Amirul A
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Welcome to Langjian Trading
On Thursday, investors will focus on the key data point that will influence the future interest rate policy of the Federal Reserve: the June Consumer Price Index (CPI). The inflation rate is expected to show an increase of 3.1%, down from 3.3% in May, the smallest increase since January. The core CPI (excluding food and energy) is expected to rise 3.4% year over year and 0.2% month over month.
Bank of America economists believe the June CPI report will boost market confidence. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stressed during congressional hearings that more data is needed to confirm that inflation is moving towards the 2% target. Rent and landlord equivalent rent are expected to cool down, and service prices may fluctuate. Goldman Sachs predicts core CPI and core PCE inflation of 3.2% and 2.7% respectively in 2024.
The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates 1 to 2 times in 2024, and the probability of cutting interest rates in September is about 75%. If the CPI data is in line with expectations, the Federal Reserve may start a cycle of cutting interest rates in December.
Today we are discussing an important topic: if the US dollar starts cutting interest rates, will America's financial war fail? In today's video, we'll thoroughly analyze the background of the US dollar interest rate hike, the impact of high interest rates on the global economy, and the potential impact of interest rate cuts on US stocks and the global market.
#CPI数据
#美联储降息
#降息预期
#美元指数
On Thursday, investors will focus on the key data point that will influence the future interest rate policy of the Federal Reserve: the June Consumer Price Index (CPI). The inflation rate is expected to show an increase of 3.1%, down from 3.3% in May, the smallest increase since January. The core CPI (excluding food and energy) is expected to rise 3.4% year over year and 0.2% month over month.
Bank of America economists believe the June CPI report will boost market confidence. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stressed during congressional hearings that more data is needed to confirm that inflation is moving towards the 2% target. Rent and landlord equivalent rent are expected to cool down, and service prices may fluctuate. Goldman Sachs predicts core CPI and core PCE inflation of 3.2% and 2.7% respectively in 2024.
The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates 1 to 2 times in 2024, and the probability of cutting interest rates in September is about 75%. If the CPI data is in line with expectations, the Federal Reserve may start a cycle of cutting interest rates in December.
Today we are discussing an important topic: if the US dollar starts cutting interest rates, will America's financial war fail? In today's video, we'll thoroughly analyze the background of the US dollar interest rate hike, the impact of high interest rates on the global economy, and the potential impact of interest rate cuts on US stocks and the global market.
#CPI数据
#美联储降息
#降息预期
#美元指数
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From YouTube
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Amirul A
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While the Federal Reserve has kept interest rates unchanged, recently released economic data such as PCE, CPI, and the unemployment rate suggest that inflation is trending in the right direction, leading the market to believe that a cycle of decreasing interest rates will begin soon. However, the debate continues; it's not about "whether or not," but rather "when and how" rate cuts will occur.
Federal Reserve Chair Powell's re...
Federal Reserve Chair Powell's re...
![The Fed's Ambivalence: What Investors Can Expect from Its Dovish Shift](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/71445112/20240705/83ffb8c6f63a41449369f995d0a8c6e1.jpg?area=100&is_public=true)
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Amirul A
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US June's nonfarm payrolls report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET this Friday. The median forecast of analysts for the June nonfarm employment is 189K, down from 272K in May. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.0%.
In June, the Services PMI registered 48.8 percent, a 5-percentage point decrease compared to the May reading of 53.8 percent. The report noted that "It indicates the o...
In June, the Services PMI registered 48.8 percent, a 5-percentage point decrease compared to the May reading of 53.8 percent. The report noted that "It indicates the o...
![US June Nonfarm Payrolls Preview: Business Survey Indicates Services Sector's Employment Is Losing Steam](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/77777015/20240704/1aac7afcff8346dbb127aef975267c62.png?area=100&is_public=true/thumb)
![US June Nonfarm Payrolls Preview: Business Survey Indicates Services Sector's Employment Is Losing Steam](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/77777015/20240704/e54b2b6a74214a71978046edea0ca75e.jpg?area=100&is_public=true/thumb)
![US June Nonfarm Payrolls Preview: Business Survey Indicates Services Sector's Employment Is Losing Steam](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/77777015/20240704/c629b70f508e45cbb2449684ec113986.png?area=100&is_public=true/thumb)
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Amirul A
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$Apple(AAPL.US$'s options volume surged past that of $NVIDIA(NVDA.US$, tracking the iPhone maker's stock rally that widened its lead in market capital over the manufacturer of chips that power artificial intelligence.
Shares of iPhone maker climbed above $200 for the first time ever, taking its market capital to $3.1 trillion after the world's second most valuable company on Monday unveiled its "Apple Intelligence." ...
Shares of iPhone maker climbed above $200 for the first time ever, taking its market capital to $3.1 trillion after the world's second most valuable company on Monday unveiled its "Apple Intelligence." ...
![Apple Options Volume Beats Nvidia's as iPhone Maker's Shares Climb to Record](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/73842169/20240611/1718118629326-33039a72f5.png/thumb?area=100&is_public=true)
![Apple Options Volume Beats Nvidia's as iPhone Maker's Shares Climb to Record](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/73842169/20240611/1718119466974-f543040e22.png/thumb?area=100&is_public=true)
![Apple Options Volume Beats Nvidia's as iPhone Maker's Shares Climb to Record](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/73842169/20240611/1718119957795-88ebed9e49.png/thumb?area=100&is_public=true)
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On June 12, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release CPI data for May at 8:30 a.m. ET. Economists anticipate the report will provide additional evidence that inflation is returning to a cooling trend after flaring up in Q1. Bloomberg statistics show analysts expect the headline CPI to increase by 0.1% during May, which would amount to a 3.3% YoY rise, while core CPI will likely increase by 0.3% MoM...
![US May CPI Preview: Will Eased Inflation Justify the Viability of a Third-Quarter Rate Cut?](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/77777018/20240611/fee9c22d56c44131a947d6e68fc1af0c.png?area=100&is_public=true/thumb)
![US May CPI Preview: Will Eased Inflation Justify the Viability of a Third-Quarter Rate Cut?](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/77777018/20240611/618d82ec668f4582855b3d744094ab89.png?area=100&is_public=true/thumb)
![US May CPI Preview: Will Eased Inflation Justify the Viability of a Third-Quarter Rate Cut?](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/77777018/20240611/a37f90cbbd854c65a42623b69075f8d2.png?area=100&is_public=true/thumb)
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Morning Movers
Gapping up
$KKR & Co(KKR.US$ , $CrowdStrike(CRWD.US$ , and $GoDaddy(GDDY.US$ saw their shares rise, with KKR jumping over 8%, CrowdStrike increasing by 6%, and GoDaddy growing by 3%. These gains come as all three companies are set to join the S&P 500 on June 24, following the index's quarterly rebalance.
$Southwest Airlines(LUV.US$ s' stock soared more than 8% after reports that Elliott Investment Managemen...
Gapping up
$KKR & Co(KKR.US$ , $CrowdStrike(CRWD.US$ , and $GoDaddy(GDDY.US$ saw their shares rise, with KKR jumping over 8%, CrowdStrike increasing by 6%, and GoDaddy growing by 3%. These gains come as all three companies are set to join the S&P 500 on June 24, following the index's quarterly rebalance.
$Southwest Airlines(LUV.US$ s' stock soared more than 8% after reports that Elliott Investment Managemen...
![Today's Morning Movers and Top Ratings: KKR, NVDA, DKNG, CRWD and More](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/77777018/20240610/341cc615eeb44bd38d1e3cb87088bef0.jpg?area=100&is_public=true)
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Amirul A
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Buyers paid a combined $15.9 million premium for call options that give the holder the right to purchase $Trump Media & Technology(DJT.US$ shares by Jan. 17, three days before the inauguration of the victor in the November presidential race.
Donald J. Trump, the biggest shareholder of the company whose ticker is patterned after his initials, is running for the top post in the US elections in a rematch against curre...
Donald J. Trump, the biggest shareholder of the company whose ticker is patterned after his initials, is running for the top post in the US elections in a rematch against curre...
![DJT Sees $15.9 Million Trades in Call Options Expiring 3 Days Before Inauguration](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/73842169/20240606/1717622072083-e2d579f2e1.png/thumb?area=100&is_public=true)
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