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bull in : Summary of December CPI:
Broadly up by 0.4, as expected 0.4
Core up by 0.2, expected to be both 0.3 and 0.2
Food 0.3, not low, but acceptable, slightly better than last month's 0.4
Energy 2.6, significant impact from rising oil prices, mainly due to quarterly adjustment factors
In commodity inflation, new cars 0.5, used cars 1.2, both not very good, but mainly due to quarterly adjustment factors
Rent 0.3, OER 0.3, good, 0.2, the sequential growth rate of 0.3 is basically the lowest point, it's good if it can continue to be maintained
Medical services 0.2, very good, no issues
Transportation services 0.5, a slight increase compared to 0.0 last month. Auto insurance premium of 0.4 has slightly risen, but also significantly lower than the above 2.0 at the beginning of the year, confirming the slowing down of premium growth. Air ticket growth rate of 3.9, mainly from quarterly adjustment factors, showing a significant increase.
Entertainment services 0.4, Education services 0.2, both are acceptable.
Overall, commodity inflation this quarter is 0.1, service inflation is at 0.3, averaging 0.2. Estimated to be around 0.24, 0.23.
Bloomberg's forecast has not come out yet, the estimated core PCE should be around 0.18-0.2. Judging solely from the data, the Federal Reserve should find it acceptable. The market feedback is very positive now, with all indices showing a significant increase, but we need to wait for today's closing to observe more details.

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