Michael McCarthy CEO
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Moomoo Australia – election 2025
By @Michael McCarthy CEO, @Jessica Amir
Voters and investors who are expecting the 'same old, same old' in the upcoming federal election could be in for a shock. This is likely to be a very different vote. Unlike many recent elections, this one has potential for impact on financial markets. So, over the next few weeks, be alert to potential reaction in stocks and the overall sharemarket.
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By @Michael McCarthy CEO, @Jessica Amir
Voters and investors who are expecting the 'same old, same old' in the upcoming federal election could be in for a shock. This is likely to be a very different vote. Unlike many recent elections, this one has potential for impact on financial markets. So, over the next few weeks, be alert to potential reaction in stocks and the overall sharemarket.
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Michael McCarthy CEO
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The opinion polls and the betting markets are both showing gains for Labor since we last checked them on 11 March Expect a sharemarket impact this federal election, unlike an... - moomoo Community
Then, the polls saw the Coalition a whisker ahead at 51-49 on a two-party preferred basis - too close to call. Incredibly, the average of all the polls now suggests the race has tightened further to 50-50. While the average across Australia is balanced, individual states ...
Then, the polls saw the Coalition a whisker ahead at 51-49 on a two-party preferred basis - too close to call. Incredibly, the average of all the polls now suggests the race has tightened further to 50-50. While the average across Australia is balanced, individual states ...
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Michael McCarthy CEO
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Australia's Federal Budget for the 2025-26 fiscal year will be officially announced by Treasurer Jim Chalmers at 7:30 PM (AEDT) on March 25, 2025. This budget is highly anticipated, not only because it is being released at a pivotal moment before the federal election, but also due to its potential to have far-reaching effects on the economy and markets. So, what are the key issues that will be in focus in the upcoming budget?
Key Issues
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Key Issues
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Michael McCarthy CEO
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Born in 1963, technically I am a Baby Boomer. But becoming an adult in the greedy 80s knocked any post-war optimism on its head. I’ve always identified with Generation X.
While there’s much diversity in Gen X, and many issues facing them in their middle age, they share a central concern with Baby Boomers: having sufficient savings for nearing retirement.
The cost of living increase is not just hitting youth, those older ar...
While there’s much diversity in Gen X, and many issues facing them in their middle age, they share a central concern with Baby Boomers: having sufficient savings for nearing retirement.
The cost of living increase is not just hitting youth, those older ar...
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Michael McCarthy CEO
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The recent pressure on share markets has many investors wondering about the economic outlook. Concerns about the impact of tariffs on global trade are driving selling in some of the most popular and widely held stocks, and technology stock prices have tumbled in many cases. However one of the most globally significant commodity markets is painting a much more positive picture.
It's important to acknowledge that the stock market is not the economy, and the economy is not the s...
It's important to acknowledge that the stock market is not the economy, and the economy is not the s...
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Buying dips has delivered big profits to investors and traders over the last two years. The strategy is straightforward and easy to understand. And when stocks and indices are hitting repeated all-time highs, it almost doesn’t matter what price an investor pays, their position is in profit. It’s no wonder so many people are looking to buy the current dip, right?
The trouble with a simple strategy like dip-buying is that it works until it doesn’t. Those w...
The trouble with a simple strategy like dip-buying is that it works until it doesn’t. Those w...
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Tesla is a stock that trades on sentiment and the flow of money. Valuing $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ on its earnings for example, is a futile exercise. Even after almost halving in value, it’s still trading on around 130 times last year’s earnings. Fundamental valuation of Tesla has delivered little or no insight into the share price action.
Yet the huge swings in TSLA’s stock offers high potential daily rewards, albeit at higher risk. The Average True Range reading at the...
Yet the huge swings in TSLA’s stock offers high potential daily rewards, albeit at higher risk. The Average True Range reading at the...
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Despite pressure on commodity prices, $BHP Group Ltd (BHP.AU)$ shares have held up reasonably well. Trading at around 11% below their 2024 peak, they compare well to other Australia 200 index heavyweights such as $National Australia Bank Ltd (NAB.AU)$ (-18%) and $CSL Ltd (CSL.AU)$ (-17%). However, one bad day last week suggests that may be about to change.
The daily chart tells the story:
BHP AU - Daily
The trading day marked by the purple rectangle is last Thursday 6 March. BHP tra...
The daily chart tells the story:
BHP AU - Daily
The trading day marked by the purple rectangle is last Thursday 6 March. BHP tra...
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There's no sugar-coating this. This morning's $S&P/ASX 200 (.XJO.AU)$ break down through the support at 8060 is an unambiguous negative, at least from a technical point of view. A close below the support level today would confirm a bearish outlook, and possibly a continuing downtrend.
For a discussion of potential downside levels, and an explanation of the targets identified by the Fibonacci retracement tool (the light-blue lines on the chart) please see XJO – how low can it go? - moomoo Community
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For a discussion of potential downside levels, and an explanation of the targets identified by the Fibonacci retracement tool (the light-blue lines on the chart) please see XJO – how low can it go? - moomoo Community
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The Volatility Index or $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$ is often called the ‘fear and greed’ index, rising with concerns for the share market outlook, and dropping away as confidence rises. It’s well-known as a useful barometer of investor and trader sentiment. What’s less well known is that some investors use it as a signal generator, particularly when it comes to ‘buying the dip’.
The VIX is a measure of implied volatility, discovered by reverse...
The VIX is a measure of implied volatility, discovered by reverse...
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Michael McCarthy CEO TWIMO (151403908) : It's a tough one - in some elections, it appears more voters put the national interest first - in other elections, it's how policies affect the individual that decides. Which do you think it will be in 2025?
Michael McCarthy CEO MooMamaLlama : Many suggest Clive Palmer got the least value from the 2022 election, spending over $200 million to elect a single senator. Do you think his Trumpet of Patriots party will be more successful this time?
Michael McCarthy CEO TWIMO (151403908) : Tend to agree - more unifying statements and actions, and less fear and anger, would contribute to a better Australia all around
Michael McCarthy CEO MooMamaLlama : Yes - a spending cap coming at the next election - could see Plamer go even harder at this election. We might see some mean reversion at this election - Palmer doing better, Greens and Teals less well. Labor winning back some QLD seats, Coalition winning some Victorian and WA seats
Michael McCarthy CEO 老袋鼠 : Agreed - the lack of policy from all parties aimed at improving our weak productivity growth is both disappointing and short sighted