Kou_FX・株式
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After the interest rate hike at the July policy decision meeting, concerns about the US economy intensified, and the market became significantly unstable with a sharp decline in the yen and a historical plunge in domestic stock prices. The market continues to be in a nervous state.
In the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decision meeting to be held on the 19th and 20th, it is highly likely that the current operation of monetary policy management will be decided to guide the unsecured call overnight interest rate to around 0.25%. There is a growing view that the Bank of Japan is likely to maintain the current operation of monetary policy management by guiding the unsecured call overnight interest rate to around 0.25%. Regarding the future monetary policy of the Bank of Japan, there is a strong expectation that the current operation of monetary policy management will be decided to guide the unsecured call overnight interest rate to around 0.25%.
Do you find any hints about the future monetary policy of the Bank of Japan from the governor's press conference? Don't miss this live stream!! Do you find any hints about the future monetary policy of the Bank of Japan from the governor's press conference? Don't miss this live stream!! Do you find any hints about the future monetary policy of the Bank of Japan from the governor's press conference? Don't miss this live stream!!
For those who wish to watch,"Reservation"button.
In the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decision meeting to be held on the 19th and 20th, it is highly likely that the current operation of monetary policy management will be decided to guide the unsecured call overnight interest rate to around 0.25%. There is a growing view that the Bank of Japan is likely to maintain the current operation of monetary policy management by guiding the unsecured call overnight interest rate to around 0.25%. Regarding the future monetary policy of the Bank of Japan, there is a strong expectation that the current operation of monetary policy management will be decided to guide the unsecured call overnight interest rate to around 0.25%.
Do you find any hints about the future monetary policy of the Bank of Japan from the governor's press conference? Don't miss this live stream!! Do you find any hints about the future monetary policy of the Bank of Japan from the governor's press conference? Don't miss this live stream!! Do you find any hints about the future monetary policy of the Bank of Japan from the governor's press conference? Don't miss this live stream!!
For those who wish to watch,"Reservation"button.
Translated
BOJ Governor's regular press conference, live broadcast
Sep 20 01:30
4
Stock prices are falling, partly due to the influence of red rice malt news, but from a technical point of view, it's still impressive.
When it comes to the price range where a short-term Dow conversion occurs, oscillator reversals will also begin, and is it OK to pile up small?
When it comes to the price range where a short-term Dow conversion occurs, oscillator reversals will also begin, and is it OK to pile up small?
Translated
15
The FOMC anticipated interest rate cuts next year and financial markets rose, but later Governor Williams made a statement that it was still too early to talk about interest rate cuts.
As for the exchange rate, the dollar and yen are falling
Technically, I have a lower line of sight. Because the slope is also down
As a matter of fact, I don't know if there will be interest rate cuts, but there is no choice but to keep aiming for a match between the line of sight and slope
Now it's back on sale. You should think about it once you've bridged the gap
As for the exchange rate, the dollar and yen are falling
Technically, I have a lower line of sight. Because the slope is also down
As a matter of fact, I don't know if there will be interest rate cuts, but there is no choice but to keep aiming for a match between the line of sight and slope
Now it's back on sale. You should think about it once you've bridged the gap
Translated
6
Financial results fell short of expectations and fell by about 5%
In terms of technical analysis
・Weekly chart
Close to the previous low on an upward Dow
↓
・Daily chart
It has gone downhill and is expanding downward in terms of Bollinger Bands
↓
・4-hour timeframe
Same as daily chart, downward downtrend, expansion, and downward slope
・1 hour chart
Down down, slope down.
My beard is sticking out, but I still can't buy it with this alone
↓
Based on these, it's still higher on the weekly level, but it's already going downward from the daily chart to the lower level.
Even if stock prices rise in the future, the decline will still be strong in the near future.
Short-term periods switch to an upward line of sight, and the slope is upward
I still don't know what's going to happen until I start moving up, so I'll wait for it to go down one more step
In terms of technical analysis
・Weekly chart
Close to the previous low on an upward Dow
↓
・Daily chart
It has gone downhill and is expanding downward in terms of Bollinger Bands
↓
・4-hour timeframe
Same as daily chart, downward downtrend, expansion, and downward slope
・1 hour chart
Down down, slope down.
My beard is sticking out, but I still can't buy it with this alone
↓
Based on these, it's still higher on the weekly level, but it's already going downward from the daily chart to the lower level.
Even if stock prices rise in the future, the decline will still be strong in the near future.
Short-term periods switch to an upward line of sight, and the slope is upward
I still don't know what's going to happen until I start moving up, so I'll wait for it to go down one more step
Translated
+1
2
1
There is a possibility that yen, which is a safe currency, will be bought even in the exchange market,
Be wary of exchange intervention (conditions are not in place, but if settlement comes in in the market, it starts to drop, participants doubt intervention, respond, etc.)
Once it starts moving, there is a possibility that it will fluctuate.
War may be a trigger, but if you trade by looking at a chart, “it's not too late even after it starts moving”
What you can do now is think about the fear that volatility will intensify
Protect the money you have now.
Fortify your defenses and survive so you can fight when you have the chance!
Be wary of exchange intervention (conditions are not in place, but if settlement comes in in the market, it starts to drop, participants doubt intervention, respond, etc.)
Once it starts moving, there is a possibility that it will fluctuate.
War may be a trigger, but if you trade by looking at a chart, “it's not too late even after it starts moving”
What you can do now is think about the fear that volatility will intensify
Protect the money you have now.
Fortify your defenses and survive so you can fight when you have the chance!
Translated
3
Although the CPI results exceeded the financial estimates and the USD/JPY is rising, there are concerns about intervention, making the 150 yen level a strong resistance.
However, technically the trend is still bullish, so buying on dips is the only option.
Daily chart: bullish outlook
4-hour chart: the viewpoint is ambiguous depending on the viewer
The inclination is bullish
Can we still confirm the strength of the uptrend with a double bottom?
Even the 1-hour timeframe is unclear.
The slope of the indicator is downward.
Even the 15-minute timeframe is unclear with a downward slope.
Due to the approximately 3 yen drop in early October, from the perspective of Dow theory,
There are subtle factors whether the recent low has broken through or not, making the direction unclear.
Currently, it is moving within the big bearish candlestick that dropped sharply (inside).
If the current 15-minute slope remains upward,
When the inclination of the 1-hour timeframe starts to become horizontal.
As there is a short-term upward break in the 4-hour timeframe, aligning with the perspective of the daily timeframe, it is still a buy target.
However, in the current state, the stop-loss range is wide, so observe whether the price will push down a bit more, or if the horizontal axis aligns at a price range where the indicator turns upwards.
Until breaking below the low of the 15-minute timeframe, consider buying following the higher timeframe.
However, technically the trend is still bullish, so buying on dips is the only option.
Daily chart: bullish outlook
4-hour chart: the viewpoint is ambiguous depending on the viewer
The inclination is bullish
Can we still confirm the strength of the uptrend with a double bottom?
Even the 1-hour timeframe is unclear.
The slope of the indicator is downward.
Even the 15-minute timeframe is unclear with a downward slope.
Due to the approximately 3 yen drop in early October, from the perspective of Dow theory,
There are subtle factors whether the recent low has broken through or not, making the direction unclear.
Currently, it is moving within the big bearish candlestick that dropped sharply (inside).
If the current 15-minute slope remains upward,
When the inclination of the 1-hour timeframe starts to become horizontal.
As there is a short-term upward break in the 4-hour timeframe, aligning with the perspective of the daily timeframe, it is still a buy target.
However, in the current state, the stop-loss range is wide, so observe whether the price will push down a bit more, or if the horizontal axis aligns at a price range where the indicator turns upwards.
Until breaking below the low of the 15-minute timeframe, consider buying following the higher timeframe.
Translated
+1
4
1
After falling following the release of US employment statistics, it rose again to around 1.06, forming a large positive candlestick.
Subsequently, in a timing with many holidays and reduced liquidity, it has dropped to levels similar to before the release of the employment statistics.
In terms of the long-term trend, it seems downward, but the slope of the 4-hour chart is upward. (Focus is still downward)
Despite the conflicting long-term direction, it has become a troubling environment. If it goes down, breaking below the short-term uptrend line and the short-term perspective turning downward will also eliminate the upward slope of the 4-hour chart.
↓
It becomes easier to sell.
Now, both options are still possible, so let's wait for the direction to become clear without trading forcefully!
Subsequently, in a timing with many holidays and reduced liquidity, it has dropped to levels similar to before the release of the employment statistics.
In terms of the long-term trend, it seems downward, but the slope of the 4-hour chart is upward. (Focus is still downward)
Despite the conflicting long-term direction, it has become a troubling environment. If it goes down, breaking below the short-term uptrend line and the short-term perspective turning downward will also eliminate the upward slope of the 4-hour chart.
↓
It becomes easier to sell.
Now, both options are still possible, so let's wait for the direction to become clear without trading forcefully!
Translated
5
The numbers in employment statistics are good, and the dollar-yen rate is rising
There is a fact that it dropped about 3 yen from 150 yen
Due to that influence, it is now in a state where it continues to move within the large yin line (inside)
Technically, it's still in the upward direction, but there is a possibility that the sense of direction will be bothersome due to the fact that it has declined, so if you trade, is it still safer for a relatively short period of time?
Waiting impatiently.
There is a fact that it dropped about 3 yen from 150 yen
Due to that influence, it is now in a state where it continues to move within the large yin line (inside)
Technically, it's still in the upward direction, but there is a possibility that the sense of direction will be bothersome due to the fact that it has declined, so if you trade, is it still safer for a relatively short period of time?
Waiting impatiently.
Translated
3
Use the supercomputer “Dojo” to learn AI for autonomous driving
↓
It is predicted that there is a possibility that Morgan Stanley will boost Tesla's total market value by 76% due to expectations for the Dojo (approximately 600 billion dollars)
↓
The market reacted and stock prices rose by about 10%!
↓↓
Currently, that increase has been restored.
In terms of technical analysis
↓
Hidari
It's getting close to the moving average line with an upward line of sight
4 hour chart
The part where the slope of the moving average line is touched at the top
From these, it is easy for purchases to become slightly stronger due to Granville's law.
However, if you look at the 1-hour chart
The moving average line is pointing downward and there are people who want to sell back (still can't buy)
The inclination of the 15 minute foot is about to level off.
If you break the small horizontal range upward
・The 15-minute slope is upward
・The downward direction of the foot will disappear for 1 hour
↓
Is it still higher if it matches a slope of 4 hours or more?
I still can't buy it now, but compared to when it rose 10%, it's getting close to a form that is easy to buy.
Wait and see for a little longer
↓
It is predicted that there is a possibility that Morgan Stanley will boost Tesla's total market value by 76% due to expectations for the Dojo (approximately 600 billion dollars)
↓
The market reacted and stock prices rose by about 10%!
↓↓
Currently, that increase has been restored.
In terms of technical analysis
↓
Hidari
It's getting close to the moving average line with an upward line of sight
4 hour chart
The part where the slope of the moving average line is touched at the top
From these, it is easy for purchases to become slightly stronger due to Granville's law.
However, if you look at the 1-hour chart
The moving average line is pointing downward and there are people who want to sell back (still can't buy)
The inclination of the 15 minute foot is about to level off.
If you break the small horizontal range upward
・The 15-minute slope is upward
・The downward direction of the foot will disappear for 1 hour
↓
Is it still higher if it matches a slope of 4 hours or more?
I still can't buy it now, but compared to when it rose 10%, it's getting close to a form that is easy to buy.
Wait and see for a little longer
Translated
+1
2
Until now, I've touched on US stocks a bit, but I was at a loss because fees are inevitably high.
This time, there are no fees for 2 months, and things that weren't easy anywhere else, such as being free of fees for 2 months, and up to 200 shares will be realized, so I'm going to use this as the main account for US stocks!
I'm really looking forward to it!
This time, there are no fees for 2 months, and things that weren't easy anywhere else, such as being free of fees for 2 months, and up to 200 shares will be realized, so I'm going to use this as the main account for US stocks!
I'm really looking forward to it!
Translated
10
2