MattSully
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$AST SpaceMobile (ASTS.US)$The upward trend from May 16 to September 5 this year👇
Focus on reviewing the amplitude of each pullback and the corresponding market performance during major events, while keeping an eye on your important moving averages.
"If you sell stocks too early when the market is hot, then you will need at least 10 years to retire. You will never be smarter than the 10/20-day moving average." - @Qullamaggie
Focus on reviewing the amplitude of each pullback and the corresponding market performance during major events, while keeping an eye on your important moving averages.
"If you sell stocks too early when the market is hot, then you will need at least 10 years to retire. You will never be smarter than the 10/20-day moving average." - @Qullamaggie
Translated
5
MattSully
liked
Last week's review 👉🏻Market review + Position holdings (04/11-08/11 2024)
Market behavior this week:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ And $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ Distribution on Thursday and Friday;
$Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ The dividend will be distributed on Wednesday.
rut>spx>ndx.
Except for the rise of RUT on Monday, the market has been in a downtrend for the rest of the week, reaching/nearing a stage peak on Friday; the three indices are currently trying to fill the previous gap, with NDX close to completion, while SPX and RUT still have a lot of gap space to fill. If this gap is not filled in the future, it will be a manifestation of strength; BTC continues to maintain its strength, biotechnology suddenly slaughtered, and semiconductors are on the verge of collapse.
Weekly Charts:
Three indexes are currently testing the consolidation area that broke through last week. The weekly chart still maintains an upward trend (as does the daily chart).
Breadth:
Still in the green, the back-and-forth battle has continued for nearly three weeks. Based on the readings from the past two months, the breadth's cyclical low points align perfectly with the market index's low points, mostly lasting around 3 days. Counting from November 15th, the 3 days fall on the 15th, 18th and 19th, coinciding with NVDA's earnings report on the 20th. It will be interesting to see how the market reacts to the results, which will have a significant impact on the medium-term and short-term trends.
Weekly notes...
Market behavior this week:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ And $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ Distribution on Thursday and Friday;
$Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ The dividend will be distributed on Wednesday.
rut>spx>ndx.
Except for the rise of RUT on Monday, the market has been in a downtrend for the rest of the week, reaching/nearing a stage peak on Friday; the three indices are currently trying to fill the previous gap, with NDX close to completion, while SPX and RUT still have a lot of gap space to fill. If this gap is not filled in the future, it will be a manifestation of strength; BTC continues to maintain its strength, biotechnology suddenly slaughtered, and semiconductors are on the verge of collapse.
Weekly Charts:
Three indexes are currently testing the consolidation area that broke through last week. The weekly chart still maintains an upward trend (as does the daily chart).
Breadth:
Still in the green, the back-and-forth battle has continued for nearly three weeks. Based on the readings from the past two months, the breadth's cyclical low points align perfectly with the market index's low points, mostly lasting around 3 days. Counting from November 15th, the 3 days fall on the 15th, 18th and 19th, coinciding with NVDA's earnings report on the 20th. It will be interesting to see how the market reacts to the results, which will have a significant impact on the medium-term and short-term trends.
Weekly notes...
Translated
+22
36
MattSully
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Last week review 👉🏻Market review + Holding positions (28/10-01/11 2024)
This week's market behavior:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ And $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ Wednesday absorption of funds;
$Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ Absorbing funds on Wednesday and Friday.
rut>spx>ndx.
From the market feedback this week, Trump's victory is currently strongly endorsed by investors, and all three indexes have broken out of the previous consolidation range, heralding a new upward trend; however, SPX is still subject to speed limits on the chart, while RUT has given a lot of room to play, meanwhile, semiconductors are still overall weak.
Weekly Charts:
Here the situation can be seen more clearly, with more room for the RUT to perform, followed by the NDX (requires semiconductors), and the SPX having the smallest short-term space. However, we cannot rule out the market's long-term sustained overheated emotions (which has happened many times in history), everything needs to be based on real-time price feedback every week.
Breadth:
Stay green, gradually regaining strength this week.
Weekly notes:
This week within the system, the RS of PBI has been slightly downgraded.
Market Sentiment:
AAII's bullish sentiment recovered slightly this week, and next week, barring unforeseen circumstances, this value will lean more towards optimism.
The fear index has returned to greed, with SPX price branching out to extreme greed...
This week's market behavior:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ And $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ Wednesday absorption of funds;
$Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ Absorbing funds on Wednesday and Friday.
rut>spx>ndx.
From the market feedback this week, Trump's victory is currently strongly endorsed by investors, and all three indexes have broken out of the previous consolidation range, heralding a new upward trend; however, SPX is still subject to speed limits on the chart, while RUT has given a lot of room to play, meanwhile, semiconductors are still overall weak.
Weekly Charts:
Here the situation can be seen more clearly, with more room for the RUT to perform, followed by the NDX (requires semiconductors), and the SPX having the smallest short-term space. However, we cannot rule out the market's long-term sustained overheated emotions (which has happened many times in history), everything needs to be based on real-time price feedback every week.
Breadth:
Stay green, gradually regaining strength this week.
Weekly notes:
This week within the system, the RS of PBI has been slightly downgraded.
Market Sentiment:
AAII's bullish sentiment recovered slightly this week, and next week, barring unforeseen circumstances, this value will lean more towards optimism.
The fear index has returned to greed, with SPX price branching out to extreme greed...
Translated
+20
12
MattSully
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Liquidation:
$Bioventus (BVS.US)$ (+0.65%) Closed below the 20-day moving average on Monday, according to the original plan, sold half of the position, looking back at these moderately above average speed stocks, choosing the 30-day moving average as a reference actually does not have too much of an issue, since it has been sold, let it go, its ADR, ATR overall are not at the optimal level, account profit 0.65%.
$Immuneering (IMRX.US)$ (-0.28%) Fell below the stop loss and exited on Tuesday, account loss 0.28%.
$Intuitive Machines (LUNR.US)$ (-0.29%) Broke the stop loss on Wednesday, exited due to volatility for the third time, many traders pay attention to the hot name (X platform), this kind of situation occasionally happens, it's normal, account loss 0.29%.
$Applied Digital (APLD.US)$ After the financial report, the price fell below the hard stop loss of 0.3%, and the remaining 2/3 of the position fluctuated in and out of break-even, which is basically the worst-case scenario for profit protection trades, but the account managed to retain profits of 1-1.5 times the stop loss, with a 0.3% account profit.
$Gannett (GCI.US)$ ( -0.29%) Bought into a tight small platform breakout on Wednesday, stopped out on Thursday, with an account loss of 0.29%.
$On Holding (ONON.US)$...
$Bioventus (BVS.US)$ (+0.65%) Closed below the 20-day moving average on Monday, according to the original plan, sold half of the position, looking back at these moderately above average speed stocks, choosing the 30-day moving average as a reference actually does not have too much of an issue, since it has been sold, let it go, its ADR, ATR overall are not at the optimal level, account profit 0.65%.
$Immuneering (IMRX.US)$ (-0.28%) Fell below the stop loss and exited on Tuesday, account loss 0.28%.
$Intuitive Machines (LUNR.US)$ (-0.29%) Broke the stop loss on Wednesday, exited due to volatility for the third time, many traders pay attention to the hot name (X platform), this kind of situation occasionally happens, it's normal, account loss 0.29%.
$Applied Digital (APLD.US)$ After the financial report, the price fell below the hard stop loss of 0.3%, and the remaining 2/3 of the position fluctuated in and out of break-even, which is basically the worst-case scenario for profit protection trades, but the account managed to retain profits of 1-1.5 times the stop loss, with a 0.3% account profit.
$Gannett (GCI.US)$ ( -0.29%) Bought into a tight small platform breakout on Wednesday, stopped out on Thursday, with an account loss of 0.29%.
$On Holding (ONON.US)$...
Translated
+12
14
MattSully
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Last week's review 👉🏻Market Review + Position Holdings (30/09-04/10 2024)
Market behavior this week:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ Pay out on Monday and Thursday;
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ Distribute on Monday, absorb funds on Friday;
$Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ Distribute on Monday, absorb funds on Wednesday.
rut>spx>ndx.
NDX is approaching historical highs, currently showing a 3T VCP pattern, the price range has hardly changed in the past three days, and the moving averages are neatly arranged; SPX closed at a new high again, and at this point, it is impressive that companies like APPL, MSFT, NVDA, with 3T market cap, have not hit new highs; RUT has completed a shallow retracement in the third wave, rising back to the neckline, with the possibility of continuing to narrow range or moving upwards.
Weekly Charts:
NDX and SPX are still in the neutral range of the uptrend channel, RUT has shown very good long-term settings, with prices closely packed in the last four weeks.
Breadth:
Continues to stay green.
Weekly Notes:
The RS of NIO in the internal trading system has dropped significantly.
Market Sentiment:
The AAII bullish sentiment ratio has risen significantly, with a reverse market behavior on Thursday, but the strength is insufficient.
The fear index is approaching extreme greed, and this week's SPX price behavior has reached extreme greed levels.
Current holdings...
Market behavior this week:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ Pay out on Monday and Thursday;
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ Distribute on Monday, absorb funds on Friday;
$Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ Distribute on Monday, absorb funds on Wednesday.
rut>spx>ndx.
NDX is approaching historical highs, currently showing a 3T VCP pattern, the price range has hardly changed in the past three days, and the moving averages are neatly arranged; SPX closed at a new high again, and at this point, it is impressive that companies like APPL, MSFT, NVDA, with 3T market cap, have not hit new highs; RUT has completed a shallow retracement in the third wave, rising back to the neckline, with the possibility of continuing to narrow range or moving upwards.
Weekly Charts:
NDX and SPX are still in the neutral range of the uptrend channel, RUT has shown very good long-term settings, with prices closely packed in the last four weeks.
Breadth:
Continues to stay green.
Weekly Notes:
The RS of NIO in the internal trading system has dropped significantly.
Market Sentiment:
The AAII bullish sentiment ratio has risen significantly, with a reverse market behavior on Thursday, but the strength is insufficient.
The fear index is approaching extreme greed, and this week's SPX price behavior has reached extreme greed levels.
Current holdings...
Translated
+21
23
MattSully
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Last week review👉🏻Market review + position analysis (09/09-13/09 2024)
Market behavior this week:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ and $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ On Thursday, there was absorption of funds, while distribution occurred on the other four days (Note: Incremental increases less than 0.2% are classified as distribution).
$Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ Buy on Tuesday and distribute on Wednesday and Friday.
rut > spx > ndx.
The NDX is approaching the neckline breakout, and the moving averages have been neatly arranged (10 > 20 > 30 > 50). It is not very clear on the chart, but you can see the values of the moving averages in the upper left corner; SPX made higher highs on Thursday in recent days, and the moving averages have been clearly arranged; RUT's moving averages are not in place temporarily, but we can already see higher lows + higher highs.
Weekly charts:
NDX and SPX are still staying in the neutral zone of the channel, while RUT is still consolidating its gains after the first phase breakthrough.
Breadth records:
A week of all green.
Weekly notes:
Market Sentiment:
AAII Wednesday data quickly turned bullish, but there is no sign of a counter-sentiment market behavior this week, which may mean that the power of emotional capital has significantly increased compared to previous weeks.
The fear index has returned to greed, and it is worth mentioning that the breadth figure (new highs - new lows) has reached a new high of 2024.
Current positions:
Among them: upst...
Market behavior this week:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ and $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ On Thursday, there was absorption of funds, while distribution occurred on the other four days (Note: Incremental increases less than 0.2% are classified as distribution).
$Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ Buy on Tuesday and distribute on Wednesday and Friday.
rut > spx > ndx.
The NDX is approaching the neckline breakout, and the moving averages have been neatly arranged (10 > 20 > 30 > 50). It is not very clear on the chart, but you can see the values of the moving averages in the upper left corner; SPX made higher highs on Thursday in recent days, and the moving averages have been clearly arranged; RUT's moving averages are not in place temporarily, but we can already see higher lows + higher highs.
Weekly charts:
NDX and SPX are still staying in the neutral zone of the channel, while RUT is still consolidating its gains after the first phase breakthrough.
Breadth records:
A week of all green.
Weekly notes:
Market Sentiment:
AAII Wednesday data quickly turned bullish, but there is no sign of a counter-sentiment market behavior this week, which may mean that the power of emotional capital has significantly increased compared to previous weeks.
The fear index has returned to greed, and it is worth mentioning that the breadth figure (new highs - new lows) has reached a new high of 2024.
Current positions:
Among them: upst...
Translated
+19
22
MattSully
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Last week's review 👉🏻Market review + position analysis (03/09-06/09 2024)
Market behavior this week:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ Wednesday absorption of funds;
$Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ Accumulate funds on Mondays, Wednesdays, and Fridays.
rut -> spx -> ndx
Ndx and SPX have both reached key resistance levels, which are very obvious resistance levels. There is a high probability that market participants will engage in short selling operations at this position before and after the FOMC meeting, and corresponding short covering operations will also occur. I will wait patiently for the result of the capital competition. This week, Rut has had three days of fund accumulation, which left a deep impression on me. The names appearing in my strong stock search engine are gradually increasing, and they will guide me on what to do.
Weekly Charts:
All three indexes have significantly increased trading volume and closed above the 10-week moving average. This is the price reaction on the weekly chart that William O'Neil likes very much.
Personal breadth records and weekly notes:
Breadth turned green on Thursday this week, and turned green again to 3000 level on Friday.
Weekly notes have become one of the core tasks in trading, and can be referred back to at any time to connect the market/stock activities clearly.
Market Sentiment:
On Wednesday, the AAII bear ratio rose significantly while the bull ratio dropped significantly, which contributed to the market's counter-sentiment behavior...
Market behavior this week:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ Wednesday absorption of funds;
$Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ Accumulate funds on Mondays, Wednesdays, and Fridays.
rut -> spx -> ndx
Ndx and SPX have both reached key resistance levels, which are very obvious resistance levels. There is a high probability that market participants will engage in short selling operations at this position before and after the FOMC meeting, and corresponding short covering operations will also occur. I will wait patiently for the result of the capital competition. This week, Rut has had three days of fund accumulation, which left a deep impression on me. The names appearing in my strong stock search engine are gradually increasing, and they will guide me on what to do.
Weekly Charts:
All three indexes have significantly increased trading volume and closed above the 10-week moving average. This is the price reaction on the weekly chart that William O'Neil likes very much.
Personal breadth records and weekly notes:
Breadth turned green on Thursday this week, and turned green again to 3000 level on Friday.
Weekly notes have become one of the core tasks in trading, and can be referred back to at any time to connect the market/stock activities clearly.
Market Sentiment:
On Wednesday, the AAII bear ratio rose significantly while the bull ratio dropped significantly, which contributed to the market's counter-sentiment behavior...
Translated
+21
16
MattSully
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Reduce/clear positions:
$Nova (NVMI.US)$ (-0.34%) Stopped out on Tuesday, account loss of 0.34%.
$Samsara (IOT.US)$ (-0.02%) Tuesday's closing price was below 20MA, followed the procedure to exit, account loss of 0.02%.
$CyberArk (CYBR.US)$ (-0.34%) Stop loss on Wednesday, account loss of 0.34%.
$Royal Caribbean (RCL.US)$ (-0.18%) Wednesday's closing price was below 20MA, followed the procedure to exit, account loss of 0.18%.
$Palantir (PLTR.US)$ (+3.7%) The closing price on Wednesday was lower than the 20MA. According to the process, sell the last 3/5 positions and make a profit of 3.2% in the account.
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ (+1.2%) On Tuesday and Thursday, 1/3 of the positions were added respectively at the breakout level. The closing price on Friday was lower than the 20MA. According to the process, exit and sell all positions, making a profit of 1.2% in the account.
$Janux Therapeutics (JANX.US)$ (-0.25%) The closing price on Friday was lower than the 20MA. According to the process, exit and make a loss of 0.25% in the account.
$Rocket (RKT.US)$ (-2.2%) Friday's closing price was below 20MA, and followed the procedure to exit...
$Nova (NVMI.US)$ (-0.34%) Stopped out on Tuesday, account loss of 0.34%.
$Samsara (IOT.US)$ (-0.02%) Tuesday's closing price was below 20MA, followed the procedure to exit, account loss of 0.02%.
$CyberArk (CYBR.US)$ (-0.34%) Stop loss on Wednesday, account loss of 0.34%.
$Royal Caribbean (RCL.US)$ (-0.18%) Wednesday's closing price was below 20MA, followed the procedure to exit, account loss of 0.18%.
$Palantir (PLTR.US)$ (+3.7%) The closing price on Wednesday was lower than the 20MA. According to the process, sell the last 3/5 positions and make a profit of 3.2% in the account.
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ (+1.2%) On Tuesday and Thursday, 1/3 of the positions were added respectively at the breakout level. The closing price on Friday was lower than the 20MA. According to the process, exit and sell all positions, making a profit of 1.2% in the account.
$Janux Therapeutics (JANX.US)$ (-0.25%) The closing price on Friday was lower than the 20MA. According to the process, exit and make a loss of 0.25% in the account.
$Rocket (RKT.US)$ (-2.2%) Friday's closing price was below 20MA, and followed the procedure to exit...
Translated
+9
27
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