Amazon Q2 2024 earnings conference call is scheduled for August 1 at 5:30 PM EDT /August 2 at 5:30 AM SGT /August 2 at 7:30 AM AEST. Subscribe to join the live earnings conference with management NOW!
Beat or Miss?
What do you expect from Amazon's Q2 earnings? Will the company beat or miss the estimates? Make sure to click the "Book" button to get what management has to say!
Disclaimer:
This presentation is for information and educational use only and is ...

Apple Q3 2024 earnings conference call is scheduled for August 1 at 5:00 PM EDT /August 2 at 5:00 AM SGT /August 2 at 7:00 AM AEST. Subscribe to join the live earnings conference with management NOW!
Beat or Miss?
What do you expect from Apple's Q3 earnings? Will the company beat or miss the estimates? Make sure to click the "Book" button to get what management has to say!
Disclaimer:
This presentation is for information and educational use only and is not...

[Present]
To the 3 users whose predictions for the closing price of the S&P 500 index at the end of 2023 were close to the actual closing price,1000 yen Amazon gift cardI will give it as a present.
[How to participate]
Japan timeUntil 23:59 p.m. on 12/29On, 12/30'sPredict the closing price of the S&P 500, please post! (Example: the closing price is expected to be $5,000).
To all Moo users
While the US stock market in 2023 is facing complex changes such as the global economy and monetary policy,Effects of the generative AI boomIt was a year that greatly boosted the average stock price. On the delicate balance of inflation, interest rates, and economic growth, a strong upward trend was formed in the US stock market. While experiencing periods of optimism and pessimism throughout the year, going forwardFederal Reserve System (Fed)Attention is drawn to its actions and its impact on the economy as a whole.
Before the beginning of 2024, let's take a break and forecast the closing price of the S&P 500 in 2023. The new year is just around the corner. Everyone'sHopes and aspirations, and the year so farReflections I have looked back on, expectations for myself in the future, etc.Let's also share it with each other....

Initial Jobless Claims Near Record Lows, Continuing Claims At 2-Year-Highs
Prior week 202K (were estimating 220K)
Initial jobless claims 205K vs 215K estimate
4-week MA jobless claims
Continuing Claims 1.865M vs 1.888M estimate. Prior week 1.876M
4-week MA continuing claims
US Q3 2023 GDP (third reading) +4.9% vs +5.2% expected
The second reading was +5.2.%
GDP revised lower.
The Q2 final reading was +2.1%
Details:
Consumer spending +3.1% vs +3.6% prelim
Consumer spending on dur...

Bank of America predicts an S&P 500 peak at 5,000 in 2024, citing reduced macro uncertainty.
BofA’s Bull Case for S&P 500
Recent Strong Performance:The S&P 500 has recently shown robust performance, surging to its highest level in over three months, indicating market vitality.
Optimistic Forecast:Savita Subramanian from Bank of America anticipates an all-time high for the broader stock market index, projecting the S&P 500 to reach 5,000 in 2024...

Safe Haven Rally
After the sharp rally in gold futures that followed the onset of the Middle Eastern conflict, gold seems to be losing some of its safe haven appeal.
If the war stays isolated, then we might not see the safe haven investors piling in like we saw at the beginning of October.
In the chart below, you can see the safe haven rally that followed the start of the conflict and the subsequent selling. I highlighted a few local areas o...

I wrote in my previous postNumber of continuing applications for unemployment insuranceI told you that there is room for increase, but compared to 2007, the number of applications for unemployment insurance compared to the unemployment ratescantI notice it. It doesn't matter if the population is growing. The reasonSoaring pricesThat's it. If you apply for unemployment insurance and earn what you don't have enough as a side jobThe amount of unemployment insurance I received was reducedI'll put it away. Low-income people with fewer savings accounts earn as much as they can earn from side jobs or part-time jobs and not enoughcard loansI will rely on it. Prices are too high to live with unemployment insurance, so the current situation is that they only apply and register as an unemployed person, do not receive unemployment benefits, and earn as much as they can earn as a side job or part-time. Even if you apply for unemployment insurance, the unemployment benefits you can receive as a result will be quite small because you are forced to earn money from side jobs or part-time jobs.I have been working without applying for unemployment insurance since the beginningThat's it. Higher earners have more room in their savings accounts, so be sure to apply for unemployment insurance. This is the reason for the discrepancy that the number of unemployment insurance claims is low even though the unemployment rate is rising. Even if the unemployment rate rises,CPI is not close to 2%This is also possible in the future. It suggests the possibility that the high interest rate phase will continue longer than expected. Even if I lose my job, I can earn money somehow...