first stage, Voce!
Once it reaches the 153 yen level, consider the subsequent switching between Twitter and the dollar.
There has been a complete foreign exchange loss, thank you very much.
If it's like this, you should have traded in a general account.
I was heavily taxed at a high rate (💢'ω')
If you want to intervene between Kono and Motegi, do it at the first stage, Voce!
Once it reaches the 153 yen level, consider the subsequent switching between Twitter and the dollar.
There has been a complete foreign exchange loss, thank you very much.
If it's like this, you should have traded in a general account.
I was heavily taxed at a high rate (💢'ω')
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11
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