ideas this morning…sitting on my hands.

US President-elect Trump posted on his social media account on November 26th local time, claiming to impose a 10% tariff on all goods imported from China. This policy has a significant impact on both China and the USA, let's take a look:
Impact on China
1. Increased export pressureImposing a 10% tariff on Chinese commodities will directly increase the cost of Chinese exported goods, weakening their competitiveness in the USA market. This may lead to a reduction in China's exports to the USA, affecting the income and employment of related enterprises.
2. Economic growth slowing down.A decrease in exports may result in a slowdown of China's economic growth. Particularly, manufacturing industries and related sectors relying on exports may face greater operational pressures.
3. Pressure on the depreciation of the Renminbi.To cope with the reduction in exports, China may take measures to devalue the Renminbi in order to maintain the price competitiveness of exported commodities. However, this may also lead to capital outflows and financial market instability.
4. Industrial upgrading and diversificationIn the long term, tariff pressures may prompt China to accelerate industrial upgrading and diversification, reduce reliance on a single market, and promote domestic consumption and technological innovation.
Impact on the United States
1. Consumer costs are increasing.: Imposing tariffs on Chinese goods will directly lead to price increases of these products in the USA market, increasing the living costs of American consumers.
2. Inflationary pressures: Rising commodity prices may trigger inflation, especially against the current backdrop of global supply chain tensions, further increasing inflationary pressures in the USA.: President-elect Trump, on November 26th local time, posted on his social media account claiming to impose a 10% tariff on all imports from China. This policy will have a significant impact on both China and the USA, let's take a closer look: