• 10baggerbamm OP xiaoswee : AMDL, THIS IS WHAT I WILL SELL THE PUTS ON NOT THE COMMON STOCK

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• 10baggerbamm OP digimonX : the comments from micron in the comments from Dell show a lack of consumer demand so the only way you can work through consumer demand is to cut prices that's how it's done because the manufacturing has already built dram chips Dell has already built the personal computer line. the mu drama chips in cell phones are already built so what do they do with the cell phones they give them away through cellular one AT&T Verizon rather than give you one they give you two just to get rid of the inventory they have to work through the inventory because the demand side on consumer end is weaker than what was anticipated that's why there's an abundance of supply and that's why they said back half that's what micron said back half of 25

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• 10baggerbamm OP Too Tall : the leading company right now is aerovironment avav. you look at the return to shareholders
  it's enormous. a lot of this is because of the war that's going on in Ukraine the question is when President Trump resolves this war because Putin already has reached out to Trump and says he wants this to end and Putin's going to want to take over a portion of the land of Ukraine and there's going to have to be concessions made on a Ukraine's end but the war will come to an end so a company like this you really scratch your head and you say okay if the wars are going to be ending and Ukraine and Russia in the Middle East with Israel because that's going to come to an end too against Hamas and Hezbollah under Trump then the demand for these types of weapons will have to decline. well this is a company that stock if they have a decline in revenue year over year quarter to quarter stocks going to get crushed but the smaller companies that go from no orders to one order to two orders their revenue growth will be hundreds of a percent year every year so I think there's more upside in looking at the ones that are on the evolutionary cutting edge design of technology then a mature company like avav which is the 800 lb gorilla right now

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• 10baggerbamm OP MonkeyGee : You sure about that you ever hear of a company called Taiwan semiconductor I don't think that they're Fab is in China
  The majority of NVIDIA's advanced GPU chips are manufactured at TSMC's facilities in Taiwan, primarily in Hsinchu, Taichung, Tainan, and Kaohsiung. Additionally, TSMC is expanding its presence in the U.S. with a cutting-edge fab in Phoenix, Arizona, set to produce 4nm chips starting in 2025

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• 10baggerbamm OP MonkeyGee : look the point is you're wrong you said China and they don't do shit in China it's Taiwan

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• 10baggerbamm OP MonkeyGee : look you were wrong admit it that's what investing is it's admitting when you're right and admitting when you're wrong and owning your actions when you're wrong Taiwan is not China Taiwan is Taiwan and China is not going to do anything with Taiwan when Trump is President guaranteed will never happen

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• 10baggerbamm OP smoothshoe : Google reversed on a dime it went from being front and center and dojs crosshairs for splitting up the company as a result of monopolistic practices having 90% of search and the stock was down I don't know 15% or so to reversing on a dime when they announced Willow something that adds zero revenue to their company. so IBM has built something that is basically the same quantum computer as Google  and it does nothing for their stock

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• 10baggerbamm OP modest Narwhal_1005 : I look at everything and you balance it out I mean you have to understand that like if you're referring to Nvidia it's dirt cheap from a PEG ratio there's not a single mag 7 that remotely comes close unless you want to forecast autonomous driving in full force generating billions of dollars in revenue to Tesla and Optimus in full production. and that hasn't happened yet and it's completely unrealistic to even look at that right now you look at what they're booking and nvidia's dirt cheap you just have to deal with people that say their best days are behind it and they're slowing.

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• 10baggerbamm OP modest Narwhal_1005 : pt 2
  Nvidia is slowing because they can't grow a 200%, they can't grow it 150 they grew at 90 next year's expected to be 70 which means they'll probably turn out 75 to 80 the argument that I use to every single person that says the best days of Nvidia behind it is Apple computer only had 4% revenue growth this year that's it and yet it said another all-time high.
  so Blackwell's coming out either already is an advanced level Blackwell kind of like a souped-up version that will come out Midway through the year but before Ruben which will be late fall next year and at that point in time Jensen will come out and announce something that will be coming out in 26 late.
  so if in 2026 because of competition and video only grows at 60% and then a 2027 50% and 2028 35%, so what look how many stocks grow at 30% best case scenario in this marketplace as a tech company and they said all-time highs.
  so Nvidia is going to set many many more all-time highs in the years to come you just have to be able to suck it up and ignore these fucking idiots on TV because most of them are wrong and if you look at their track record Google it look up their names look at their track record they suck I mean plain and simple they're terrible they're lagging the S&P and yet they charge us enormous premium that our clients and they can't even equal what a basket does.
  so you want to look at everything and balance it out and you want to accumulate when people don't like it so the next quarter knock wood Nvdia sets another all-time high what do you do you sell half your position because it's going to sell off after that all-time high and consolidate at lower levels again and then you get to buy it back 15 to 20% cheaper and wait for the next push.

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• 10baggerbamm OP modest Narwhal_1005 : the company is fine Taiwan Semi is fine the issue becomes what's going to happen with Trump, XI and Taiwan.
  if we roll the clock back earlier this year Taiwan Semi came out on a Tuesday,. automaker by sales they exceeded earnings revenue and guided higher and the same exact day Trump came out and said if Taiwan wants protection from China they will pay us. the result was Taiwan semi started to slide and continued to slide along with multiple other chip companies that Taiwan semi builds everything their entire product line for..
  TSM has a fad facility they're building in Arizona there's one other that they're constructing but it's very small compared to their main facility.

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• 10baggerbamm OP modest Narwhal_1005 : pt 2
  president Trump is respected worldwide unlike the shit bag that's in office right now that bows down to other world leaders. and president Trump if you ever read the art of the deal you would know this if you have not you need to buy a copy and read it because it will help you understand everything that he says is strategic like a chess master.
  so I think he's going to come out very stern against XI of China. flat out telling him you're not going to go near Taiwan you're not going to touch Taiwan you're going to stop your fucking war games around the island where you surround it on six sides it's done because if you continue this we're going to tariff the shit out of everything that you want to send to the United States by 200 and 300% and your country will die economically.

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• 10baggerbamm OP modest Narwhal_1005 : pt 3
  Xi understands Trump will do this so there is a come to Jesus moment where there is a sit-down and they understand they being China that they just dominated the US dumped in the US market for 4 years and now they're going to have to tolerate the shit a president Trump because the ramifications are going to be very bad economically if they don't.
  so what does that mean for TSM when he comes out swinging telling XI this is what you're going to do I think the market will sell off stocks and then comer heads prevail and then they're going to rally again.
  so with the leveraged ETF you need to accumulate it on weakness because if you're buying it up two bucks in a day that next morning on a political event it can be down $3.
  and if you get a gap up in a week of $4 $5 you have to take the profits in it sell leave your profits in the ETF take your principal out. you also need to use options and I don't know if this one I didn't look at it I do follow it but I didn't look to see if they have weekly options or monthly monthly screw things up royally. but you need to sell puts to accumulate the positions in the collect the premium on it when it's up ticking and when you think it's about peak you need to sell calls against the position that's long that you still own your core position because these stocks are not going to go straight up 45° come January 20th.

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• 10baggerbamm OP Little miner : black rock is actually buying any and all liquidations of Bitcoin and holding it themselves they are not selling to the open market so when they have liquidations within their ETFs they are buying it themselves.
  Michael Saylor is not selling any Bitcoin ever those are his words.

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• 10baggerbamm OP JFL : what I said this morning holds true you've got primarily 10 large holdings in this basket ( there's more  just less then one percent) most of the top 10 have been taken out behind the barn and beaten to death, micron most recently. AMD has been this bloodbath, this constant death by A thousand cuts. it's the second largest holding in this basket it's down over constantly from March of this year. I just hope you get the dogs of the Dow mentality with tech stocks people that are contrarians by the laggers that were the losers in hopes that there's a rebound maybe in fundamentals but if nothing less than when institutions rebalance their portfolios where they had no position in it they're going to buy a little bit and the cumulative effect of everybody buying a little bit can lead to significantly higher stock prices.

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• 10baggerbamm OP JFL : 29 is a level of resistance and this is not an exact science because it can go a little above it or stay a little beneath it but everybody sees it and literally when it crossed 29 the algorithmic sell program kicked in and brought it down about 50 cents very quickly.
  the balance of this week is not a lot tomorrow to 1:00 close Wednesday the market shut down Thursday volumes like Friday the volume is light
  it's very very easy to manipulate individual companies or baskets of companies when you don't have retail buyers.
  and it's easier to knock something down than it is to bit it up it's easier to collude with market makers and say look I'm going to be hitting bids shorting the stock I don't want you getting hurt walk away just pull your bids away from the market.

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• 10baggerbamm OP JFL : pt 2
  when it hit 29 today I sold calls against it for Friday I sold the $30.50 calls I only did a some of my position.
  in retrospect I was wrong I should have done the whole position.
  I had thought a week ago that we were going to see $34 with a Santa Claus rally and I said this early in December and micron and chairman Mao destroyed that chance.
  if we could get back to 30 I think that's a huge victory at this point.
  after the first of the year it's a complete crapshoot because there's valid arguments on both sides the first being people are deferring profits right now till after the first it was a very strong year so they're just going to be selling come January 1, and it may last a week a week and a half and if that happens that's when all of the cockroaches will come out and go are we going to have our 10% correction right now so goes January so goes the rest of the year you'll hear all these stories regurgitated they just pull them out of there back pocket
  the other side of the coin is we've got Trump and I think if there is a little bit of profit taking people will say should you buy the dip Trump's here he's going to be great for business GDP is going to go up pet companies are cash Rich they're not dependent upon interest rates to do business so it really the pendulum can go both ways and there's valid arguments and I don't know what the first week in January is going to bring.
  what I've been doing around my core position as I sell calls against half on the long side and then I sell puts on what I seem to believe is a support line and I'm not just referring to this basket I'm saying across the board that's what I've been doing so I collect the premium on the call side if I lose the stock or the ETF it's only a portion of what I own and I'm also selling puts on support lines short-term one week at a time and collecting the premium that are downside and if I get put it I'm fine with it because it's an ETF or company I want to own.

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• 10baggerbamm OP JFL : options are a great way to add income and reduce risk if you do it the way that I do it.
  very infrequently do I buy calls so I might do as an example 150 option trades a year of that maybe five or six am I betting a stock is going to go up to a certain price within a certain period of time and buying a call or buying a put betting that a stock is going to fall to a certain price within a certain period of time.
  what I do I view as being like the casino the house
  if there's a stock that I own I have my core position and then I have a secondary trading position around it that trading position I will sell calls against so somebody pays me the premium up front if it closes above that strike price I lose it but it's a win-win I've made money from my initial investment I've collected the premium I'm fine with it.

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• 10baggerbamm OP JFL : pr 2
  sometimes selling calls can bite you in the ass and the most recent case was Tesla post-election I sold calls as a hedge because I believed that Democrats were going to steal another election and the market took off so I lost Tesla (TSLL)  at $12 at $15 at $18 on the way up but
  I've been selling puts on the stock collecting premiums the entire time and I've been buying the stock and immediately selling calls against it so yeah I would have been better had I not sold calls against my original position but it's probably only about a 10-15% difference which is not that bad considering how much Tesla stock has gone up.
  and then what I also do is I sell puts but you only want to sell puts on companies that you want to own or an ETF that you want to own.
  again typically I don't like going out more than a week at a time and that's because the Dynamics in this market between what's going on in this country from a political standpoint from an economic standpoint what's going on around the world it changes so fast nowadays that if you lock something in for an extended period of time like 6 months you can really screw yourself royally.
  so I sell puts typically for a week expiration at a time and I look for the support lines the last sell-off for example how low it traded, what's the general trend of the stock of the market of the sector what is the real technical support on a 20-day moving average and you look at it and you come up with a number and you compare it to where the strike prices are and you sell the amount that you want to own if you get put the stock.

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