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Weeky market recap
All three major averages finished lower on Friday, with the $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$and $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$posting a fifth straight day of losses, while the $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$registered its third consecutive negative session.
Investors are paying close attention to any reading on inflation these days, and the consumer price index will be the big one to watch in the coming week.
Here's a look at the retrun of S&P 500 sectors
This Week ahead in focus
Several companies will present to their investors this week, while economists will be watching the latest data on spending, inflation, and sentiment.
On Monday, $Oracle (ORCL.US)$reports quarterly earnings and $Zoom Video Communications (ZM.US)$hosts an investor day. $Chevron (CVX.US)$speaks with investors on Tuesday, followed by events from $Cisco (CSCO.US)$and $ROCHE HOLDING AG (RHHBY.US)$on Wednesday.
$Apple (AAPL.US)$will also host a product-launch virtual event on Tuesday, where it is expected to unveil the next iPhone models.
Economic-data releases this week include the August consumer price index from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Out on Tuesday, the CPI is seen surging at a 5.3% rate last month, following 5.4% annual rates in both June and July.
Monday 9/13
$Oracle (ORCL.US)$reports first-quarter fiscal 2022 results.
$Palo Alto Networks (PANW.US)$and $Zoom Video Communications (ZM.US)$hold analyst days.
The Department of the Treasury releases the U.S. budget statement for August. For fiscal 2021, which ends in September, the Congressional Budget Office estimates that the deficit will reach $3 trillion, just shy of last year's record $3.1 trillion -- or 14.9% of gross domestic product. This comes amid Congress' discussions over a stopgap funding bill for the rest of the year and raising the debt-ceiling limit.
Tuesday 9/14
$Apple (AAPL.US)$hosts a product-launch event via a livestream on its website. It is expected to introduce the iPhone 13, the latest iteration of its flagship product, and possibly a new Apple Watch and updated AirPods model.
$Chevron (CVX.US)$hosts a conference call to discuss its transition plans for a lower-carbon future. CEO Mike Wirth is among the speakers.
$ROCHE HOLDING AG (RHHBY.US)$hosts a virtual pharma day. The company will discuss the drugs in its pipeline and the market opportunities for them.
The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for August. Consensus estimate is for a 99 reading, slightly lower than July's 99.7.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the consumer price index. The CPI increased at a 5.4% annual rate in both June and July, the quickest pace of growth since 2008. Economists forecast a similar, 5.3% year-over-over gain for August, as well as a 4.3% rise in the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices. The 4.3% estimate would match July's rate of growth.
Wednesday 9/15
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports export and import prices for August. Export prices are expected to rise 0.4%, month over month, after a 1.3% jump in July. Import prices are seen increasing 0.3%, which would match the previous rate of growth.
$Cisco (CSCO.US)$holds a virtual investor day.
Thursday 9/16
The Census Bureau reports on retail-sales for August. Consensus estimate is for a 1% monthly decline, to $612 billion, from July's level, after decreasing at a similar rate in July from June's Excluding autos, expectations are for a 0.2% month-over-month dip, after a 0.4% drop previously.
Friday 9/17
Progressive reports earnings for August. It is one of the rare S&P 500 index companies that reports results monthly, instead of quarterly.
The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for September. Economists forecast a 71.3 reading, one point higher than August's. The August figure was the lowest since December 2011.
Source: CNBC, Barron's
All three major averages finished lower on Friday, with the $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$and $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$posting a fifth straight day of losses, while the $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$registered its third consecutive negative session.
Investors are paying close attention to any reading on inflation these days, and the consumer price index will be the big one to watch in the coming week.
Here's a look at the retrun of S&P 500 sectors
This Week ahead in focus
Several companies will present to their investors this week, while economists will be watching the latest data on spending, inflation, and sentiment.
On Monday, $Oracle (ORCL.US)$reports quarterly earnings and $Zoom Video Communications (ZM.US)$hosts an investor day. $Chevron (CVX.US)$speaks with investors on Tuesday, followed by events from $Cisco (CSCO.US)$and $ROCHE HOLDING AG (RHHBY.US)$on Wednesday.
$Apple (AAPL.US)$will also host a product-launch virtual event on Tuesday, where it is expected to unveil the next iPhone models.
Economic-data releases this week include the August consumer price index from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Out on Tuesday, the CPI is seen surging at a 5.3% rate last month, following 5.4% annual rates in both June and July.
Monday 9/13
$Oracle (ORCL.US)$reports first-quarter fiscal 2022 results.
$Palo Alto Networks (PANW.US)$and $Zoom Video Communications (ZM.US)$hold analyst days.
The Department of the Treasury releases the U.S. budget statement for August. For fiscal 2021, which ends in September, the Congressional Budget Office estimates that the deficit will reach $3 trillion, just shy of last year's record $3.1 trillion -- or 14.9% of gross domestic product. This comes amid Congress' discussions over a stopgap funding bill for the rest of the year and raising the debt-ceiling limit.
Tuesday 9/14
$Apple (AAPL.US)$hosts a product-launch event via a livestream on its website. It is expected to introduce the iPhone 13, the latest iteration of its flagship product, and possibly a new Apple Watch and updated AirPods model.
$Chevron (CVX.US)$hosts a conference call to discuss its transition plans for a lower-carbon future. CEO Mike Wirth is among the speakers.
$ROCHE HOLDING AG (RHHBY.US)$hosts a virtual pharma day. The company will discuss the drugs in its pipeline and the market opportunities for them.
The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for August. Consensus estimate is for a 99 reading, slightly lower than July's 99.7.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the consumer price index. The CPI increased at a 5.4% annual rate in both June and July, the quickest pace of growth since 2008. Economists forecast a similar, 5.3% year-over-over gain for August, as well as a 4.3% rise in the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices. The 4.3% estimate would match July's rate of growth.
Wednesday 9/15
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports export and import prices for August. Export prices are expected to rise 0.4%, month over month, after a 1.3% jump in July. Import prices are seen increasing 0.3%, which would match the previous rate of growth.
$Cisco (CSCO.US)$holds a virtual investor day.
Thursday 9/16
The Census Bureau reports on retail-sales for August. Consensus estimate is for a 1% monthly decline, to $612 billion, from July's level, after decreasing at a similar rate in July from June's Excluding autos, expectations are for a 0.2% month-over-month dip, after a 0.4% drop previously.
Friday 9/17
Progressive reports earnings for August. It is one of the rare S&P 500 index companies that reports results monthly, instead of quarterly.
The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for September. Economists forecast a 71.3 reading, one point higher than August's. The August figure was the lowest since December 2011.
Source: CNBC, Barron's
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Low interest rate, high short term growth, low long term growth in general
Pockets of mega trends and companies that ride these mega trends that disrupt whole industries and force change
Macro trends being pulled few years forward which tends to happen after black swan events
Price is more important than valuation and even price becomes more irrelevant as partial shares become mainstream
Largest generation in history with many retail investors with higher conviction, than possibly any time in history mixed with gamification and democratization of financial markets
...
Pockets of mega trends and companies that ride these mega trends that disrupt whole industries and force change
Macro trends being pulled few years forward which tends to happen after black swan events
Price is more important than valuation and even price becomes more irrelevant as partial shares become mainstream
Largest generation in history with many retail investors with higher conviction, than possibly any time in history mixed with gamification and democratization of financial markets
...
1
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ All eyes on NFP release on Friday which will influence Fed's pace of taper. Price could break above $750 if the data disappoints.
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