Evelynne
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Explaining GDP... The main macro event for Thursday was the Census Bureau's release of May Durable Goods Orders. This got ugly. The headline print of +0.1% monthly growth versus expectations for -0.1% looked okay, but as we know, when it comes to Durable Goods Orders, the headline number is usually the least important slice of information. Once transportation purchases are omitted, the result still landed at -0.1%, but that was versus expectations for +0.2%. Once defense purchases ...
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Evelynne
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Evelynne
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Evelynne
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The latest market dynamics show that despite a decline in pan-European stock indexes, the strong performance of technology stocks helped the US S&P 500 Index and Nasdaq Composite Index end three consecutive days of decline, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended five consecutive gains. It is particularly noteworthy that after a sharp rebound of 6.8%, Nvidia's market capitalization once again broke through the $3 trillion mark, and Google and Microsoft also ended the trading day with record closing highs.
Furthermore, FedEx rose to 17% after the market, driven by a positive financial outlook. Favored by popular investment, Rivian increased by more than 50% in after-hours trading. In Europe, Novo Nordisk's stock price rose 4% to a record high, while Airbus fell more than 10% intraday due to profit warnings.
In terms of economic data, Canada's Consumer Price Index (CPI) unexpectedly showed signs of warming, causing two-year Canadian bond yields to rise by 10 basis points in the intraday period. This has also led to a rapid rise in US bond yields. In the money market, the US dollar index rebounded, while the yen continued to weaken, approaching the 160 intervention mark.
The price of crude oil fell from an eight-week high, while the price of gold also declined. The price of tin on the London Metal Exchange fell to a one-week low. Copper prices fell for three consecutive days, hitting a new low in two months, but aluminum prices rebounded by more than 1%.
In the Chinese market, A-shares declined after opening. In particular, the Science and Technology Innovation 50 Index fell by nearly 3%, and the semiconductor sector had the highest decline. Cyrus fell to a halt at the end of the session, while industrial mother engine concept stocks exploded. Kweichow Moutai once rose...
Furthermore, FedEx rose to 17% after the market, driven by a positive financial outlook. Favored by popular investment, Rivian increased by more than 50% in after-hours trading. In Europe, Novo Nordisk's stock price rose 4% to a record high, while Airbus fell more than 10% intraday due to profit warnings.
In terms of economic data, Canada's Consumer Price Index (CPI) unexpectedly showed signs of warming, causing two-year Canadian bond yields to rise by 10 basis points in the intraday period. This has also led to a rapid rise in US bond yields. In the money market, the US dollar index rebounded, while the yen continued to weaken, approaching the 160 intervention mark.
The price of crude oil fell from an eight-week high, while the price of gold also declined. The price of tin on the London Metal Exchange fell to a one-week low. Copper prices fell for three consecutive days, hitting a new low in two months, but aluminum prices rebounded by more than 1%.
In the Chinese market, A-shares declined after opening. In particular, the Science and Technology Innovation 50 Index fell by nearly 3%, and the semiconductor sector had the highest decline. Cyrus fell to a halt at the end of the session, while industrial mother engine concept stocks exploded. Kweichow Moutai once rose...
Translated
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Evelynne
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$NVIDIA(NVDA.US$ In 5 days, it fell from $140 to $126.4, down 10%. Can you fake it? Is it an opportunity or a trap?
Earlier, many members also asked me: After Nvidia shares are sold, it should skyrocket, so can I buy it?
I took everyone to find the answer from several angles:
1. Net profit forecast for the full year: Nvidia Q1 revenue was 26B, GAAP Gross Margin was 78.4%, net profit was 14.88B after subtracting operating expenses, etc.
Then in Q2, the company's forecast was 28B in revenue, GAAP Gross Margin was 74.8%, and operating expenses were 4B, and net profit would be 14.12B if the rest of the items were unchanged. Then net profit between quarters will not increase, or it may fall slightly. SO, WE ASSUME THAT THE COMPANY'S NET PROFIT GREW 5% PER QUARTER IN Q3 AND Q4, THEN THE NET PROFIT FOR THE WHOLE YEAR WOULD BE 60.14B.
2. Valuation of the company: At a share price of $126.4, the market capitalization of the company is 3.1T, then the PE will fall to 51.5.
Assuming the company's Q3, Q4 growth is the same as Q2, then the PE ratio will be higher. When investing in a growth company, you can refer to PEG, that is, if your PE is 51, then the company's annual net profit also grows 51%, then the PEG ratio...
Earlier, many members also asked me: After Nvidia shares are sold, it should skyrocket, so can I buy it?
I took everyone to find the answer from several angles:
1. Net profit forecast for the full year: Nvidia Q1 revenue was 26B, GAAP Gross Margin was 78.4%, net profit was 14.88B after subtracting operating expenses, etc.
Then in Q2, the company's forecast was 28B in revenue, GAAP Gross Margin was 74.8%, and operating expenses were 4B, and net profit would be 14.12B if the rest of the items were unchanged. Then net profit between quarters will not increase, or it may fall slightly. SO, WE ASSUME THAT THE COMPANY'S NET PROFIT GREW 5% PER QUARTER IN Q3 AND Q4, THEN THE NET PROFIT FOR THE WHOLE YEAR WOULD BE 60.14B.
2. Valuation of the company: At a share price of $126.4, the market capitalization of the company is 3.1T, then the PE will fall to 51.5.
Assuming the company's Q3, Q4 growth is the same as Q2, then the PE ratio will be higher. When investing in a growth company, you can refer to PEG, that is, if your PE is 51, then the company's annual net profit also grows 51%, then the PEG ratio...
Translated
![Analyzing closely: Nvidia is in a big fall! Is it fake? (Mandarin Version)](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/102338059/20240627/5dc5b5f6cb4598d26ae2aeed11f6877c.jpg?area=104&is_public=true)
![Analyzing closely: Nvidia is in a big fall! Is it fake? (Mandarin Version)](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/102338059/20240627/ed9a6c92f33a4dbf1d48a6c8ceb2f5ec.jpg?area=104&is_public=true)
![Analyzing closely: Nvidia is in a big fall! Is it fake? (Mandarin Version)](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/102338059/20240627/f6eb5180e75a06755eb691cbdd55726d.jpg?area=104&is_public=true)
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Evelynne
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The market during 2024H1 is very much different from the past, specifically under the shadow of recession speculated to come soon.
I have made more than SGD 50K during the 2024H1 by doing trends following investment.
Picture 1: P/L 2024H1.
To control risk I literally made 1st entry buy on the left side and 2-5 following buy on the right side. Typical examples include my investment trade with Singapore Airlines, ...
I have made more than SGD 50K during the 2024H1 by doing trends following investment.
Picture 1: P/L 2024H1.
To control risk I literally made 1st entry buy on the left side and 2-5 following buy on the right side. Typical examples include my investment trade with Singapore Airlines, ...
![Made more than SGD 50K during the 2024H1 by doing trends following investment.](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/73168928/20240627/1719417960834-random2002-73168928-android-org.jpeg/thumb?area=101&is_public=true)
![Made more than SGD 50K during the 2024H1 by doing trends following investment.](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/73168928/20240627/1719417961383-random7595-73168928-android-compress.jpg/thumb?area=101&is_public=true)
![Made more than SGD 50K during the 2024H1 by doing trends following investment.](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/73168928/20240627/1719417961832-random9234-73168928-android-compress.jpg/thumb?area=101&is_public=true)
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