Ada 2022
commented on
Thrilling! Interest rates on long-term bonds are rapidly approaching 5%. Can tech stocks still work?
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$
The 30-year treasury bond has broken through 4.9, sprinting towards the 5% target.
My prediction: when it reaches 5%, there will be a rebound, and it won't be that easy to break through all of a sudden. However, the possibility of rushing to 5.5% again later is not ruled out. But right now, it's a short-term low.
My judgment on TLT was to speed up the bottom. The bottom was the 5% interest rate on long-term bonds, which then bottomed out and rebounded. The corresponding TLT price is around 85.
According to the plan, I sold 85 of the put, which expires this Friday. If it were to be exercised, it would be considered a plagiarism. If you don't exercise your power, go to the market on the right and buy the underlying stock to copy the bottom.
Let's see a rebound of 95 for now, unless there are any black swans.
Today's stock debt is bloody. The CNN Fear Greed Index fell below 20 and is currently 17. The market is extremely fearful.
If meat is cut or shorted at this time, it is likely that it will be harvested. The warehouse can be exchanged. I sold half of my energy stocks and stopped losing half $American Airlines (AAL.US)$ , I'm considering what to switch to. I haven't thought about it yet.
presently $UnitedHealth (UNH.US)$ as well $Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP.US)$ The position is already very heavy, and TLT has been added to the bond side...
The 30-year treasury bond has broken through 4.9, sprinting towards the 5% target.
My prediction: when it reaches 5%, there will be a rebound, and it won't be that easy to break through all of a sudden. However, the possibility of rushing to 5.5% again later is not ruled out. But right now, it's a short-term low.
My judgment on TLT was to speed up the bottom. The bottom was the 5% interest rate on long-term bonds, which then bottomed out and rebounded. The corresponding TLT price is around 85.
According to the plan, I sold 85 of the put, which expires this Friday. If it were to be exercised, it would be considered a plagiarism. If you don't exercise your power, go to the market on the right and buy the underlying stock to copy the bottom.
Let's see a rebound of 95 for now, unless there are any black swans.
Today's stock debt is bloody. The CNN Fear Greed Index fell below 20 and is currently 17. The market is extremely fearful.
If meat is cut or shorted at this time, it is likely that it will be harvested. The warehouse can be exchanged. I sold half of my energy stocks and stopped losing half $American Airlines (AAL.US)$ , I'm considering what to switch to. I haven't thought about it yet.
presently $UnitedHealth (UNH.US)$ as well $Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP.US)$ The position is already very heavy, and TLT has been added to the bond side...
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10
Ada 2022 : Please tell me why the yield on long-term bonds is already at 5%, while the dividend yield of TLT is still only 3.7%. Shouldn't this dividend yield be consistent with the long-term bond yield?