Fire-無限スパチャ
voted
$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ is,August 28thAfter the U.S. stock market closes on August 28th (morning of August 29th Japan time),The earnings for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025are scheduled to be announced. While maintaining a leading position in semiconductors for artificial intelligence (ai),the focus is on whether nvidia can exceed market expectations with its growth and strong performance.Please predict nvidia's closing price on the day after the earnings announcement and vote!
【Compensation】
●Distribute 10,000 points equally
Until 10 p.m. on August 29th (Japan time).Closing price of Nvidia on August 29th (5 a.m. on August 30th Japan time)Please make your financial estimates and choose from the price ranges below. If the actual closing price matches the chosen price range, points will be evenly distributed to all users who voted in that price range (e.g. If 50 users hit the mark, each will receive 200 points!).
【Special Challenge! Win 500 yen Amazon gift voucher】
Guess the closing price of Nvidia accurately and get a chance to win additional benefits!
Until 10:00 PM on August 29 (Japan time)On August 29thWith...
【Compensation】
●Distribute 10,000 points equally
Until 10 p.m. on August 29th (Japan time).Closing price of Nvidia on August 29th (5 a.m. on August 30th Japan time)Please make your financial estimates and choose from the price ranges below. If the actual closing price matches the chosen price range, points will be evenly distributed to all users who voted in that price range (e.g. If 50 users hit the mark, each will receive 200 points!).
【Special Challenge! Win 500 yen Amazon gift voucher】
Guess the closing price of Nvidia accurately and get a chance to win additional benefits!
Until 10:00 PM on August 29 (Japan time)On August 29thWith...
Translated
172
748
Fire-無限スパチャ
Set a live reminder
Translated
[Live streaming] I will look at Japanese stocks here and buy them! Explanation on the screen! How to choose high-dividend stocks
Jul 25 22:00
35
1
Fire-無限スパチャ
liked
$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ Bond holders today should be more concerned about how long high interest rates will last, rather than whether there will be a rate cut. Market expectations are now focused on how many rate cuts there will be this year. Most likely, there will be rate cuts. Last year, interest rates temporarily dropped significantly because the scenario of an emergency rate cut had surfaced. With the current policy interest rate ranging from 5.25 to 5.5, and each rate cut being 0.25 at a time, the allure of interest rates still remains significant, which means that bonds will continue to be in a disadvantageous situation. Unless a scenario of a substantial rate cut emerges, there won't be any visibility. On the other hand, for companies performing well even in a high interest rate environment, a rate cut would be a tailwind. I currently focus on a high-tech portfolio, but I always keep an eye on interest rates and bond prices so I can adjust my views if necessary. At the very least, for those who have purchased TMF, I recommend being prepared for contrarian challenges and investing within your means. This is based on my personal experience from previous purchases.
Translated
16
Fire-無限スパチャ
commented on
$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ To be honest, ① corporate earnings are strong ② various indicators are uniformly strong ③ The FRB is sounding the alarm for the market's optimistic views ④ Weak bidding for long-term bonds ⑤ Goldman Sachs and other predictions for rate cuts are continuously being pushed back.
In this environment, there is no reason for the FRB to hurry to cut interest rates, and I believe that under normal circumstances, bonds will be sold and interest rates are likely to rise. However, why would you dare to go against the trend at this timing and buy leveraged TMF? Are you anticipating an unexpected event leading to a hard landing? If so, wouldn't it be better to buy when such signs are observed? I still think it's easier to understand the TMV, which might move in the opposite direction in the short term (although it's not easy to say it's a good timing)... Is there something I'm missing, or is there a logical reason behind it?
In this environment, there is no reason for the FRB to hurry to cut interest rates, and I believe that under normal circumstances, bonds will be sold and interest rates are likely to rise. However, why would you dare to go against the trend at this timing and buy leveraged TMF? Are you anticipating an unexpected event leading to a hard landing? If so, wouldn't it be better to buy when such signs are observed? I still think it's easier to understand the TMV, which might move in the opposite direction in the short term (although it's not easy to say it's a good timing)... Is there something I'm missing, or is there a logical reason behind it?
Translated
4
17
Fire-無限スパチャ
commented on
$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
If you are anxious, I think it's best to wait and see the situation after 3/11 and then make a purchase!
The rest is up to you ✋
If you are anxious, I think it's best to wait and see the situation after 3/11 and then make a purchase!
The rest is up to you ✋
Translated
5
7
Fire-無限スパチャ
reacted to and commented on
Translated
3
Fire-無限スパチャ
commented on
Fire-無限スパチャ
liked and commented on
$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ First of all, as a premise. Unless there is a devastating damage to the economy like the Lehman shock, the so-called hard landing, the FRB will not make rapid interest rate cuts. The Corona shock was an unprecedented crisis, and its level cannot be compared. Also, it is natural to assume that the current U.S. administration wants to issue government bonds and maintain their interest rates above a certain level in order to implement policies. It is also understood that there is no immediate complete elimination of the risk of inflation resurgence due to political instability in the Middle East. In consideration of these factors, it seems that the true intention of the FRB is to lower interest rates to the extent necessary for the economy to survive, but to maintain interest rates above a certain level for a certain period of time. If a so-called soft landing were to be achieved, this commodity ETF, especially with long-term bonds and additional leverage, would be very risky. Betting on this product means betting on a hard landing, and there is no other reason to choose it. After all, they have raised interest rates many times, so there will definitely be a rate cut someday, it's a guaranteed win! There is no apparent reason to blindly hold it for vague reasons like these.
Translated
7
6
$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
You're criticizing various arguments, but are you still watching this?
Commercial real estate a 'manageable' problem but some banks will close: Powell
You're criticizing various arguments, but are you still watching this?
Commercial real estate a 'manageable' problem but some banks will close: Powell
Translated
5