Desalegn Abera
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Market Status: Multiple Pressures Behind the Correction
On March 19, the S&P 500 closed at 5,614.66, down 10.1% from its February 19 peak, marking the first correction since October 2023. This decline occurred in just 3.5 weeks, much faster than the nearly 3-month correction in 2023. The index erased all gains from the "Trump rally" since November 2024, reflecting concerns over tariffs, stagflation, and supply chain issues...
On March 19, the S&P 500 closed at 5,614.66, down 10.1% from its February 19 peak, marking the first correction since October 2023. This decline occurred in just 3.5 weeks, much faster than the nearly 3-month correction in 2023. The index erased all gains from the "Trump rally" since November 2024, reflecting concerns over tariffs, stagflation, and supply chain issues...
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Desalegn Abera
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Since Donald Trump's election win on Nov. 6, the "Trump trade" has accelerated, driving U.S. $U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield (US10Y.BD)$ to 4.5%, the dollar index past 108, $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ near $100,000, and gold prices lower.
Analysts predict Trump's second-term policies could echo his first, but with a swifter pace and more assertive domestic and foreign agendas. Expectations are for a stronger application of the "A...
Analysts predict Trump's second-term policies could echo his first, but with a swifter pace and more assertive domestic and foreign agendas. Expectations are for a stronger application of the "A...
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Desalegn Abera
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The Historical Experience of the End of Interest Rate Hikes
When it comes to the impact of the end of interest rate hikes on assets, it is essentially transmitted through the downward trend in financing costs. However, the interest rate cycle is also the result of the economic cycle. By analyzing the experience of several rounds of interest rate hikes over the past few decades, there are some rules:
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The Historical Experience of the End of Interest Rate Hikes
When it comes to the impact of the end of interest rate hikes on assets, it is essentially transmitted through the downward trend in financing costs. However, the interest rate cycle is also the result of the economic cycle. By analyzing the experience of several rounds of interest rate hikes over the past few decades, there are some rules:
1...
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