Account Info
Log Out
English
Back
Log in to access Online Inquiry
Back to the Top

avatar
Hamish Maclaren Male ID: 70499252
No profile added yet
Follow
    We often see news like this in moomoo, "The U.S. Treasury Yield $U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield (US10Y.BD)$ has recently risen above 1.5%, will it again arouse a wave of selling in the bond market", a new unclear truth Niu friends must be surprised, why would a rise and fall cause a sell-off? Take a look at the current 10-year U.S. bond futures on the CME Exchange that Futu can trade. There are two varieties, namely:
    Let’s look at the $10-Year T-Note Futures(MAR5) (ZNmain.US)$. The transaction is the direct price of Treasury bonds. The multiplier of a futures contract is 1000. Based on the quoted price of 130 US dollars, trading a futures contract is equivalent to nominal Treasury bonds worth 130,000 yuan. The trading margin for each ZN futures is about US$2,000. If you go long, buying from 130 to 132 will result in a profit of US$2,000, which is equivalent to doubling the margin, and vice versa. The contract months of ZN futures are usually March, June, September, and December, and the main contract currently traded is ZN2112.
    Look at the $10-Year Yield Futures(DEC4) (10Ymain.US)$. The transaction is the price of the bond yield, which is what the news above said. A futures contract multiplier is also 1000. According to the quotation of 1.5, the value of each futures contract is only 1,500 US dollars, so the margin is as low as 250 US dollars. If you go long, buying from 1.5 to 1.75 will result in a profit of $250, which is equivalent to doubling the margin, and vice versa. The contract month of 10Y futures is usually a consecutive month starting from the current month, and the main contract currently traded is 10Y2110.
    The price movements of 10-year U.S. Treasury futures (code ZN) and micro 10-year Treasury yield futures (code 10Y) are completely opposite! If the above news says that U.S. Treasury yields have risen above 1.5% recently, then the corresponding "10Y" price has risen, while the "ZN" price has fallen. Don't make any mistakes!
    $Alibaba (BABA.US)$
    1st idea: Short
    Target: $132
    2nd idea: Buy at $132
    Target: $150, $180
    The Chinese stock market still does not show any signs of an upcoming recovery. Nevertheless, we do believe that the correction might be over pretty soon.
    As for Alibaba stock, it dropped out of the global rising channel it usually moves into and even broke through the median line of the 2nd channel, which is a projection of the main one. We expect the price to come to $130 since it is a global support level and the bottom line of the 2nd channel.
    Unfortunately, if a $130 breakout happens, Alibaba will head towards the next support which is only at $86. But we do not believe in this scenario.
    1
    $Meta Platforms (FB.US)$ The recent bounce at 342 will be tested at around 355 if shares are to continue back up. We also have another critical resistance level around 364 based on the previous price action indicated on the chart. Share prices could head back down to previous support at 346.75 and 338 if it fails to hold above 355
    $SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT.US)$ Market is returning to a Bullish / Ranging state
    With the Evergrande dip it seems we now have room for another bullish retracement
    XRT had no major reaction to Evergrade dip and is rising with the market and is now about Evergrande
    Pricing at 0.50 seems decent (11% from strike) -80, 60, strike 85
    XRT has the best contract price of all that I am keen on
    $BABA-W (09988.HK)$ 150 will become an all-time high. Now every minute is the best selling point
    1
    $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$ The trend of the Hang Seng Index today is still the steady trend of yesterday, so the market outlook is likely to be a consolidation market
    1
    The following data is as of 12:00 on September 24
    PIMI revised yesterday: 1.97, rising inflection point
    PIMI today’s estimate: 3.60, rising period
    PIMI-C3 was revised yesterday: 4.19, [optimistic] rising period
    PIMI-C3 today’s estimate: 6.68, [excited] rising period
    Conclusion: 50% to 70% position (conservative strategy)
    $TENCENT (00700.HK)$ $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$ $Hang Seng TECH Index (800700.HK)$
    $E-mini Russell 2000 Index Futures(DEC4) (RTYmain.US)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM.US)$ RTY just completed 3 measured moves up, bringing price over first important resistance, but will it hols? This is all happening AH and PM, so I would not rule out just another bull trap.
    Looking at a longer term chart almost all previous correction consisted of 3 waves down. This one we are experiencing just now had only 2 legs, so I'm still looking for a 3rd one below recent lows.
    In case of a dip, I would be looking for support around 2126.
    $Energy Transfer (ET.US)$ I am quiet Neutral on ET at the moment. It showed some signs of a bounce on the 200 SMA but unless it can reclaim that 50 sma I am not bullish . strong area of resistance in coming which could create the first wave A. wave B could be a retest of the 200 SMA and wave C could be a break through of the 50 sma which will create the beginning of a new bullish trend for ET. All in affect probably mid Oct. with how this market has been all this can be invalid on any news coming from the FED or any update revolving around COVID. Good Luck everyone.
    $Match group (MTCH.US)$ September FOMC did not surpirse us. Even if the Fed showed a hawkish attitude rarely seen since the outbreak, it failed to intimidate the stock marketplace.
    Although the details and speed of each narrative development are different, the cycle is never absent. It is known that taper will happen in the future, followed by increasing interest rates; the stock market can not avoid a correction. Historical experience shows that in the next stage, the index will fluctuate or fall by 15 to 20 percentage points. High-cap, high-quality stocks significantly outperformed small-cap stocks in the last several months as a support for the broader market, which enhances our view that there won't be overall opportunities in the stock market. Still, structural chances are in the coming stage. Therefore, investment tends to become more complicated and more dependent on the screening of individual stocks.
    Of course, the above situation may not happen. What if massive economies like the United States and China start substantial fiscal stimulus again to maintain various economic indicators?
    In addition to the stocks recommended in the "October Bullish Stocks", such as $UBER and $FCEL, which have risen more than 10%, we also recommend $CCL and $V.