US PCE core price index grew slightly in June - consumption remained strong
2024 7/26 9:46 JST
The US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) core price index only increased slightly in June. Also, private consumption remained strong. It was a bright sign for monetary authorities aiming to slow inflation without causing the economy to fall into a slump.
key point
PCE core price index rose 0.2% month-on-month — in line with expectations
0.1% increase in the previous month
2.6% increase compared to the same month last year - 2.5% increase expected
PCE Composite Price Index rose 0.1% from previous month — in line with expectations
The previous month was flat
2.5% increase compared to the same month last year — in line with expectations

The financial results season for US stocks was a turbulent beginning. Of the Big Tech M7, $Alphabet-A(GOOGL.US)$with $Tesla(TSLA.US)$It plummeted after financial results were announced. It has been pointed out that falling AI expectations are a common factor in the sale of shares of both companies, $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Ya $Broadcom(AVGO.US)$AI semiconductor stocks also depreciated drastically.
Will the turbulence at the beginning of financial results suggest the end of the AI market? Or is it just a profit-making sale due to rapid growth before settlement?
From the previous financial results season, which was also the beginning of turbulence,The following 2 points are important as to whether or not the AI market continuesIt has been suggested that is the case.
1) Trends in AI investments, particularly big tech capital investments
2) Trends and forecasts for AI-related earnings
This time, I finished announcing financial resultsCheck 1) and 2) above from the financial results of Alphabet, Tesla, and major semiconductor companiesI'll do it. Referring to the previous fiscal season,Also check future points of interestI'll do it.
Even though the previous fiscal season suggests...

Cloud Strike seems to be fine
$CrowdStrike(CRWD.US)$

$CrowdStrike(CRWD.US)$
　I don't know if it's gross negligence (“the release decision is a violation of duty of care and it is extremely easy to predict the consequences”), but there is a high possibility that it will be difficult to get full compensation for the damage caused, and I feel that the burden on the user company is inevitable
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The biggest IT failure, and confusion due to risk compensation due to simultaneous software updates
https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXZQOUC210L20R20C24A7000000/

$Eli Lilly and Co(LLY.US)$
Is it the impact of regulations against China, or is it simply profit determination that has continued to rise steadily?
The crash I experienced for the first time since holding LLY. An increase in purchases was carried out when there was a dispute due to a return of half price on the out of range line, but after that, the decline resumed, and currently, the 61.8% line has also passed.
Unrealized gains that will be stripped down. You can't sell it here. Will it endure being nourished by the institution
The grip strength of the individual holder is tested.

$Bitcoin(BTC.CC)$
Conversely, I understand that you get scared and want to make a profit, so let's talk about the essence of stocks...
Cut losses fast! It's too late to take profit ✨
If you research information, charts, trends up until now, etc. yourself, you can make predictions that will rise until this period, and it is dangerous to invest without looking up anything...
I think the quintessential superpower of “taking profit slowly” can be given to those who make an effort, and I'm aiming for this by avoiding only recent judgments as much as possible and making plans from a medium- to long-term perspective as much as possible lol

“Trump trade” is becoming more activeDoing it. This is because in response to the attempted assassination of former US President Trump over the weekend, the possibility that he will return has increased. In the US stock market on July 15,Energy, finance, and capital goods that can be expected to benefit from Trump's election are in the top 3 in terms of rate of increase by industrylined up. Even in the case of the past month, the 3 industries were at the top of the gain/fall rate,The inflow of funds into related ETFs is acceleratingDoing it. This time,Take up an ETF listed in the US as a “Trump Trade” ETF version。
The individual stock edition is dated 7/15”Has Attack on Trump taken the stock market by storm? Who will be the winning team in the Trump marketPlease refer to”. The “Trump Trade” Japanese stock edition is scheduled to be published on 7/17.
Does the flow of funds to ETFs reflect the “AI boom” + “Trump trade”
Listed in the USFunding flows to sector ETFsInvestors“AI boom” + “Trump trade”It can be seen that they are trying to incorporate it.
Top 5 ETFs with fund inflows over the past monthWhen I checked, the financial stock ETF's $Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF.US)$, information technology ETF's...

[Japan Market Conditions] Stock rebound, yen falls - be aware of Trump's comeback scenario
Updated 2024/7/16 15:48 JST (some excerpts)
The stock exchange rate rebounded in the Japanese market on the 16th, and the yen exchange rate fell to the latter half of the 1 dollar = 158 yen range. From the view that the probability that the Republican Trump candidate will return to the presidency has increased in the United States, stock purchases, dollar buying/yen sales, which were conscious of the possibility of fiscal expenditure expansion and US economic buoyancy, became dominant.
　　Meanwhile, bond prices have risen. It started ahead of sale in response to rising US bond yields the day before, but buying gradually became dominant against the backdrop of optimistic views on liquidity supply bidding, and long-term interest rates hit a low level for the first time in 3 weeks.

$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF(TMF.US)$
TMF is still going down ⤵️ there is a high possibility
Has this been your last place to buy so many times in the past?
It's been said and it's going down slurping
Preparation is still in progress, and the time of preparation has been announced in advance
If you don't want to miss the preparation, follow me

$Nike(NKE.US)$ Bought some last night.
Personally, I don't like contrarian buying value stocks or stocks that have plummeted after settlement, and it's an investment that deviates from my own investment stance.
I want to hold on with a feeling that a company with brand intangible assets as Nike has plummeted to the stock price of 6 to 7 years ago and is excessively oversold, that it is very cheap even when compared to RSI and past PER, that I can wait patiently while receiving dividends of less than 2%, and that I want to add some diversification to my portfolio since my own satellite quota is basically growth-oriented, etc.
Of course, it's not good right now in terms of fundamentals, and considerable daily adjustments are necessary in order to resolve the wrinkles formed by the higher price. Like words such as don't grab a falling knife or sales at institutions don't end in 1 day, it may not be at the bottom yet, but if there is a further decline in the future, I would like to capture it from a buying perspective with the image of constructing positions by dividing them into multiple times.