Based on past experience, the stock market usually hits rock bottom. $VIX Index Futures(DEC4) (VXmain.US)$When it reaches above 50!
But in this bear market, the S&P briefly touched a price of 3491, but the VIX has yet to reach 50 or higher (peaking at only 38)! Will this time be different from the past? I think only time can answer that~
However, due to the experiences of the past two years, investors have developed the mentality of investing again, believing that if it drops today, it will rise tomorrow~
It seems that the world is gradually moving away from globalization towards deglobalization!
In addition, with the excessive quantitative easing of the past two years and the current violent interest rate hikes, I personally think that the probability of a financial crisis is somewhat high and difficult to prevent~
Because derivative commodities are so complex, even the trading managers may not know, FED can only wait until things really happen to rescue the market under such circumstances and background!
But whether the worst scenario will happen, no one knows!
Although the personal view is very high probability...
Feel free to leave comments for discussion!
And assuming it really happened, what do you think, audience? $E-mini S&P 500 Futures(DEC4) (ESmain.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ Where will the spot price correct to? And at what point will you be willing to go all in, even bottom fishing at all costs?
Welcome to vote and discuss together~
The voting time will be until the end of this year...

過去的經驗來看,股市真正觸底都是VIX到達50以上！
但這次的熊市標普一度觸及3491的價位，但VIX卻遲遲未到達50以上（最高只有38）！是否這次會跟過去不一樣？我想只有時間能解答~
但因為過往二年的經歷，讓投資者養成了抱今日下跌明日就能上漲的心態再投資~
現今的全球似乎已經逐步的從原先的全球化走向逆全球化！
加上過去二年的過度QE與現在的暴力升息下，個人認為爆發金融危機機率似乎有些高，而且很難預防~
因為衍生性商品到底有多複雜，可能連操盤的經理人自己都不知道，這樣的狀況與背景下，FED只能等事情真的發生在來拯救市場！
但最壞的狀況到底會不會發生，不知道！
雖然個人觀點是非常的高機率...
歡迎留言探討！
而假設真的發生了，看官覺得標普現貨又會修正到哪個點位呢？而那個點位又是會讓你願意傾家蕩產的也想抄底，在所不惜呢！？
歡迎一同投票討論~
投票時間到今年底，畢竟個人認為可能發生的時間是明年🤣🤣
$iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX.US)$ $NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ $ ...

May I ask everyone, is the valuation of SOXX currently within a reasonable range?
What price is considered expensive? And what price is considered cheap?
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$

May I ask everyone, is the valuation of SOXX currently within a reasonable range?
What price is considered expensive? What price is considered cheap?
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(DEC4) (NQmain.US)$ $E-mini Dow Futures(DEC4) (YMmain.US)$ $E-mini S&P 500 Futures(DEC4) (ESmain.US)$

May I ask everyone, is the valuation of SOXX currently within a reasonable range?
What price is considered expensive? What price is considered cheap?
$iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX.US)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH.US)$ $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$

$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3x Shares ETF (SOXS.US)$ Just asking, what are everyone's costs?

$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
SOXL has been destroyed in just the past week, ceding a third of its value.
The long-term outlook for semis remains strong but faces headwinds near term.
SOXL is very oversold and looks ready to bounce.
The latest selling episode in the markets - which feels like about the 900th such episode this year - has crushed high-growth/high-valuation sectors once again. Perhaps no one sector better exempl...

If $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF (TQQQ.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro S&P500 ETF (UPRO.US)$ If encountered 08, what will be the result?

$VIX Index Futures(DEC4) (VXmain.US)$ $E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(DEC4) (NQmain.US)$ $E-mini Dow Futures(DEC4) (YMmain.US)$
How do you think the large cap will perform tonight?