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1. Current market analysis (Morgan Stanley's perspective):
• Market breadth narrowing:
After entering October, the market breadth index rapidly declined.
The company's unemployment rate data and CPI index exceeded expectations, further dampening market optimism.
Investors are beginning to flock to higher quality stocks, which typically have solid performance (high-quality indicators).
The importance placed on high-quality stocks:
Morgan Stanley recommends investors to continue selecting stocks with stable growth and quality indicators, and to avoid individual stocks with strong speculation or high volatility.
2. Market Phenomena and Risks:
Institutions' herding effect:
More and more institutions tend to consistently increase their holdings in well-performing stocks, while swiftly selling off poorly performing stocks.
The herding effect may cause the phenomenon of local stock price fluctuations, but once the market reverses, the risk will be very high.
Market liquidity crisis:
The depletion of the Federal Reserve's reverse repurchase tool (RRP) and insufficient liquidity pose a threat to the stock market.
The reverse repurchase tool has helped alleviate market liquidity pressures, but as the tool shrinks, overall market liquidity may further deteriorate.
3. Historical Comparison:
• Current Market vs. Internet Bubble in 2000:
• From 1995 to 1999, the Federal Reserve maintained loose monetary policy, leading to a frenzy in capital for Technology stocks.
After 2000, the policy tightened, the bubble burst, and the technology stocks' valuation plummeted significantly.
Morgan Stanley...
• Market breadth narrowing:
After entering October, the market breadth index rapidly declined.
The company's unemployment rate data and CPI index exceeded expectations, further dampening market optimism.
Investors are beginning to flock to higher quality stocks, which typically have solid performance (high-quality indicators).
The importance placed on high-quality stocks:
Morgan Stanley recommends investors to continue selecting stocks with stable growth and quality indicators, and to avoid individual stocks with strong speculation or high volatility.
2. Market Phenomena and Risks:
Institutions' herding effect:
More and more institutions tend to consistently increase their holdings in well-performing stocks, while swiftly selling off poorly performing stocks.
The herding effect may cause the phenomenon of local stock price fluctuations, but once the market reverses, the risk will be very high.
Market liquidity crisis:
The depletion of the Federal Reserve's reverse repurchase tool (RRP) and insufficient liquidity pose a threat to the stock market.
The reverse repurchase tool has helped alleviate market liquidity pressures, but as the tool shrinks, overall market liquidity may further deteriorate.
3. Historical Comparison:
• Current Market vs. Internet Bubble in 2000:
• From 1995 to 1999, the Federal Reserve maintained loose monetary policy, leading to a frenzy in capital for Technology stocks.
After 2000, the policy tightened, the bubble burst, and the technology stocks' valuation plummeted significantly.
Morgan Stanley...
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On Monday (23 Dec) the stock market started off with a shaky morning before the U.S. stocks regained ground to finish in the green, this help to start a shortened trading week with holiday on a positive note.
NASDAQ gained 0.98% while S%P 500 rose by 0.73% and DJIA managed to close up 0.13% despite being in the red most of the trading session.
The top performance in the S&P 500 was clinched by $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$ which rose 5.5%, this happen after U...
NASDAQ gained 0.98% while S%P 500 rose by 0.73% and DJIA managed to close up 0.13% despite being in the red most of the trading session.
The top performance in the S&P 500 was clinched by $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$ which rose 5.5%, this happen after U...
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It is this time of the year to recap and review my investment results.
2024 was a wild ride for the stock market! Big tech soraed leaving many investors feeling like they were on rollercoaster. The ecomony threw us some curveballs and infaltion kept us on our toes. It wasn't always smooth sailing but in the end, the market managed to climb some impressive heights!
Let's jump right in to review how am I doing this year, more importantly how much I ma...
2024 was a wild ride for the stock market! Big tech soraed leaving many investors feeling like they were on rollercoaster. The ecomony threw us some curveballs and infaltion kept us on our toes. It wasn't always smooth sailing but in the end, the market managed to climb some impressive heights!
Let's jump right in to review how am I doing this year, more importantly how much I ma...
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