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股海信步 Private ID: 71046393
纪录我的交易之旅
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    $MicroStrategy (MSTR.US)$ Today rebounded to 8% encountered resistance and fell back, the magical Support level, so accurate.
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    $T-Rex 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF (MSTU.US)$Today's highest price is 12, exactly as predicted yesterday when getting off the train. Thanks to the powerful market momentum! 🍀🍀🍀
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    $MicroStrategy (MSTR.US)$ On Monday, I will pick up someone by reversing the car.
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    $Hippo Holdings (HIPO.US)$ The daily rebound opportunity is coming, with targets at 44/54/72 on the upside and support near 26/24 on the downside. For strong stocks, the low point of the callback is another opportunity to enter the market. Holding patiently can lead to significant gains.
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    $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$
    Review and Deductions of AMD
    12/15/2024
    1. Technical Analysis
    • Double bottom structure: From a technical perspective, AMD has formed a double bottom structure on the daily and medium-term charts. Double bottom structures typically indicate that prices may rebound from the bottom and form an uptrend. AMD's current double bottom structure indicates that its price may see a rebound after a period of decline.
    • Target Price: According to the technical theory of double bottoms, the target price of the rebound can be calculated by adding the distance from the bottom to the top (i.e., the height of the double bottoms) to the point where the rebound begins. From the daily and medium-term charts of AMD, the target price is roughly around 225, with resistance near 120 below.
    • Technical Indicators: By observing AMD's technical indicators (such as RSI, MACD, MFI, CMF, OBV, etc.), these indicators have shown oversold signals with bullish divergences on the daily chart, which may indicate that AMD is preparing for a rebound. In the context of a double bottom structure, the rebound momentum may increase.
    2. News Analysis
    • Macroeconomic Factors: This year's weak performance of AMD may be related to the uncertainty in the macroeconomic environment, especially with the global economic slowdown, supply chain issues, and other factors that have restrained many technology stocks. Investors' sentiment may underestimate AMD due to the overall market weakness.
    • Industry Competition: The semiconductor industry where AMD is located is highly competitive, especially in competition with companies such as Intel and NVIDIA. Although AMD excels in technology...
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    $Sezzle (SEZL.US)$
    SEZL review and deduction
    12/15/2024
    Stocks showing strong performance
    SEZL is a very strong performing stock, having risen more than 13 times since the beginning of the year, and over 21 times in the past year. Strong stocks typically exhibit strong market leadership and provide good buying opportunities during pullbacks. Therefore, the best strategy for investors in such stocks is usually to enter at the low point of a pullback and hold them for the medium to long term, rather than focus too much on short-term fluctuations.
    Technical analysis
    1. Wave structure and retracement:
    Since November 22, SEZL has experienced a significant retracement from $478 to $309, most likely completing a daily level correction wave. At this point, the stock price may be close to the support level, preparing to enter the upward phase of wave 5. The previous trading day ended near the lower gap, further confirming the possibility of a rebound.
    2. Support and Resistance Levels:
    • Support Level: The current support level is in the range of $290 to $307. If the stock price can stabilize and start rebounding within this range, it will be an ideal entry opportunity.
    • Short-term support: The 30-minute chart shows that the short-term support above is at $330, breaking this price level may trigger a larger rebound.
    • Long-term resistance levels: On the 1-hour and 2-hour charts, the upper resistance of the descending wedge is at 39...
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    $MicroStrategy (MSTR.US)$
    Weekend review of MicroStrategy (MSTR)
    Stock overview:
    MicroStrategy (MSTR) is a business intelligence software company that has recently gained attention due to its bitcoin investments. The price trend of MSTR is closely related to the volatility of bitcoin, and investors closely monitor the impact of bitcoin market performance on MSTR's stock price.
    Technical analysis
    1. Daily Cycle:
    • Trend: microstrategy is currently in a consolidation phase, with prices fluctuating in the $375-400 range. Although prices have risen recently, the performance of MSTR's stock price remains uncertain due to the volatility of the bitcoin market.
    • Support and Resistance:
    • Support Level: $375 is a key short-term support, if broken, could further decline towards around $340.
    • Resistance: Around $400 is the current main resistance area, a breakthrough could further test $445.
    • Technical Indicator:
    • RSI: The current RSI is approaching 70, indicating that the market has entered the overbought zone, which may face a short-term risk of a pullback.
    • MACD: MACD has shown a bearish divergence, indicating that the upward momentum is gradually weakening.
    2. Weekly Cycle Period:
    • Trend: The weekly chart shows microstrategy in an upward channel, but the price is approaching the support area around $440. If it breaks through this area, it may further rise to $550-640, but if...
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    $BTC/USD (BTCUSD.CC)$ Bitcoin multi-cycle technical review and analysis (with the impact of Trump's victory)
    Bitcoin broke through the $0.1 million mark this week before falling back. In the short term, daily fluctuations may revolve around the $0.1 million range, while the target for the weekly rebound could rise further to $0.124 million. At the same time, Trump's re-election may have a potential impact on the bitcoin market. Here is a detailed analysis and recommendation:
    The impact of Trump's victory on bitcoin
    • Macro environment:
    • Trump's policy tends to focus on tax cuts and deregulation, which is generally seen as bullish for risk assets, including bitcoin.
    • During his term, Trump has a strong tendency to intervene in Fed policies, which may affect the strength of the US dollar. If the loose policy continues, the expectation of dollar depreciation will further boost the price of bitcoin.
    • Market Sentiment:
    • Trump has criticized Bitcoin and cryptocurrency, believing that they may affect the status of the US dollar. However, his economic policies indirectly favor the adoption of cryptocurrency.
    • Investors may see Trump's re-election as a driving factor for high-risk assets such as US stocks and bitcoin, leading to a more optimistic market sentiment in the short term.
    Technical analysis: Multi-period assessment
    1. Daily Analysis
    • Trend and Pattern: Currently, bitcoin is consolidating around $100,000, with $104,000 forming a phase resistance, while $98,500 becomes a short-term support, indicating a clear range of volatility.
    • Technical signal:
    • RSI: at a high level, showing some overbought signals, but no obvious divergence.
    • MACD: Momentum column shrinking...
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