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$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ Oh no, fake news, it cost me a fortune.
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$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$
A friend previously left a message asking me if I sold TLT at 83. Yes, I did buy at 84 and sold at 83 at that time. Currently bought back at 87.
Let's give an example, at the beginning of the year. $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ When it dropped to 100, how many people dared to buy? For example, if someone bought Tesla at the bottom of 150 at the end of last year, only to realize it was caught halfway down, how many can withstand it falling to 100? Setting stop-loss and cutting losses is not a big issue, and it's very reasonable not to buy at 102 during the dip. We are not fortune-tellers who can predict from the stars.However, after hitting the bottom and bouncing back, breaking through 125, the signal of trend reversal is very clear. Is it time to buy back in now?
Currently, I am bullish on TLT for several reasons:
1. The government debt issuance has slowed down, especially with fewer long-term bonds issued.
2. The economy has weakened. Unemployment rates have risen, and the number of new jobs added has significantly decreased.
3. The US dollar has dropped below a key level (105-106), entering a downtrend.
4. TLT has broken through a key level, crossed above the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages. Today it pulled back, suitable for buying on dips. Actually, it broke through last Thursday, but I waited for the nonfarm payroll report.
5. Although the weakening of the US dollar and the decrease in interest rates are bullish for the stock market, the valuations of large technology companies are currently too high. Bad economic news will sooner or later be reflected in the decline of EPS, and the stock market's rise is unsustainable. Furthermore, I'm waiting...
A friend previously left a message asking me if I sold TLT at 83. Yes, I did buy at 84 and sold at 83 at that time. Currently bought back at 87.
Let's give an example, at the beginning of the year. $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ When it dropped to 100, how many people dared to buy? For example, if someone bought Tesla at the bottom of 150 at the end of last year, only to realize it was caught halfway down, how many can withstand it falling to 100? Setting stop-loss and cutting losses is not a big issue, and it's very reasonable not to buy at 102 during the dip. We are not fortune-tellers who can predict from the stars.However, after hitting the bottom and bouncing back, breaking through 125, the signal of trend reversal is very clear. Is it time to buy back in now?
Currently, I am bullish on TLT for several reasons:
1. The government debt issuance has slowed down, especially with fewer long-term bonds issued.
2. The economy has weakened. Unemployment rates have risen, and the number of new jobs added has significantly decreased.
3. The US dollar has dropped below a key level (105-106), entering a downtrend.
4. TLT has broken through a key level, crossed above the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages. Today it pulled back, suitable for buying on dips. Actually, it broke through last Thursday, but I waited for the nonfarm payroll report.
5. Although the weakening of the US dollar and the decrease in interest rates are bullish for the stock market, the valuations of large technology companies are currently too high. Bad economic news will sooner or later be reflected in the decline of EPS, and the stock market's rise is unsustainable. Furthermore, I'm waiting...
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$Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ You can have a gamble.
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$Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$ Hold on during the large cap collapse, you really deserve it...
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$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ The bottom is not far away.
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$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ Five waves fall, what price can it reach?
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Thrilling! Interest rates on long-term bonds are rapidly approaching 5%. Can tech stocks still work?
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$
The 30-year treasury bond has broken through 4.9, sprinting towards the 5% target.
My prediction: when it reaches 5%, there will be a rebound, and it won't be that easy to break through all of a sudden. However, the possibility of rushing to 5.5% again later is not ruled out. But right now, it's a short-term low.
My judgment on TLT was to speed up the bottom. The bottom was the 5% interest rate on long-term bonds, which then bottomed out and rebounded. The corresponding TLT price is around 85.
According to the plan, I sold 85 of the put, which expires this Friday. If it were to be exercised, it would be considered a plagiarism. If you don't exercise your power, go to the market on the right and buy the underlying stock to copy the bottom.
Let's see a rebound of 95 for now, unless there are any black swans.
Today's stock debt is bloody. The CNN Fear Greed Index fell below 20 and is currently 17. The market is extremely fearful.
If meat is cut or shorted at this time, it is likely that it will be harvested. The warehouse can be exchanged. I sold half of my energy stocks and stopped losing half $American Airlines (AAL.US)$ , I'm considering what to switch to. I haven't thought about it yet.
presently $UnitedHealth (UNH.US)$ as well $Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP.US)$ The position is already very heavy, and TLT has been added to the bond side...
The 30-year treasury bond has broken through 4.9, sprinting towards the 5% target.
My prediction: when it reaches 5%, there will be a rebound, and it won't be that easy to break through all of a sudden. However, the possibility of rushing to 5.5% again later is not ruled out. But right now, it's a short-term low.
My judgment on TLT was to speed up the bottom. The bottom was the 5% interest rate on long-term bonds, which then bottomed out and rebounded. The corresponding TLT price is around 85.
According to the plan, I sold 85 of the put, which expires this Friday. If it were to be exercised, it would be considered a plagiarism. If you don't exercise your power, go to the market on the right and buy the underlying stock to copy the bottom.
Let's see a rebound of 95 for now, unless there are any black swans.
Today's stock debt is bloody. The CNN Fear Greed Index fell below 20 and is currently 17. The market is extremely fearful.
If meat is cut or shorted at this time, it is likely that it will be harvested. The warehouse can be exchanged. I sold half of my energy stocks and stopped losing half $American Airlines (AAL.US)$ , I'm considering what to switch to. I haven't thought about it yet.
presently $UnitedHealth (UNH.US)$ as well $Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP.US)$ The position is already very heavy, and TLT has been added to the bond side...
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$Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ Your big brother is so strong, he can't even handle you?
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$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ What is Tesla's next support level? Are there any professional gods to analyze
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$ASML Holding (ASML.US)$ There is a 90% chance that it will break the position, a 5-10% drop, so be prepared for the money to take over.
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差多少 : There is no need for technology; negative news is an opportunity to increase positions