Major news and market conditions today
$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$
$FTSE China A50 Index (.FTXIN9.CN)$
Last night
- Due to Christmas Eve, the US market closed early. It ended higher.
Daytime today
In the illiquid foreign exchange market, there was a statement from BOJ Governor Ueda.
The People's Bank of China has kept the one-year MLF interest rate at 2%.
Market Overview Reaction
US stocks are up. It has regained much of the sharp decline seen after the FOMC.
There was a slight inclination towards a weaker yen at the time of Governor Ueda's statement.
Although the Chinese stock price index rose, it fluctuated.
Source of information
BOJ Governor Kuroda, Watching US Next Administration's Policies and Spring Wage Negotiations - Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.co.jp/news/articles/2024-12-25/SOZ34ST0G1KW00
"If the economy and prices continue to improve, we will raise interest rates," says BOJ Governor Kuroda, without specifying timing | Reuters
https://jp.reuters.com/economy/bank-of-japan/JX57BBMDVBN55E2ZOPLTQJP4MI-2024-12-25/
...
$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$
$FTSE China A50 Index (.FTXIN9.CN)$
Last night
- Due to Christmas Eve, the US market closed early. It ended higher.
Daytime today
In the illiquid foreign exchange market, there was a statement from BOJ Governor Ueda.
The People's Bank of China has kept the one-year MLF interest rate at 2%.
Market Overview Reaction
US stocks are up. It has regained much of the sharp decline seen after the FOMC.
There was a slight inclination towards a weaker yen at the time of Governor Ueda's statement.
Although the Chinese stock price index rose, it fluctuated.
Source of information
BOJ Governor Kuroda, Watching US Next Administration's Policies and Spring Wage Negotiations - Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.co.jp/news/articles/2024-12-25/SOZ34ST0G1KW00
"If the economy and prices continue to improve, we will raise interest rates," says BOJ Governor Kuroda, without specifying timing | Reuters
https://jp.reuters.com/economy/bank-of-japan/JX57BBMDVBN55E2ZOPLTQJP4MI-2024-12-25/
...
Translated
![US stocks rise - BOJ Governor Ueda's remarks - People's Bank of China keeps one-year interest rates unchanged [2024/12/25][Avo's Market Conditions & Global Strategy Memo]](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/182445859/20241225/6511ac5a898e617636203fb68e84d78b.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![US stocks rise - BOJ Governor Ueda's remarks - People's Bank of China keeps one-year interest rates unchanged [2024/12/25][Avo's Market Conditions & Global Strategy Memo]](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/182445859/20241225/387b9401b2d011b757256c60cfce00d9.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![US stocks rise - BOJ Governor Ueda's remarks - People's Bank of China keeps one-year interest rates unchanged [2024/12/25][Avo's Market Conditions & Global Strategy Memo]](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/182445859/20241225/da430b7a19bf1b198e1f72c58065405b.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
4
AvocadoWasabi
liked
$Rigetti Computing (RGTI.US)$
I bought up at less than one dollar each with the aim of becoming a millionaire in 10 years.
Like the old meme coins.
Already aiming for tenbagger. Might achieve millionaire status sooner than expected. ⛩️🙏
I bought up at less than one dollar each with the aim of becoming a millionaire in 10 years.
Like the old meme coins.
Already aiming for tenbagger. Might achieve millionaire status sooner than expected. ⛩️🙏
Translated
11
Summary - One-line Comment
・FOMC cut the policy interest rate from 4.25% to 4.5% by 0.25%. Stocks sharply declined in response.
・At the BOJ policy meeting, the policy interest rate was kept at the current level of 0.25%. The exchange rate reacted with a significant depreciation of the yen.
Official statements restraining against the depreciation of the yen are beginning to emerge.
The Bank of England and the Bank of China kept the policy interest rate at 4.75%.
US economic Indicators continue to be announced, including retail revenue, industrial production, and PCE deflator. No significant surprises in value movements.
Japan's inflation rate exceeded the previous figure.
Kioxia is listed.
Nissan hits the daily price limit on reports of business integration with Honda.
This week's focus price movements.
VIX is moving sharply, causing stock market decline. Cryptocurrency also experiences a decline.
Just by looking at that, it seems like the bullish market so far has come to an end.
Cross-yen pairs have greatly leaned towards yen depreciation.
$CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$
$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
$Nikkei 225 (.N225.JP)$
Reprint from below:
Weekly Summary & Positions by Avo for the 3rd week of December
(Includes positions, investment strategies, etc. in the blog...
・FOMC cut the policy interest rate from 4.25% to 4.5% by 0.25%. Stocks sharply declined in response.
・At the BOJ policy meeting, the policy interest rate was kept at the current level of 0.25%. The exchange rate reacted with a significant depreciation of the yen.
Official statements restraining against the depreciation of the yen are beginning to emerge.
The Bank of England and the Bank of China kept the policy interest rate at 4.75%.
US economic Indicators continue to be announced, including retail revenue, industrial production, and PCE deflator. No significant surprises in value movements.
Japan's inflation rate exceeded the previous figure.
Kioxia is listed.
Nissan hits the daily price limit on reports of business integration with Honda.
This week's focus price movements.
VIX is moving sharply, causing stock market decline. Cryptocurrency also experiences a decline.
Just by looking at that, it seems like the bullish market so far has come to an end.
Cross-yen pairs have greatly leaned towards yen depreciation.
$CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$
$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
$Nikkei 225 (.N225.JP)$
Reprint from below:
Weekly Summary & Positions by Avo for the 3rd week of December
(Includes positions, investment strategies, etc. in the blog...
Translated
1
Major news and market conditions today
Last night
-The Bank of England kept the policy interest rate at 4.75%.
Daytime today
There was a warning statement from a key person regarding the weaker yen.
Market Overview Reaction
After the interest rate announcement by the Bank of England and the People's Bank of China, the pound was sold.
$GBP/USD (GBPUSD.FX)$
$GBP/JPY (GBPJPY.FX)$
$EUR/GBP (EURGBP.FX)$
There have been remarks to restrain the Yen, but it has not strengthened significantly against the Yen.
$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
Source of information
Bank Rate maintained at 4.75% - December 2024 | Bank of England
https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy-summary-and-minutes/2024/december-2024
BOE keeps interest rate unchanged, 3 members advocate rate cut, Governor says gradual response needed | Reuters
https://jp.reuters.com/markets/japan/funds/ZPRQ4JPGAFKT5OXCAKKQZMQNRU-2024-12-19/
...
Last night
-The Bank of England kept the policy interest rate at 4.75%.
Daytime today
There was a warning statement from a key person regarding the weaker yen.
Market Overview Reaction
After the interest rate announcement by the Bank of England and the People's Bank of China, the pound was sold.
$GBP/USD (GBPUSD.FX)$
$GBP/JPY (GBPJPY.FX)$
$EUR/GBP (EURGBP.FX)$
There have been remarks to restrain the Yen, but it has not strengthened significantly against the Yen.
$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
Source of information
Bank Rate maintained at 4.75% - December 2024 | Bank of England
https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy-summary-and-minutes/2024/december-2024
BOE keeps interest rate unchanged, 3 members advocate rate cut, Governor says gradual response needed | Reuters
https://jp.reuters.com/markets/japan/funds/ZPRQ4JPGAFKT5OXCAKKQZMQNRU-2024-12-19/
...
Translated
![Daily Summary [2024/12/20] [Avo's Market Overview & Strategy Memo]](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/182445859/20241220/b88093329bf55832da8468903574f5a4.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
8
Major news and market conditions today
Last night
The FOMC met and decided to lower the policy interest rate in the United States by 0.25% to 4.25% - 4.5%.
Daytime today
The Bank of Japan's policy decision meeting was held, and Japan's policy interest rate was maintained at the current level of 0.25%.
This time, a comprehensive review of past large-scale easing measures was also disclosed.
Market Overview Reaction
$Nikkei 225 (.N225.JP)$
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$
$U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield (US10Y.BD)$
$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
After the FOMC, stocks fell, bonds fell, and the dollar rose.
After the Bank of Japan's policy decision meeting, the Nikkei average recovered the decline from the FOMC.
The exchange rate is swinging significantly towards a weaker yen.
Source of information
Summary of Economic Projections, December 18, 2024
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcprojtabl20241218.pdf
Bank of Japan Policy Decision Meeting - Results
https://www.boj.or.jp/mopo/mpmdeci/mpr_2024/k241219a.pdf
...
Last night
The FOMC met and decided to lower the policy interest rate in the United States by 0.25% to 4.25% - 4.5%.
Daytime today
The Bank of Japan's policy decision meeting was held, and Japan's policy interest rate was maintained at the current level of 0.25%.
This time, a comprehensive review of past large-scale easing measures was also disclosed.
Market Overview Reaction
$Nikkei 225 (.N225.JP)$
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$
$U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield (US10Y.BD)$
$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
After the FOMC, stocks fell, bonds fell, and the dollar rose.
After the Bank of Japan's policy decision meeting, the Nikkei average recovered the decline from the FOMC.
The exchange rate is swinging significantly towards a weaker yen.
Source of information
Summary of Economic Projections, December 18, 2024
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcprojtabl20241218.pdf
Bank of Japan Policy Decision Meeting - Results
https://www.boj.or.jp/mopo/mpmdeci/mpr_2024/k241219a.pdf
...
Translated
9
Major news and market conditions today
Last night
- USA retail revenue was overall strong, except for Automobiles where it was weak.
Industrial production in the USA showed a weakened result.
Noon today
Kioxia temporarily surged 13% from its initial listing price of 1440 yen.
Nissan reached the daily price limit due to reports of management integration with Honda.
Market Overview Reaction
There were no significant price movements, in particular,
Stocks were weak today.
$Kioxia Holdings (285A.JP)$
$Nissan Motor (7201.JP)$
Source of information
US retail revenue in November increased by 0.7% compared to the previous month - Automobiles and online sales performing well - Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.co.jp/news/articles/2024-12-17/SON4B3T1UM0W00
Kioxia listed, with an opening price of 1440 yen, lower than the initial offering price - Nihon Keizai Shimbun
https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXZQOUC081I30Y4A201C2000000/
Kioxia is listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, with a smooth start - temporarily up 13% from the IPO price - B...
Last night
- USA retail revenue was overall strong, except for Automobiles where it was weak.
Industrial production in the USA showed a weakened result.
Noon today
Kioxia temporarily surged 13% from its initial listing price of 1440 yen.
Nissan reached the daily price limit due to reports of management integration with Honda.
Market Overview Reaction
There were no significant price movements, in particular,
Stocks were weak today.
$Kioxia Holdings (285A.JP)$
$Nissan Motor (7201.JP)$
Source of information
US retail revenue in November increased by 0.7% compared to the previous month - Automobiles and online sales performing well - Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.co.jp/news/articles/2024-12-17/SON4B3T1UM0W00
Kioxia listed, with an opening price of 1440 yen, lower than the initial offering price - Nihon Keizai Shimbun
https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXZQOUC081I30Y4A201C2000000/
Kioxia is listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, with a smooth start - temporarily up 13% from the IPO price - B...
Translated
5
Summary - Brief Comment
- China adjusted financial policies to be moderately accommodative → China Connect stock index surged, but retraced the following day. $FTSE China A50 Index Futures(DEC4) (CNmain.SG)$
- Policy interest rates unchanged, RBA and PBOC rates held steady, surprise 0.5% rate cut by SNB, 0.25% rate cut by ECB
Both CPI and PPI have no surprises, but the risk of inflation exceeding expectations remains.
Cryptocurrencies temporarily adjusting.
Repeated reports of Bank of Japan's interest rate hike retreat, along with the decline in US bonds, leading to the rise of the USD/JPY pair. $USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
Tesla reaches its all-time high price. $Tesla (TSLA.US)$
Timing stopped high $Timee (215A.JP)$
This week's notable price movements
There were no significant fluctuations in assets.
However, the decline in bonds is noticeable.
Reprinted below:
(Including positions and investment strategies on the blog)
Weekly Summary & Position by Avo: 2nd week of December
Source:
Candlestick data is from MOOMOO Securities.
Performance data and financial results are from Barchart.com.
Indicator data from Tradingeconomics.com
- China adjusted financial policies to be moderately accommodative → China Connect stock index surged, but retraced the following day. $FTSE China A50 Index Futures(DEC4) (CNmain.SG)$
- Policy interest rates unchanged, RBA and PBOC rates held steady, surprise 0.5% rate cut by SNB, 0.25% rate cut by ECB
Both CPI and PPI have no surprises, but the risk of inflation exceeding expectations remains.
Cryptocurrencies temporarily adjusting.
Repeated reports of Bank of Japan's interest rate hike retreat, along with the decline in US bonds, leading to the rise of the USD/JPY pair. $USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
Tesla reaches its all-time high price. $Tesla (TSLA.US)$
Timing stopped high $Timee (215A.JP)$
This week's notable price movements
There were no significant fluctuations in assets.
However, the decline in bonds is noticeable.
Reprinted below:
(Including positions and investment strategies on the blog)
Weekly Summary & Position by Avo: 2nd week of December
Source:
Candlestick data is from MOOMOO Securities.
Performance data and financial results are from Barchart.com.
Indicator data from Tradingeconomics.com
Translated
6
Major news and market conditions today
- Yesterday evening
- The Swiss National Bank cut interest rates by 0.5%, which was a surprise.
The ECB conducted a 0.25% interest rate cut.
The result of the PPI is on the upside.
There was a bidding for 30-year US government bonds, but bonds overall declined.
Although Tesla recorded a negative candlestick, it reached an all-time high.
Today at noon.
- Taiimi's financial results have been announced, resulting in a trading halt.
- The Bank of Japan's Short-Term Economic Survey has been released. In terms of changes, large corporations are doing well in petroleum, while retail, lodging, and food services are showing poor results.
Market Overview Reaction
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$
$EUR/USD (EURUSD.FX)$
$USD/CHF (USDCHF.FX)$
$U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield (US10Y.BD)$
Source of information
Swiss National Bank cuts interest rates by 0.5 points - Higher than expected easing to suppress high francs - Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.co.jp/news/articles/2024-12-12/SODH6VT0G1KW00
ECB cuts interest rates by 0.25% for the third consecutive meeting - Indicates further easing with wording change...
- Yesterday evening
- The Swiss National Bank cut interest rates by 0.5%, which was a surprise.
The ECB conducted a 0.25% interest rate cut.
The result of the PPI is on the upside.
There was a bidding for 30-year US government bonds, but bonds overall declined.
Although Tesla recorded a negative candlestick, it reached an all-time high.
Today at noon.
- Taiimi's financial results have been announced, resulting in a trading halt.
- The Bank of Japan's Short-Term Economic Survey has been released. In terms of changes, large corporations are doing well in petroleum, while retail, lodging, and food services are showing poor results.
Market Overview Reaction
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$
$EUR/USD (EURUSD.FX)$
$USD/CHF (USDCHF.FX)$
$U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield (US10Y.BD)$
Source of information
Swiss National Bank cuts interest rates by 0.5 points - Higher than expected easing to suppress high francs - Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.co.jp/news/articles/2024-12-12/SODH6VT0G1KW00
ECB cuts interest rates by 0.25% for the third consecutive meeting - Indicates further easing with wording change...
Translated
![Daily Summary [12/12/2024] [Avo's Market Overview & Strategy Memo]](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/182445859/20241213/f14fee9120a0bd53cb05eeb08e217faa.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![Daily Summary [12/12/2024] [Avo's Market Overview & Strategy Memo]](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/182445859/20241213/a4039e0b5d59c5c8582514f90b3f8d90.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![Daily Summary [12/12/2024] [Avo's Market Overview & Strategy Memo]](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/182445859/20241213/aebdc8b3828cb1b83fb60aca73194836.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
+1
8
Major news and market conditions today
Yesterday.
- In the night session, the Nikkei average futures touched 40,000 yen.
The NASDAQ Composite Index has exceeded 20,000 points for the first time.
After an article speculating on the Bank of Japan's rate hike retreat, the dollar-yen soared.
Subsequently, CPI temporarily retraced slightly without any surprises.
Today
There are no significant price movements or individual stock news of note.
Market Overview Response
$OSE Nikkei 225 Futures(MAR5) (NK225main.JP)$
$Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$
$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
Source of information
Bank of Japan not in a hurry to raise interest rates, low risk of accelerated inflation even if postponed this month - Sources - Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.co.jp/news/articles/2024-12-11/SO24P9T0AFB400
Source: Trading Economics
Time: 10:30 PM Country: US Indicator: Core Inflation Rate Month-on-Month November
Result: 0.3% Previous: 0.3% Consensus: 0.3%
...
Yesterday.
- In the night session, the Nikkei average futures touched 40,000 yen.
The NASDAQ Composite Index has exceeded 20,000 points for the first time.
After an article speculating on the Bank of Japan's rate hike retreat, the dollar-yen soared.
Subsequently, CPI temporarily retraced slightly without any surprises.
Today
There are no significant price movements or individual stock news of note.
Market Overview Response
$OSE Nikkei 225 Futures(MAR5) (NK225main.JP)$
$Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$
$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
Source of information
Bank of Japan not in a hurry to raise interest rates, low risk of accelerated inflation even if postponed this month - Sources - Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.co.jp/news/articles/2024-12-11/SO24P9T0AFB400
Source: Trading Economics
Time: 10:30 PM Country: US Indicator: Core Inflation Rate Month-on-Month November
Result: 0.3% Previous: 0.3% Consensus: 0.3%
...
Translated
9
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