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Billionaire investor Bill Ackman said he believed 30-year interest rates would rise further, while his Pershing Square Capital Management hedge fund remains short on bonds, as he sees inflation remaining stubbornly high.
1.The world is structurally different now than before. There is no longer a peace dividend. The long-term deflationary effects of outsourcing production to China no longer exist. The bargaining power of workers and u...
1.The world is structurally different now than before. There is no longer a peace dividend. The long-term deflationary effects of outsourcing production to China no longer exist. The bargaining power of workers and u...
![Hedge fund manager Bill Ackman sees U.S. long-term rates rising](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/feed_image/73158784/7742f95b46193b7e931a98855b74b1b0.jpg/thumb)
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What if today is a green day?
Some wild thesis:
Powell does not sound very hawkish during his speech on Wed. He basically repeated what he said in the past: data dependent, proceed carefully, 1 more rate hike, higher for longer etc.
Then, the market sold off, where it “should have” rallied, because there was no surprise from Powell per se.
On Thurs, some may think that the market should bounce (which happened previously during post FOMC). Yet the market sold off again.
Okay, that is when...
Some wild thesis:
Powell does not sound very hawkish during his speech on Wed. He basically repeated what he said in the past: data dependent, proceed carefully, 1 more rate hike, higher for longer etc.
Then, the market sold off, where it “should have” rallied, because there was no surprise from Powell per se.
On Thurs, some may think that the market should bounce (which happened previously during post FOMC). Yet the market sold off again.
Okay, that is when...
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alextan000
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All 3 major indices actually tested or went close to Aug’s low. Well, I guess both Aug and Sep really lived up to its expectation of bearish months.
Wouldn’t say we didn’t see it coming, right?
Anyway, today is option expiry day. Market makers could bring up the market a little or stay flat to wipe out late Put buyers. But of course, I could be wrong. We could have a third day of sell off. If it’s the latter, I’m ready to pick up some shares.
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF (TQQQ.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (SQQQ.US)$ $Arm Holdings (ARM.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ $Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$ $Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$ $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$ $USD (USDindex.FX)$ $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ $Netflix (NFLX.US)$ $Adobe (ADBE.US)$ $DocuSign (DOCU.US)$ $Workday (WDAY.US)$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ $SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average Trust (DIA.US)$ $Upstart (UPST.US)$ $Snowflake (SNOW.US)$ $CrowdStrike (CRWD.US)$ $ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY.US)$ $Lululemon Athletica (LULU.US)$ $Micron Technology (MU.US)$ $McDonald's (MCD.US)$ $Starbucks (SBUX.US)$ $Johnson & Johnson (JNJ.US)$ $HP Inc (HPQ.US)$
Wouldn’t say we didn’t see it coming, right?
Anyway, today is option expiry day. Market makers could bring up the market a little or stay flat to wipe out late Put buyers. But of course, I could be wrong. We could have a third day of sell off. If it’s the latter, I’m ready to pick up some shares.
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF (TQQQ.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (SQQQ.US)$ $Arm Holdings (ARM.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ $Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$ $Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$ $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$ $USD (USDindex.FX)$ $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ $Netflix (NFLX.US)$ $Adobe (ADBE.US)$ $DocuSign (DOCU.US)$ $Workday (WDAY.US)$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ $SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average Trust (DIA.US)$ $Upstart (UPST.US)$ $Snowflake (SNOW.US)$ $CrowdStrike (CRWD.US)$ $ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY.US)$ $Lululemon Athletica (LULU.US)$ $Micron Technology (MU.US)$ $McDonald's (MCD.US)$ $Starbucks (SBUX.US)$ $Johnson & Johnson (JNJ.US)$ $HP Inc (HPQ.US)$
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alextan000
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Hello Mooers! ![]()
As the weather today is not bad, do you think the US stock market will rally today?![]()
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$Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$ $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ $AMC Entertainment (AMC.US)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $NIO Inc (NIO.US)$ $GameStop (GME.US)$ $GameStop (GME.US)$ $BlackBerry (BB.US)$ $VinFast Auto (VFS.US)$ $Arm Holdings (ARM.US)$ $Netflix (NFLX.US)$ $SIA (C6L.SG)$ $DBS Group Holdings (D05.SG)$ $Seatrium (S51.SG)$ $CapLand IntCom T (C38U.SG)$ $ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK.US)$ $Imperial Petroleum (IMPP.US)$
As the weather today is not bad, do you think the US stock market will rally today?
$Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$ $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ $AMC Entertainment (AMC.US)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $NIO Inc (NIO.US)$ $GameStop (GME.US)$ $GameStop (GME.US)$ $BlackBerry (BB.US)$ $VinFast Auto (VFS.US)$ $Arm Holdings (ARM.US)$ $Netflix (NFLX.US)$ $SIA (C6L.SG)$ $DBS Group Holdings (D05.SG)$ $Seatrium (S51.SG)$ $CapLand IntCom T (C38U.SG)$ $ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK.US)$ $Imperial Petroleum (IMPP.US)$