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Murphy哥哥 Male ID: 70616757
应运而生,随心而作!
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    $Pfizer (PFE.US)$ Following the prediction and strategy on February 2, in the subsequent market progress, the price did not hit the level of 26.2+, but started to rebound at 26.52! However, this one percent error is clearly not luck, but a mistake! Looking back at the 30-minute chart on 12/15/2023, 26.58 was the upper limit of the central range on the 30-minute chart from 12/13 to 12/15, while Murphy actually took 26.23 in actual trading, which is the axis of that range! The trend must be perfect! It is inevitable that there will be the first rebound on the 30-minute level beyond the current upper limit of the range, and then determine in the subsequent trend whether it will extend upwards or consolidate downwards! The upper limit of the consolidating range downwards then serves as a secondary replenishment point, while the axis at 26.23 is the optimal intraday trading point and even a position for adding to positions in swing trading; this depends on individual style and strategy to choose between day trading or swing trading! Missing 26.52 is, of course, not waiting around, but acting with the trend. The level of 27.50 is the axis of the daily chart, and 28.02 is the highest point of the rebound from 26.52, thus establishing the selling range of 27.50 to 28.02! Within this range, Murphy first executed a trade at 27.53, of course, this position was not very precise, overslept and luckily was awakened by a call from a buddy to place a trade with groggy eyes, because without monitoring, couldn't hit the intraday high point, so immediately placed an order at 27.20 for replenishment hoping to make back the difference of not selling near the high point with a low point replenishment trade within the day, but on February 6th, even that day...
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    Murphy's analysis
    Murphy's analysis
    $Pfizer (PFE.US)$ According to the trading notes of December 27, 2023, pfizer's trend and operation have basically been achieved! The last transaction to fill in the point in the article is at 26.7, with a price point of 26.2 after ex-dividend! Wait for a larger position to be filled at this point, because there is a price difference of approximately 0.6 to 0.8 dollars in the 30-minute rebound! If the second fall at 26.2 point does not break or even directly starts the reversal, there will be no new low of 25.38 (the prices mentioned are all post-ex-dividend prices in 2023), then the predicted new low before December 27, 2023 in the article will be excluded! Corresponding trading strategy should also be adjusted! Hold on to the bottom position, focus on buying in for profit taking during the rise segment retracement! This upward trend is expected to have a level-adjustment around 37 to 39! The adjustment range is between 33 and 34! So here, you can have a 30% position for swing trading, but the operation needs to be done in finer details within the sub-level segments! After completing the range oscillation, it will continue to trend upwards, reaching 45 to 48, then enter the adjustment range of 40 to 42, and then surge to 54 to 58 to end this round of upward trend! Then start the weekly and monthly level adjustment! At this point, the strategy will shift to intermediate adjustment for profit from rebound and price difference trading operation strategy!
    The above is only personal trading notes and forward predictions! It does not constitute investment advice or opinions! Buying and selling are at your own risk!
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    Murphy's plate analysis
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    As the title suggests, during expectations and the process of raising interest rates, the US stocks may not necessarily decline. The drop is only seen in industries highly sensitive to interest rates. Even the decline in stocks of these industries is limited to a rapid bottoming out at the end of the rate hike cycle. Expectations of rate cuts lead to quick recovery and even new highs in the easing phase!
    This is how short to medium-term trading operates based on human nature. As we enter a rate-cutting cycle, it does not bring about discomfort in the stock market, but rather a quick adjustment in the short term. This continues until the end of the rate-cutting cycle! From a trading perspective, this is the exploitation of human nature and the necessity for low-cost capital entry! So, what comes together is institutions singing praises while actually bringing about market declines. The weakening of the US dollar does not result in the strengthening of gold, but a trend of similar movements as seen during the rate hike cycle – weakening together!
    With the global restructuring of the industry chain and capital restructuring after the US dollar's rate hike cycle, the trend indicates a continued improvement in the US economy and further enhancement in corporate profits! This is the correction and historical revision, not a mere repetition or continuation! This neatly explains how long-term trends depend on economic expectations!
    All of this is achieved through the institutions' grand layouts! To profit, one must understand how they stage-wise utilize policy tools to hedge behaviors!
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    $Pfizer (PFE.US)$ Weekly divergence construction shows a prototype, but the deceptive lines that keep diverging cannot be ruled out. After all, at least a daily trend reversal needs to be established! Recursively analyzing the daily structure, in order to build the weekly divergence, it is necessary to first establish a trend of rising to 31 and then retracing to 28.9 at the daily level. However, it is obvious that the buying and selling momentum between 28.3 and 28.9 at the 30-minute level is weakening! Therefore, the probability of directly attacking near 31 at the daily level to retest 28.9 is not high. Instead, it is necessary to retrace directly from the current range of 28.3 to 28.9 to 27.3 to 26.7 to construct a perfect trend before choosing an upward, downward, or sideways trend! If choosing a downward trend, then sell part of the range from 28.3 to 28.6, and place an order to buy back at 27.3 to 26.7; this expected trading strategy remains unchanged! If the decline is not over, it will continue to retest from the weak rebound at 25.7 mentioned earlier to 27.15, and then continue to drop to establish the lower limit at 24.9; and if the 30-minute level once again volume surges to create a daily trend from 31 to 28.9, then a solid move at 31 should be followed by another move, and a retest of 28.9 will have a higher probability of occurring! This may be the construction of a new trend center, with weekly bottom divergence and the emergence of large bullish candles with high volume! Therefore, in terms of trading strategy, it is important to repurchase the chips flying from 28.3 to 28.6 within the new central range! The above is just a personal trading note and does not constitute investment advice or opinions! Trading is at your own discretion! Profit and loss are your own responsibility!
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    $Pfizer (PFE.US)$ Market prediction: Currently, it is forming the fourth downtrend center. 25.76 is the upper limit of the center range, while around 24.9 is the lower limit. The trend of building a new center this wave touches 25.76 and rebounds to around 28.3, basically reaching the target. Next, there will be another slight retracement to around 25.76 followed by a weak rebound to around 27.15, then it will continue to break below 25.76, forming the lower limit near 24.9 and initiating a rapid rebound! Afterwards, it will oscillate around the center! This position requires extreme caution, with a long bearish candlestick on the weekly K-line releasing a huge volume, while the weekly MACD histogram shows divergence, and the two lines are severely oversold! Therefore, this might be the construction of the final downtrend center! If judged correctly, the next thing to expect is a significant rebound or even a reversal of the market on the weekly chart! On the daily chart, the extension and expansion trend of the final center can be observed! The magnitude of the rebound should be around 12 dollars! Meanwhile, it is also time to enter the intraday gold period.
    The above article is only for personal investment notes, kept for self-assessment testing purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice or opinions! Trading is at your own discretion, profits and losses are your responsibility!
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