Copper Futures (HG) Breakout: Strategic Momentum or Exhaustion Ahead?
Copper (HGmain, May 2025) surged to $5.1940 (+1.99%), pushing through key resistance as bulls seized momentum. The breakout is technically strong—but the disciplined trader must now ask: Is this a continuation… or a setup for a tactical pullback?
Key Technical Highlights:
• Price Range: $5.0765 (low) to $5.2145 (high)
• MACD (12,26,9): Bullish crossover in...
Copper (HGmain, May 2025) surged to $5.1940 (+1.99%), pushing through key resistance as bulls seized momentum. The breakout is technically strong—but the disciplined trader must now ask: Is this a continuation… or a setup for a tactical pullback?
Key Technical Highlights:
• Price Range: $5.0765 (low) to $5.2145 (high)
• MACD (12,26,9): Bullish crossover in...
Markets Open with Cautious Strength – But the Battlefield Isn’t Clear Yet.
• S&P 500 Futures (ES) are up +14.50 to 5830, showing a modest rebound.
• Dow / Nasdaq / Nikkei / HSI Futures all green – global markets are lifting cautiously.
• VIX is down 1.10%, back under 18 – showing easing fear, but not complacency.
• Bond Yields are ticking higher:
• 10Y: 4.354%
• 5Y: 4.107%
• Curve remains flat, signaling indecision ...
• S&P 500 Futures (ES) are up +14.50 to 5830, showing a modest rebound.
• Dow / Nasdaq / Nikkei / HSI Futures all green – global markets are lifting cautiously.
• VIX is down 1.10%, back under 18 – showing easing fear, but not complacency.
• Bond Yields are ticking higher:
• 10Y: 4.354%
• 5Y: 4.107%
• Curve remains flat, signaling indecision ...
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S&P 500 Futures Break Out—But Is It a Trap or a Tactical Victory?
March 24, 2025 | The Roman Sun Tzu Method™
The market just fired a signal shot—and traders are listening.
E-mini S&P 500 Futures (JUN5) have broken out above 5800, rising +1.59% on the day and reclaiming key technical levels:
• Back above the 20-day EMA (5774)
• Testing the 50-day EMA (5877)
• Bollinger Band midline reclaimed
• SAR flipped bullish
• CCI at 100...
March 24, 2025 | The Roman Sun Tzu Method™
The market just fired a signal shot—and traders are listening.
E-mini S&P 500 Futures (JUN5) have broken out above 5800, rising +1.59% on the day and reclaiming key technical levels:
• Back above the 20-day EMA (5774)
• Testing the 50-day EMA (5877)
• Bollinger Band midline reclaimed
• SAR flipped bullish
• CCI at 100...
7
1
Strategic Implication – The Roman Sun Tzu Method™ View: $SPX $SPY $ES
“To strike when the enemy is overextended, to withdraw when the ground is uncertain—this is wisdom.”
This bounce is now approaching major resistance:
•Fibonacci 38.2% retracement: Key level in technical analysis where many rallies stall or reverse.
•200 DMA: Psychological and technical battlefield line. Bulls need to hold above 5752 to claim momentum; other...
“To strike when the enemy is overextended, to withdraw when the ground is uncertain—this is wisdom.”
This bounce is now approaching major resistance:
•Fibonacci 38.2% retracement: Key level in technical analysis where many rallies stall or reverse.
•200 DMA: Psychological and technical battlefield line. Bulls need to hold above 5752 to claim momentum; other...
3
Monday Morning Battle Brief: March 25, 2025
E-mini S&P 500 Futures (June) are charging higher —
5785.25 at last check, up +67 points (+1.17%).
Treasury yields ticking up. Dollar lower. Markets await S&P Global PMIs and watch for developments in Ukraine talks and tariff headlines.
⸻
Technical Read (Short-Term):
• Breakout in progress: Pushing above recent consolidation
• RSI(6): 63.28 — strong momentum, not yet overbought
• MACD: Fresh bullish cros...
E-mini S&P 500 Futures (June) are charging higher —
5785.25 at last check, up +67 points (+1.17%).
Treasury yields ticking up. Dollar lower. Markets await S&P Global PMIs and watch for developments in Ukraine talks and tariff headlines.
⸻
Technical Read (Short-Term):
• Breakout in progress: Pushing above recent consolidation
• RSI(6): 63.28 — strong momentum, not yet overbought
• MACD: Fresh bullish cros...
5
Life Below 200 DMA: Why the Market’s Breakdown Is More Than Just a Dip.
Introduction:
The S&P 500 just broke a four-week losing streak—but don’t let the bounce fool you. The index is now trading below its 200-day moving average, and over half of its components have joined it. As Paul Tudor Jones warned:
“Nothing good happens below the 200-day moving average.”
Under The Roman Sun Tzu Method™:
“The disciplined gen...
Introduction:
The S&P 500 just broke a four-week losing streak—but don’t let the bounce fool you. The index is now trading below its 200-day moving average, and over half of its components have joined it. As Paul Tudor Jones warned:
“Nothing good happens below the 200-day moving average.”
Under The Roman Sun Tzu Method™:
“The disciplined gen...
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🚨 Quad Witching Chaos: How Today’sVolatility isn’t done yet. Expiry Could Trigger a Bigger Move $SPX
📉 SPX under pressure, volume surging. What’s next?
Today marks Quad Witching, where index futures, options, stock options, and single-stock futures all expire at once—driving massive volume, volatility, and dealer repositioning.
Key levels in play:
✔ Support: 5600 – A break below could trigger forced selling from dealers due to negative gamma.
✔ Resistance: 5705-5720 – Clearing this zone might i...
Today marks Quad Witching, where index futures, options, stock options, and single-stock futures all expire at once—driving massive volume, volatility, and dealer repositioning.
Key levels in play:
✔ Support: 5600 – A break below could trigger forced selling from dealers due to negative gamma.
✔ Resistance: 5705-5720 – Clearing this zone might i...
6
Friday Market Update: Quad Witching, CTA Positioning & Volatility Watch
1️⃣ Triple Witching in Focus
• $4.5 Trillion in Options Expiring → Major dealer flows will dictate price action.
• SPY Max Pain: $580 → Spot price well below, implying dealers may push for a reversion move.
2️⃣ CTA Selling Slowing?
• After weeks of liquidation, CTA positioning is turning slightly less negative.
• If systematic flows flip net...
1️⃣ Triple Witching in Focus
• $4.5 Trillion in Options Expiring → Major dealer flows will dictate price action.
• SPY Max Pain: $580 → Spot price well below, implying dealers may push for a reversion move.
2️⃣ CTA Selling Slowing?
• After weeks of liquidation, CTA positioning is turning slightly less negative.
• If systematic flows flip net...
4
Triple Witching & Market Volatility: What to Watch
Tomorrow marks triple witching, the expiration of stock options, index options, and futures. Historically, this event brings high volatility, sharp moves, and increased trading volume as institutional traders adjust positions.
Key Market Signals:
• S&P 500 Futures (ES): Struggling to hold 5700, a key battleground.
• Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ): Weakness in tech, trading below 19,850.
...
Tomorrow marks triple witching, the expiration of stock options, index options, and futures. Historically, this event brings high volatility, sharp moves, and increased trading volume as institutional traders adjust positions.
Key Market Signals:
• S&P 500 Futures (ES): Struggling to hold 5700, a key battleground.
• Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ): Weakness in tech, trading below 19,850.
...
9
1
🚨 $SPX Fed Day Setup: Volatility Incoming? 🚨
📈 S&P 500 Futures: 5679.75 (+0.19%)
📉 VIX: 20.27 (-0.88%) → Low VIX, but IV rising
📊 Technical Levels:
• SPX at 5633
• Resistance: EMA20 (5754), EMA50 (5866)**
• Support: 5504 recent low
🔍 Market Signals:
• IV Up, GEX Down → Less dealer hedging = more volatility ahead
• MACD & RSI still weak, signaling bearish pressure
• CCI (-43.59) → No extreme sell-off signal, but still in a correction phase
🗣️ E...
📈 S&P 500 Futures: 5679.75 (+0.19%)
📉 VIX: 20.27 (-0.88%) → Low VIX, but IV rising
📊 Technical Levels:
• SPX at 5633
• Resistance: EMA20 (5754), EMA50 (5866)**
• Support: 5504 recent low
🔍 Market Signals:
• IV Up, GEX Down → Less dealer hedging = more volatility ahead
• MACD & RSI still weak, signaling bearish pressure
• CCI (-43.59) → No extreme sell-off signal, but still in a correction phase
🗣️ E...
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