Nyck
OP
:
Yes but the US Bonds for 10-year are going up as well. Usually when bond prices rise stock prices fall. I anticipate that tomorrow there will be a 1%-2% correction down. I’m calling it with a 192.5 put.
Nyck
OP
:
In 2022 when Russia attacked Ukraine there were similar market fluctuations. Then there was the Iran attack that was imminent. The stock resistance level was lowering. I could tell that the previous day the Meta puts saw an 80% loss before recouping that lost to close 60% lower. Usually if the option is completely out of the money the 80% goes to 95% lost due to the buying pressure. Since the lost starting losing steam on the put side I could tell there would be a huge fluctuations of 4%-5% at most on the stock. The indicator for me was the calls saw a 300% gain while the puts had lost only 80%-60% so the spike was temporary, if the puts had lost 90% I would have said the stock is going up. A similar thing happened in 2020 during the historic wildfires in California.
Nyck OP : Yes but the US Bonds for 10-year are going up as well. Usually when bond prices rise stock prices fall. I anticipate that tomorrow there will be a 1%-2% correction down. I’m calling it with a 192.5 put.
Nyck OP Juhil Patel : yes