As I venture into investing, I'm diligently conducting research. One source suggests a promising 5+ years ahead, while another predicts a potential collapse starting in 2024. Should the market crash, I wonder if others have begun investing during such downturns. What are some secure companies or sectors suitable for someone new to investing, seeking a cautious approach amidst varying speculations about the market's direction? $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$
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Stocks Tumble, Yield Surge After Catastrophic 30Y Auction Stops With Biggest Tail On Record As Foreign Demand Craters
$Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$
$Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$
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Some context: the fall in 10-year real yields since Powell's presser is a big deal but it's not historic or exceptional. As of now there've been 10 greater daily falls, in bps terms, since this hiking cycle began at the beginning of last year.
$Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$
$Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$
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The $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ equal weighted index is now down almost 3% this year.
Just 3 months ago, the S&P 500 equal weighted index was up 10%.
It’s set to break below the March regional banking crisis lows this month.
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 is up 8% this year erasing more than half of its gain.
All as the S&P 7, the largest tech stocks, continues to fall sharply.
The collapse of tech stocks would mean the collapse of the market.
Tech stocks are the market.
Just 3 months ago, the S&P 500 equal weighted index was up 10%.
It’s set to break below the March regional banking crisis lows this month.
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 is up 8% this year erasing more than half of its gain.
All as the S&P 7, the largest tech stocks, continues to fall sharply.
The collapse of tech stocks would mean the collapse of the market.
Tech stocks are the market.
Most 2022 bears have gone bankrupt shorting QQQ, SPY & especially NVDA all the way from January's bottom or finally turned bull. Things seem to be alright...ish, earnings are not bad & most people don't expect it market to go lower.
Bulls are long & leveraged to tits and dip buying is the default mode of operation for everyone.
Everyone says October has always been the bottom & November/December are magical rally months.
I don't know ...
Bulls are long & leveraged to tits and dip buying is the default mode of operation for everyone.
Everyone says October has always been the bottom & November/December are magical rally months.
I don't know ...
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"Yes, market looking very healthy you guys!"
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Chart shows the response of the PCE and PCE durables price indices in the 36 months following a shock to the fraction of idled workers due to work stoppages. The shock is of a magnitude reflecting 25,000 UAW workers striking during September 2023, and reflects an increase in the fraction of worker-days idled due to work stoppages beyond what would be predicted by the last 12 months of inflation, wage growth, industrial production growth, and worke...
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1860: $9.59
1870: $3.86
1880: $0.94
1890: $0.77
1900: $1.19
1910: $0.61
1920: $3.07
1930: $1.19
1940: $1.02
1950: $2.51
1960: $2.88
1970: $3.18
1980: $21.59
1990: $20.03
2000: $26.72
2010: $74.71
2020: $36.86
2023: $88.59
$Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$
1870: $3.86
1880: $0.94
1890: $0.77
1900: $1.19
1910: $0.61
1920: $3.07
1930: $1.19
1940: $1.02
1950: $2.51
1960: $2.88
1970: $3.18
1980: $21.59
1990: $20.03
2000: $26.72
2010: $74.71
2020: $36.86
2023: $88.59
$Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$
Thursday's US CPI inflation report suggests a November pause, but increases the odds of a later hike.
As of Friday morning, financial markets see a 91% chance of the Fed holding rates at current levels in November.
For December, they are pricing in a more divided 67% chance for a pause and a 33% chance of a rate increase.
What will the Fed do amid persistently high inflation? $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$
As of Friday morning, financial markets see a 91% chance of the Fed holding rates at current levels in November.
For December, they are pricing in a more divided 67% chance for a pause and a 33% chance of a rate increase.
What will the Fed do amid persistently high inflation? $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$
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You may remember me from my prior rare post on the debt ceiling increase, which turned out to be shockingly accurate.
1. Oil prices
Upward pressure on oil, but not as much as people are making it sound. Oil already had an uptick due to supply changes -- supply and demand announcements will still control prices for oil, not this conflict.
2. Inflation
Upward pressure...
1. Oil prices
Upward pressure on oil, but not as much as people are making it sound. Oil already had an uptick due to supply changes -- supply and demand announcements will still control prices for oil, not this conflict.
2. Inflation
Upward pressure...
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