inakappe
commented on
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
I'm starting to see troubling signs of SPY
I can see the same bearish divergence as late July
could it be...![]()
Looks like 535 was retested and rejected![]()
Maybe it's a sign that can be seen during periods such as August for the presidential election![]()
👇👇👇
I'm starting to see troubling signs of SPY
Looks like 535 was retested and rejected
Maybe it's a sign that can be seen during periods such as August for the presidential election
👇👇👇
Translated
![Annoying signs 🧐🤔](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/182737531/20240811/1723347892193-random8683-182737531-android-org.jpeg/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
15
2
inakappe
commented on
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
VIX went up and stock prices went down![]()
VIX has come down, but the stock price hasn't risen![]()
VIX went up and stock prices went down
VIX has come down, but the stock price hasn't risen
Translated
11
4
inakappe
commented on
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
After N moved in the 103-106 range, maybe the second half was horizontal and horizontal![]()
Maybe it can be horizontal and horizontal after dropping to 101 in the second half![]()
Maybe it's good to go to bed early![]()
![]()
![]()
After N moved in the 103-106 range, maybe the second half was horizontal and horizontal
Maybe it can be horizontal and horizontal after dropping to 101 in the second half
Maybe it's good to go to bed early
Translated
15
3
inakappe
liked
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
N105 in L31
I was a little uneasy about the first half, but I managed to break the wall![]()
Currently, as long as it continues to rise above 98.26, the upward potential is still effective![]()
As it is, even if there is a slight pullback, the decline up to 96.24 will be invalidated if it is pushed up to 106![]()
However, once it continues to collapse, there is a possibility that it will fall to 96.24![]()
If it rises, break through 106 and rise until 109/111![]()
N105 in L31
Currently, as long as it continues to rise above 98.26, the upward potential is still effective
As it is, even if there is a slight pullback, the decline up to 96.24 will be invalidated if it is pushed up to 106
However, once it continues to collapse, there is a possibility that it will fall to 96.24
If it rises, break through 106 and rise until 109/111
Translated
![Good morning tonight's predictions ①](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/182737531/20240809/1723151524936-random1206-182737531-android-org.jpeg/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
30
3
inakappe
liked
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
Tonight the unemployment rate will be announced at 21:30![]()
N maintains 98 or higher and 101.50 is the point![]()
Depending on the unemployment rate, there is a possibility that it will fall below 95![]()
I will post my predictions by 22:00
see you later![]()
Tonight the unemployment rate will be announced at 21:30
N maintains 98 or higher and 101.50 is the point
Depending on the unemployment rate, there is a possibility that it will fall below 95
I will post my predictions by 22:00
Translated
29
1
inakappe
reacted to
The probability of interest rate swaps raising interest rate within the year dropped sharply, and the Bank of Japan switched to pigeon faction in just 1 week
2024/8/8 14:40 JST (some excerpts)
If the outlook or risk changes due to market fluctuations, the interest rate pass will change, Deputy Governor Uchida
Policy stance “substantial correction” from July Bank of Japan meeting - SBI certificate, Mr. Daoie
The probability of interest rate hikes by the end of the year has declined sharply in the yen interest rate swap market. The Bank of Japan raised policy interest rates at the monetary policy meeting last week, and Governor Ueda Kazuo just showed a positive hawkish stance on further interest rate hikes, but in response to financial market turmoil such as the sharp rise in yen and stock price crashes that followed, it changed to a dovish stance in just one week.
In the overnight index swap (OIS) market, the probability of raising policy interest rates by 25 basis points (bp, 1 bp = 0.01%) at the Bank of Japan meeting in December dropped from the 60% range on the 1st to the 20% range. The 2-year government bond yield had risen to 0.46% when additional interest rate hikes were factored in, but the factorization fell to 0.25% at one point.
2024/8/8 14:40 JST (some excerpts)
If the outlook or risk changes due to market fluctuations, the interest rate pass will change, Deputy Governor Uchida
Policy stance “substantial correction” from July Bank of Japan meeting - SBI certificate, Mr. Daoie
The probability of interest rate hikes by the end of the year has declined sharply in the yen interest rate swap market. The Bank of Japan raised policy interest rates at the monetary policy meeting last week, and Governor Ueda Kazuo just showed a positive hawkish stance on further interest rate hikes, but in response to financial market turmoil such as the sharp rise in yen and stock price crashes that followed, it changed to a dovish stance in just one week.
In the overnight index swap (OIS) market, the probability of raising policy interest rates by 25 basis points (bp, 1 bp = 0.01%) at the Bank of Japan meeting in December dropped from the 60% range on the 1st to the 20% range. The 2-year government bond yield had risen to 0.46% when additional interest rate hikes were factored in, but the factorization fell to 0.25% at one point.
Translated
3
inakappe
commented on
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
Large tech stocks have entered an ice age and are likely to decline over the next 2 to 3 months. The bottom of N and L is yet to come out. Not suitable for bargain hunting at the moment...
Large tech stocks have entered an ice age and are likely to decline over the next 2 to 3 months. The bottom of N and L is yet to come out. Not suitable for bargain hunting at the moment...
Translated
20
7
inakappe
reacted to
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
N and L are on a downward trend towards the middle of the month, but bears 🐻 are making mischief and causing them to rise and fall![]()
The scene of Kuma-san's prank 👇👇👇👇👇
N and L are on a downward trend towards the middle of the month, but bears 🐻 are making mischief and causing them to rise and fall
The scene of Kuma-san's prank 👇👇👇👇👇
Translated
![This week's predictions 😅](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/182737531/20240807/1723036570663-random8463-182737531-android-org.jpeg/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
26
8
inakappe
liked
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
I'm worried that the current price is divided here
I'm worried that the current price is divided here
Translated
![Huh](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/182664070/20240807/f0983de23d74f3b1a2fe9709d3843d5b.jpg/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![Huh](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/182664070/20240807/710c124c46832ca1b4a6cf9afbe72b2c.jpg/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
8
inakappe
commented on
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ Ooh... did something happen to this...?
Translated
8
4
inakappe : @ピンハネ Thank you for always analyzing. I wasn't aware of this point of view.
First, we will keep a close eye on PPI and CPI after the holidays.