Chairman Powell of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) avoided presenting specific guidance on when to cut interest rates for the first time on the 2nd,“dovish”It seems to show such an attitude. Chairman Powell also revealed that there has been considerable progress in the Federal Reserve lowering the inflation rate to policy targets.
Overall, more than half of financial institutionsThe first rate cut will be in SeptemberI anticipate that.
CitigroupInterest rate cuts of 25 bp in September, November, and December, respectivelyI'm predicting it. In June, the bank revised downward its previous forecast, which had been to cut interest rates 4 times from July. The main indicator that the bank is paying attention to is the unemployment rate, which rose moderately from 3.9% the previous month to 4% in May. Also, the inflation rate is expected to cool down in the next few months.
Similar to Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and Nomura Securities also anticipate that the first rate cuts will be in September.
JPMorgan, which has a hawkish stance, predicts that the first rate cut will be in November since labor market momentum continues to be strong. The bank changed the number of interest rate cuts from 3 to 1 this year, but the employment situation is sluggish, and interest rate cuts took a few months...