DianaSun_02
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From the current market expectations, the probability of the RBA lowering interest rates by 25 basis points is as high as 95%, which means the market has basically digested this expectation. If the RBA lowers interest rates as scheduled, Australian Stocks (especially in the Real Estate, Financial, and Consumer Sectors) may benefit, while the Australian Dollar may come under pressure.
If the RBA unexpectedly lowers interest rates by 35 basis points, the market may experience significant short-term fluctuations, bond yields may decline, and market sentiment may be more optimistic. However, if the RBA chooses to maintain the status quo (keeping interest rates unchanged), the market may adjust in the short term, especially assets that previously bet on interest rate cuts may face corrections.
From an investment perspective, the following points can be noted:
1. Interest rate sensitive sectors: such as Real Estate (benefiting from lower financing costs), as well as high dividend yielding utility and infrastructure Stocks.
2. Banking Sector: Interest rate cuts may compress banks' net interest margins, but if it stimulates loan demand to rebound, the long-term impact may tend toward neutrality.
3. Australian Dollar trend: Interest rate cuts may lead to a weakening of the Australian Dollar, which is Bullish for export-oriented businesses (such as mining, Agriculture, and tourism).
If the RBA unexpectedly lowers interest rates by 35 basis points, the market may experience significant short-term fluctuations, bond yields may decline, and market sentiment may be more optimistic. However, if the RBA chooses to maintain the status quo (keeping interest rates unchanged), the market may adjust in the short term, especially assets that previously bet on interest rate cuts may face corrections.
From an investment perspective, the following points can be noted:
1. Interest rate sensitive sectors: such as Real Estate (benefiting from lower financing costs), as well as high dividend yielding utility and infrastructure Stocks.
2. Banking Sector: Interest rate cuts may compress banks' net interest margins, but if it stimulates loan demand to rebound, the long-term impact may tend toward neutrality.
3. Australian Dollar trend: Interest rate cuts may lead to a weakening of the Australian Dollar, which is Bullish for export-oriented businesses (such as mining, Agriculture, and tourism).
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DianaSun_02
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Today’s market showed a mixed performance, with tech stocks facing pressure while volatility and select sectors showed resilience. ![]()
🔹 Key Highlights:
• Tesla ( $Tesla (TSLA.US)$) -3.87%: Tesla continues its downward trend, facing strong selling pressure as it broke below $340.
• Apple ( $Apple (AAPL.US)$) +2.73%: The standout performer among the Magnificent 7, recovering strongly with bullish momentum.
• Nvidia ( $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$) +0.09%: Managed to stay green...
🔹 Key Highlights:
• Tesla ( $Tesla (TSLA.US)$) -3.87%: Tesla continues its downward trend, facing strong selling pressure as it broke below $340.
• Apple ( $Apple (AAPL.US)$) +2.73%: The standout performer among the Magnificent 7, recovering strongly with bullish momentum.
• Nvidia ( $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$) +0.09%: Managed to stay green...
![Day 99: Rate Cuts + Trump 2.0 Day 22](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/101793897/20250212/598e9e28e3834eff7d2ac75dc1ac1ba7.gif/thumb?area=101&is_public=true)
![Day 99: Rate Cuts + Trump 2.0 Day 22](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/101793897/20250212/51e8d9fc71702919c3a4ff90e05422e8.jpg/thumb?area=101&is_public=true)
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DianaSun_02
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$Castellum (CTM.US)$ I like the MACD. It looks like the selling is slowing down or even coming to a close. the 1 hour, and 2 hour, and 4 hour charts below seem to show this. I could be wrong of course, and it's never a good idea to bade a trade solely off of indicators like the MACD, but it can serve as a great tool to help you make your decisions. NFA - good fortune to all
![Picture](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/70988698/20250211/1739288502114-random4816-70988698-android-compress.jpg/thumb?area=100&is_public=true)
![Picture](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/70988698/20250211/1739288503481-random301-70988698-android-org.jpeg/thumb?area=100&is_public=true)
![Picture](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/70988698/20250211/1739288505301-random6387-70988698-android-compress.jpg/thumb?area=100&is_public=true)
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DianaSun_02
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Please find the attached report:
Happy trading :)
Happy trading :)
![Weekly Report: W1 Feb: W6 2025](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/152375282/20250211/f1cc7f4d37a3744b66366e6a3c076335.jpg/thumb?area=102&is_public=true)
![Weekly Report: W1 Feb: W6 2025](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/152375282/20250211/bc852a277150925e881ae0020dd3ca41.jpg/thumb?area=102&is_public=true)
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![I hope that I am so fricking wrong. NVIDIA](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/152375282/20250211/25f857e83c9e8bf645adefc94bbc8c7a.jpg/thumb?area=102&is_public=true)
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