A very intuitive data to view the rise and fall of US stocks. This is a comparison chart of the S&P 500 Index and VIX Index daily levels over the past 4 years. Every time the VIX Index surges, it is usually near the bottom of the S&P Index. If the VIX surges and then quickly drops, the bottom of the S&P 500 will not stay long. If the VIX surges and consolidates at a high level for a period of time, the corresponding bottom of the S&P 500 will also linger, but usually not exceeding 2 weeks. This is also why the US stock market has short bear markets and long bull markets.
The recent rapid decline in US stocks over the past few days is more a result of the market's overreaction to hawkish remarks from Fed Chair Powell, affecting major global asset classes. But as soon as the PCE data was released before the market opened today, the market started to become optimistic again. All three major stock indexes rose by more than 1% today, with many individual stocks surging over 10% intra-day.
It has to be said that the Federal Reserve is still a master of managing expectations. Next week is Christmas, coinciding with the pre-holiday Federal Reserve interest rate meeting + PCE data providing the market with a quick deleveraging. So we can look forward to the Christmas market next week.

The recent decline in the US stock market has sparked concerns among investors about the future outlook. While the market has experienced a significant rally in 2023, following a steep drop in 2022, experts remain divided on whether this upward trajectory will continue.
Key Factors Influencing the Market
Several factors are influencing the current market sentiment and future outlook:
1. Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve's monetary policy, particularly interest rat...

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