$Li Auto (LI.US)$ My source told me that Li auto has halted their production because the goodyear factory in shanghai could not provide the tires to Li. The goodyear factory local authority has frozen their community without letting any truck go in and out. This cause a significant problem at Li's assembling line. They are losing 30 Million USD a day on sales side, the cash follow will be even worse since the final assembling factory still need to pay their factory workers and suppliers. Thi...
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$阿里巴巴(BABA.US)$
Based on Chinese law, the maximum fine they can put on a company is 10% the prior year's sales. which means one time fine of maximum 50 Bil out of the company pocket. In reality, It is very unlikely BABA will be fined more than 1% of the sales total since this has never happened in China corporate history. Sounds like the goverment is into a mission to show who is the boss to Jack Ma. It is quite possible some major partners /shareholders will have to give up the corporate control rights rather than actually big monetary fine. This "investigation" led consequence in market has been brown way over the cloud.
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Based on Chinese law, the maximum fine they can put on a company is 10% the prior year's sales. which means one time fine of maximum 50 Bil out of the company pocket. In reality, It is very unlikely BABA will be fined more than 1% of the sales total since this has never happened in China corporate history. Sounds like the goverment is into a mission to show who is the boss to Jack Ma. It is quite possible some major partners /shareholders will have to give up the corporate control rights rather than actually big monetary fine. This "investigation" led consequence in market has been brown way over the cloud.
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$Zoom Video Communications (ZM.US)$
Looks like we are seeing $407 resistance line. The stock will floating around here for some time. Wait until next earning report to elevate the stock to a new level. This second round lock up put a lot of user on paying mood rather than gettting ZM service for free. Without the pandamic, the organic growth should put the stock at 370-380 market valuation.
Looks like we are seeing $407 resistance line. The stock will floating around here for some time. Wait until next earning report to elevate the stock to a new level. This second round lock up put a lot of user on paying mood rather than gettting ZM service for free. Without the pandamic, the organic growth should put the stock at 370-380 market valuation.
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$American Airlines (AAL.US)$
The recent congressional stimulus bill is a big positive for airline stocks. However, this news has already been largely reflected in stock prices. Generally speaking, positive news can prevent further declines.
I am still bullish on smaller airlines in the aviation industry, such as HAL and JBUL. From a balance sheet perspective, Alaska Airlines and HAL are the most profitable.
I am more interested in Alaska Airlines and Hawiee Airlines. The smaller airlines generally benefit the most from subsidies on their balance sheets. Additionally, both states have fewer COVID-19 cases and are attractive to travelers in the current market. As the industry recovers, they will be the best to attract customers. Furthermore, they are good candidates for takeovers by private equity firms or larger airlines.
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The recent congressional stimulus bill is a big positive for airline stocks. However, this news has already been largely reflected in stock prices. Generally speaking, positive news can prevent further declines.
I am still bullish on smaller airlines in the aviation industry, such as HAL and JBUL. From a balance sheet perspective, Alaska Airlines and HAL are the most profitable.
I am more interested in Alaska Airlines and Hawiee Airlines. The smaller airlines generally benefit the most from subsidies on their balance sheets. Additionally, both states have fewer COVID-19 cases and are attractive to travelers in the current market. As the industry recovers, they will be the best to attract customers. Furthermore, they are good candidates for takeovers by private equity firms or larger airlines.
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$KNOT Offshore (KNOP.US)$
This is an odd REIT stock which provided year in and year out dividient (currently at 14% annually) while it keeps growing their equity. Guess it is been counted as natural gas stock but in reality it is a transportation company for carrying and storing gas. Most of the ocean tanker made ton's of money second half of the year and so should this one. But they are slower in providing financial report and hence a slow pace to catch up with reset of the tansportation companies. Normal range of divident was around 6-8%. Based on this persumption and next year's earning estimation, it should should at least double the current price next year.
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This is an odd REIT stock which provided year in and year out dividient (currently at 14% annually) while it keeps growing their equity. Guess it is been counted as natural gas stock but in reality it is a transportation company for carrying and storing gas. Most of the ocean tanker made ton's of money second half of the year and so should this one. But they are slower in providing financial report and hence a slow pace to catch up with reset of the tansportation companies. Normal range of divident was around 6-8%. Based on this persumption and next year's earning estimation, it should should at least double the current price next year.
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occidental petroleum (OXY.US)
Meanwhile, seeing other stocks going up on Xmas rally. The lost time value is what one needs to think about
Meanwhile, seeing other stocks going up on Xmas rally. The lost time value is what one needs to think about
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$Occidental Petroleum (OXY.US)$
Given the market sentiment change, One must ask how much lower can OXY has to go to reach market floor. Since there is no earning for OXY, then the only approximate factor one can consider is P/S.
OXY has a P/S range of 0.41-0.72 with average of 0.57....... However currently market P/S is 0.95, it is way overbought. IMHO, given that sales will still decline in next year, the P/S should be somewhere around 0.7 or less. This translate to a healthy market valuation of $15-16. Those who still hold on the stock will see stock going down further. This is not a market correction, it is a correction of single stock which has been hyped!...
Given the market sentiment change, One must ask how much lower can OXY has to go to reach market floor. Since there is no earning for OXY, then the only approximate factor one can consider is P/S.
OXY has a P/S range of 0.41-0.72 with average of 0.57....... However currently market P/S is 0.95, it is way overbought. IMHO, given that sales will still decline in next year, the P/S should be somewhere around 0.7 or less. This translate to a healthy market valuation of $15-16. Those who still hold on the stock will see stock going down further. This is not a market correction, it is a correction of single stock which has been hyped!...
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$Occidental Petroleum (OXY.US)$
For those still believing kicking out of SP100 is only marginal, I have to say you are so naïve on market sentiment. THE STOCK WILL BE GOING TO 16-17 AT YEAR END BEFORE IT PULL BACK TO 20 LEVEL. Yes, it may reach to a new high at mid 20s some time next year if all kind of suffering will lift the gas price. However, the Expectation is already falling into the stock and it was even hyped with overjoy.
My suggestions will be sell now before it went all the way to 16 pick it up again some time next year after market makes a correction!...
For those still believing kicking out of SP100 is only marginal, I have to say you are so naïve on market sentiment. THE STOCK WILL BE GOING TO 16-17 AT YEAR END BEFORE IT PULL BACK TO 20 LEVEL. Yes, it may reach to a new high at mid 20s some time next year if all kind of suffering will lift the gas price. However, the Expectation is already falling into the stock and it was even hyped with overjoy.
My suggestions will be sell now before it went all the way to 16 pick it up again some time next year after market makes a correction!...
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