nemesisity : pump and dump

nemesisity : BTC dropped below its 12 month moving average last week.  Every time this has happened after it just hit a new high, the crypto markets collapsed and BTC lost about half of its value over the next 6 to 12 months.
That should warrant a cautious approach.
Still it is only 5 months since it's halving and it usually rallied for almost a year after a halving event.
it should become clearer in a couple of weeks with professor interest rate curs.
Caution is the key word.