Scottie Hatmaker
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$Spire Global (SPIR.US)$ Yesterday, the stock price plummeted by 50%, resulting in an overnight paper loss of $9,000 (approximately RM40,000). My automatic stop-loss Market Order could not be executed during the night session, leaving me to accept this wave of decline.
I think this is a rare practical experience, and I would like to Share my thoughts on how to respond to a sharp decline:
1. First, identify the reason for the sharp drop in stock price.
SPIR is a stock in the space sector, and I really like its business. In November last year, it signed an agreement to sell certain businesses to another company, which caused the stock price to rise. Subsequently, that company defaulted, and SPIR officially issued a lawsuit statement yesterday, leading to a correction of the price increase and a gap down.
Although this wave of news is bearish, it isn’t severe for me and does not directly affect the business model of SPIR, which I am bullish on.
2. Let's analyze the stock price after the sharp decline.
In my previous YouTube video about "gaps", it was mentioned that when stock prices experience a gap down, it indicates a Bearish market, leading the market to prefer selling off, which is often irrational.https://youtu.be/udX6jEygML8
From a technical perspective, the stock price fell sharply to around $9 last night, even lower than the price before the acquisition in November last year. For me, this price level is an overreaction to the bearish news and aligns with the irrational market reaction in gap theory. Therefore, there is no rush to cut losses; $9 is already a reasonable price in the bottom area (meaning that even if the lawsuit is unsuccessful, this company is likely still worth...).
I think this is a rare practical experience, and I would like to Share my thoughts on how to respond to a sharp decline:
1. First, identify the reason for the sharp drop in stock price.
SPIR is a stock in the space sector, and I really like its business. In November last year, it signed an agreement to sell certain businesses to another company, which caused the stock price to rise. Subsequently, that company defaulted, and SPIR officially issued a lawsuit statement yesterday, leading to a correction of the price increase and a gap down.
Although this wave of news is bearish, it isn’t severe for me and does not directly affect the business model of SPIR, which I am bullish on.
2. Let's analyze the stock price after the sharp decline.
In my previous YouTube video about "gaps", it was mentioned that when stock prices experience a gap down, it indicates a Bearish market, leading the market to prefer selling off, which is often irrational.https://youtu.be/udX6jEygML8
From a technical perspective, the stock price fell sharply to around $9 last night, even lower than the price before the acquisition in November last year. For me, this price level is an overreaction to the bearish news and aligns with the irrational market reaction in gap theory. Therefore, there is no rush to cut losses; $9 is already a reasonable price in the bottom area (meaning that even if the lawsuit is unsuccessful, this company is likely still worth...).
Translated
![What to do when the stock price is halved.](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/102894737/20250214/d45cf9089279cdb517edd855e56ad2d6.jpg?area=104&is_public=true)
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Scottie Hatmaker
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Scottie Hatmaker
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$Applovin (APP.US)$ is scheduled to report its four-quarter 2024 on 12 Feb after market close.
APP share price has rallied a massive 466.5% in the past six months, and according to data compiled by Bloomberg, analysts project around $1.263 billion in Q4 revenue and $1.25 in adjusted EPS, reflecting a 32% and 155% YoY increase, respectively.
AppLovin (APP) Last Positive Earnings Call Result In More Than 128% Change
Since the last pos...
APP share price has rallied a massive 466.5% in the past six months, and according to data compiled by Bloomberg, analysts project around $1.263 billion in Q4 revenue and $1.25 in adjusted EPS, reflecting a 32% and 155% YoY increase, respectively.
AppLovin (APP) Last Positive Earnings Call Result In More Than 128% Change
Since the last pos...
![AppLovin (APP) Revenue Boost and Stronger Free Cash Flow To Watch](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/101760671/20250211/a2be69d5d502dbbcb466efe9898b045d.png/thumb?area=101&is_public=true)
![AppLovin (APP) Revenue Boost and Stronger Free Cash Flow To Watch](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/101760671/20250211/06e0f74ba2b3c7e2d3253dcbd2d1c014.png/thumb?area=101&is_public=true)
![AppLovin (APP) Revenue Boost and Stronger Free Cash Flow To Watch](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/101760671/20250211/b66659b3effbaeb823877a9a8894964a.png/thumb?area=101&is_public=true)
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Scottie Hatmaker
liked
Scottie Hatmaker
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ is unable to sustain above 100k. We might be in trouble. However treat it as a trading ticker instead of an investment.
$Strategy (MSTR.US)$ will have a probability of a rug pull happening on Monday.
Short term bearish trend ahead. Probably super break to downtrend if it can't sustain 90k level. It needs to reach above 105k
Stay tuned on how I would see the market!
$Strategy (MSTR.US)$ will have a probability of a rug pull happening on Monday.
Short term bearish trend ahead. Probably super break to downtrend if it can't sustain 90k level. It needs to reach above 105k
Stay tuned on how I would see the market!
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