sirius2xanadu
commented on
In the previous PART2, it was stated that ETFs have a mix of 'performing stocks' and 'underperforming stocks', and the same goes for individual stock investments; if too diversified, ultimately the returns will decrease.
This is because not all quality stocks yield the same return.
One should not hold too many varieties of stocks.
When investing, there are times when one wants to buy various things.
This is what is commonly referred to as 'positioning disease'. (There is also personal experience.)
However, if one diversifies too much, the positions in high-performing stocks become small.
As a result, the possibility of making extraordinary profits from stocks that rise significantly is crushed.
Too much diversification is not good.
If overly diversified with the intention of defense, extraordinary profits cannot be achieved.
It has always been the case that I want to solidify my portfolio with only 'strong players', and this is the reason.
Buy the best stocks at the optimal timing.
Protecting oneself is strengthened by controlling the Limit Order.
This ultimately leads to good results.
Having too few individual stocks is not acceptable.
Because, no matter how good the performance is...
This is because not all quality stocks yield the same return.
One should not hold too many varieties of stocks.
When investing, there are times when one wants to buy various things.
This is what is commonly referred to as 'positioning disease'. (There is also personal experience.)
However, if one diversifies too much, the positions in high-performing stocks become small.
As a result, the possibility of making extraordinary profits from stocks that rise significantly is crushed.
Too much diversification is not good.
If overly diversified with the intention of defense, extraordinary profits cannot be achieved.
It has always been the case that I want to solidify my portfolio with only 'strong players', and this is the reason.
Buy the best stocks at the optimal timing.
Protecting oneself is strengthened by controlling the Limit Order.
This ultimately leads to good results.
Having too few individual stocks is not acceptable.
Because, no matter how good the performance is...
Translated
30
31
4
sirius2xanadu
commented on
It's not written to scare anyone.
It's about the fact that anyone can make mistakes.
Of course, including myself, it shouldn't be that anyone likes to make mistakes.
I have also experienced losses from "misjudgment" and "bad news" that appeared at unexpected times many times.
The reason I have never started a year in the negative is simply because the foundation is solid, and I am prepared to follow up on losses (either through wisdom or experience).
Even when buying what I thought were quality stocks, there are countless examples of having to cut losses when their prices fell.
One example since the beginning of this year is, of course, JVA.
$Coffee Holding (JVA.US)$
In a market where many people sell when prices are high.
Moreover, there is the Shell PLC ADR shelf offering.
By registering new shares without selling all the shares, of course, the number of shares in the market increases, and their value decreases.
No one could have predicted this.
If there were someone who managed to escape successfully, it would make one suspicious of those who knew about this 'plan'.
It's pointless to say it now, but in the future, it is certain that such 'unexpected' situations will arise...
It's about the fact that anyone can make mistakes.
Of course, including myself, it shouldn't be that anyone likes to make mistakes.
I have also experienced losses from "misjudgment" and "bad news" that appeared at unexpected times many times.
The reason I have never started a year in the negative is simply because the foundation is solid, and I am prepared to follow up on losses (either through wisdom or experience).
Even when buying what I thought were quality stocks, there are countless examples of having to cut losses when their prices fell.
One example since the beginning of this year is, of course, JVA.
$Coffee Holding (JVA.US)$
In a market where many people sell when prices are high.
Moreover, there is the Shell PLC ADR shelf offering.
By registering new shares without selling all the shares, of course, the number of shares in the market increases, and their value decreases.
No one could have predicted this.
If there were someone who managed to escape successfully, it would make one suspicious of those who knew about this 'plan'.
It's pointless to say it now, but in the future, it is certain that such 'unexpected' situations will arise...
Translated
42
22
2
sirius2xanadu
commented on
There was a feeling that recovery was possible, yet many stocks fell, making it a weekend like that.
Indeed, a 'stagnant market' of ups and downs.
It is a market that cannot shake off the negative perspective.
Due to the fact that there are still too many sellers, stock prices are difficult to rise and remain stagnant.
Therefore, there are also few buyers.
For the time being, it is unlikely that the stock market will rise sharply; it may remain stagnant or even decline.
It is said that buying would likely lead to a decline, so it is scary to buy.
It seems like one can hear the voices of such people in the market.
During such times, it is also acceptable to just watch without doing anything.
Keep cash as it is and assess the situation.
Furthermore, when the entire market is declining, even good dividend Stocks drop and become undervalued,
It might be a good idea to buy those Dividends Stocks.
You can efficiently increase the Dividends received.
Considering what opportunities can arise from this situation, and what kinds of opportunities to wait for, should lead to good results later.
Right now, it seems to me that the map has changed again.
Currently, well-known stocks are not appearing in my screening.
So, now, the list I am monitoring is just...
Indeed, a 'stagnant market' of ups and downs.
It is a market that cannot shake off the negative perspective.
Due to the fact that there are still too many sellers, stock prices are difficult to rise and remain stagnant.
Therefore, there are also few buyers.
For the time being, it is unlikely that the stock market will rise sharply; it may remain stagnant or even decline.
It is said that buying would likely lead to a decline, so it is scary to buy.
It seems like one can hear the voices of such people in the market.
During such times, it is also acceptable to just watch without doing anything.
Keep cash as it is and assess the situation.
Furthermore, when the entire market is declining, even good dividend Stocks drop and become undervalued,
It might be a good idea to buy those Dividends Stocks.
You can efficiently increase the Dividends received.
Considering what opportunities can arise from this situation, and what kinds of opportunities to wait for, should lead to good results later.
Right now, it seems to me that the map has changed again.
Currently, well-known stocks are not appearing in my screening.
So, now, the list I am monitoring is just...
Translated
10
1
sirius2xanadu
commented on
In my portfolio, unrealized gains are slowly recovering, but the market is still unstable.
Even with famous stocks, there are quite a few that have dropped significantly.
Recently, there has been a pattern where 'Sell' occurs the day after reaching a new high, leading to a decline.
The market is quite subtle.
It seems that there are no buyers who are buying because it has reached the recent highest price or because it has hit a new highest price.
Instead, many people are selling at the point when it has reached the highest price or when it has updated the highest price.
Those who have been holding losses until now are selling in order to cover them.
Alternatively, this movement indicates that there are still many people aiming for 'Selling on the Rally' with other stocks as well.
If that's the case, similarly, one can only do the same when an opportunity arises.
In order to recover the stocks that were cut (or sold at a loss), I found rising stocks in this unstable market.
$Root Inc (ROOT.US)$
ROOT is undoubtedly one of the 'Exciting Stocks.'
A mobile Technology company for auto Insurance.
Looking at the monthly Candlestick chart, the high was $530.64 on October 31, 2020.
Yet, two years later, the major...
Even with famous stocks, there are quite a few that have dropped significantly.
Recently, there has been a pattern where 'Sell' occurs the day after reaching a new high, leading to a decline.
The market is quite subtle.
It seems that there are no buyers who are buying because it has reached the recent highest price or because it has hit a new highest price.
Instead, many people are selling at the point when it has reached the highest price or when it has updated the highest price.
Those who have been holding losses until now are selling in order to cover them.
Alternatively, this movement indicates that there are still many people aiming for 'Selling on the Rally' with other stocks as well.
If that's the case, similarly, one can only do the same when an opportunity arises.
In order to recover the stocks that were cut (or sold at a loss), I found rising stocks in this unstable market.
$Root Inc (ROOT.US)$
ROOT is undoubtedly one of the 'Exciting Stocks.'
A mobile Technology company for auto Insurance.
Looking at the monthly Candlestick chart, the high was $530.64 on October 31, 2020.
Yet, two years later, the major...
Translated
20
2
sirius2xanadu
commented on
As March nears the end of the early part of the month, despite the return to daylight saving time, the first day of the week (the 10th) was,
ironically, the day that saw the broadest and deepest decline since the beginning of the year.
Around me, there are talks of a bear market since 2022, and some say it resembles that time, but personally, I feel it's a bit different.
The term "similar market" is often heard, but there is not a single market that is exactly the same.
However, this declining market is, I think, quite a tough trial for those who started stock investing with the new NISA this year.
The motivation for starting stock investing usually comes from phrases like, "Stocks are profitable" or "Investing in stocks will relieve worries about retirement."
Many people probably began in a way that holds, in a sense, "words of hope."
While that is not incorrect, for those who started believing in those words, experiencing such a drop in the first year would surely be quite a shock.
One cannot help but think about what it would have been like if the first year had been a 'bull market'...
However, honestly, it is unclear which experience is better to have first.
For example, Testa-san (famous, so everyone must know) says that the first three months were a disaster...
ironically, the day that saw the broadest and deepest decline since the beginning of the year.
Around me, there are talks of a bear market since 2022, and some say it resembles that time, but personally, I feel it's a bit different.
The term "similar market" is often heard, but there is not a single market that is exactly the same.
However, this declining market is, I think, quite a tough trial for those who started stock investing with the new NISA this year.
The motivation for starting stock investing usually comes from phrases like, "Stocks are profitable" or "Investing in stocks will relieve worries about retirement."
Many people probably began in a way that holds, in a sense, "words of hope."
While that is not incorrect, for those who started believing in those words, experiencing such a drop in the first year would surely be quite a shock.
One cannot help but think about what it would have been like if the first year had been a 'bull market'...
However, honestly, it is unclear which experience is better to have first.
For example, Testa-san (famous, so everyone must know) says that the first three months were a disaster...
Translated
83
8
9
The market is currently delicate.
Please take a look, thinking of it as practice.
Investing is at your own risk.
Be sure to investigate thoroughly.
This applies to daily, weekly, and hourly charts as well.
$X Financial (XYF.US)$
$Elbit Systems (ESLT.US)$
$Embraer (ERJ.US)$
$Banco Santander (SAN.US)$
$DRDGOLD (DRD.US)$
$ACM Research (ACMR.US)$
$Deutsche Bank (DB.US)$
$Root Inc (ROOT.US)$
$D-Wave Quantum (QBTS.US)$
The two below are the "exciting stocks."
Please take a look, thinking of it as practice.
Investing is at your own risk.
Be sure to investigate thoroughly.
This applies to daily, weekly, and hourly charts as well.
$X Financial (XYF.US)$
$Elbit Systems (ESLT.US)$
$Embraer (ERJ.US)$
$Banco Santander (SAN.US)$
$DRDGOLD (DRD.US)$
$ACM Research (ACMR.US)$
$Deutsche Bank (DB.US)$
$Root Inc (ROOT.US)$
$D-Wave Quantum (QBTS.US)$
The two below are the "exciting stocks."
Translated
10
sirius2xanadu
commented on
This time, the focus will be on capital management, including aspects such as position sizes.
Position size is also a very important factor.
How to determine the appropriate position for each trade?
It depends on how many stocks to include in the portfolio.
When a portfolio is composed of a few stocks, profits can rise in a short period.
However, that is only when the market conditions are favorable.
One thing that should never be done is to concentrate investments in a single stock.
This is because if there is a failure with that stock, it would be the end.
The phrase 'Do not put all your eggs in one basket' is a common saying, but there is something else important.
That is, 'Trading is not a one-time event.'
There will definitely be a 'crash' every few years.
If it is understood that stock investment is one of the BEST ways to increase money, everyone should continue doing it.
It will continue either until death or until becoming senile and not understanding anything.
In doing so, it is certain to encounter a 'market crash' at least once.
Moreover, it will happen multiple times.
If there was only one stock at that time... the risk of ruin is high.
...
Position size is also a very important factor.
How to determine the appropriate position for each trade?
It depends on how many stocks to include in the portfolio.
When a portfolio is composed of a few stocks, profits can rise in a short period.
However, that is only when the market conditions are favorable.
One thing that should never be done is to concentrate investments in a single stock.
This is because if there is a failure with that stock, it would be the end.
The phrase 'Do not put all your eggs in one basket' is a common saying, but there is something else important.
That is, 'Trading is not a one-time event.'
There will definitely be a 'crash' every few years.
If it is understood that stock investment is one of the BEST ways to increase money, everyone should continue doing it.
It will continue either until death or until becoming senile and not understanding anything.
In doing so, it is certain to encounter a 'market crash' at least once.
Moreover, it will happen multiple times.
If there was only one stock at that time... the risk of ruin is high.
...
Translated
37
6
4
sirius2xanadu
commented on
I received a question.
From that text, the person's current feelings were clearly conveyed, so I want to answer sincerely and earnestly.
I always intend to answer seriously and earnestly, but I think I have to respond more thoroughly to this question in the current situation (market).
From my perspective, it is undoubtedly a 'bear market' right now. It could even be called a 'crash market.'
Some people have mentioned, 'There are some sectors (stocks) that are not declining, so it's not a decline for the entire market,' but that reasoning is merely an impression based on a one-day Heat Map.
The daily fluctuations do not carry much significance.
Looking at it from a medium to long-term perspective, most stocks have been continuously declining.
This is undoubtedly a 'bear market'.
The market is completely different from last year.
In this market, most people have significant unrealized losses.
It is true that my unrealized gains have decreased considerably compared to last year's returns.
So, it is understood that there are people who are seriously worried and feeling pain right now.
At this time, 'Fund Management,' 'Cut Loss Line,' reverse...
From that text, the person's current feelings were clearly conveyed, so I want to answer sincerely and earnestly.
I always intend to answer seriously and earnestly, but I think I have to respond more thoroughly to this question in the current situation (market).
From my perspective, it is undoubtedly a 'bear market' right now. It could even be called a 'crash market.'
Some people have mentioned, 'There are some sectors (stocks) that are not declining, so it's not a decline for the entire market,' but that reasoning is merely an impression based on a one-day Heat Map.
The daily fluctuations do not carry much significance.
Looking at it from a medium to long-term perspective, most stocks have been continuously declining.
This is undoubtedly a 'bear market'.
The market is completely different from last year.
In this market, most people have significant unrealized losses.
It is true that my unrealized gains have decreased considerably compared to last year's returns.
So, it is understood that there are people who are seriously worried and feeling pain right now.
At this time, 'Fund Management,' 'Cut Loss Line,' reverse...
Translated
27
4
2
sirius2xanadu
commented on
Top traders (or investors) decide at the time they buy the Stocks how much they will sell for.
It may seem unbelievable, but this is true.
I first learned about this before I started investing in Stocks, when I was studying "Entrepreneurship" and "Marketing" while trying to start a business.
At that time, the first book I read was Robert Kiyosaki's 'Rich Dad Poor Dad.'
I don't remember which book in the series it was in, but what I greatly questioned was,
"People who are good at Stock investing, whether the stock price goes up or down, they remain unfazed. If it goes down, they are even happy about it."
"People who are good at Stock investing have already decided at the time of buying the Stocks how much to sell them for."
These are the two.
All of the books in the series should have been read, but those two reasons were not mentioned.
There was always a feeling of unease.
Knowing the answer came much later.
The investment advisory service 'Rich Man's Investment Techniques' started by billionaire Mark Ford, and I found it in the newsletters and the book by the legendary trader, Mark Minervini...
It may seem unbelievable, but this is true.
I first learned about this before I started investing in Stocks, when I was studying "Entrepreneurship" and "Marketing" while trying to start a business.
At that time, the first book I read was Robert Kiyosaki's 'Rich Dad Poor Dad.'
I don't remember which book in the series it was in, but what I greatly questioned was,
"People who are good at Stock investing, whether the stock price goes up or down, they remain unfazed. If it goes down, they are even happy about it."
"People who are good at Stock investing have already decided at the time of buying the Stocks how much to sell them for."
These are the two.
All of the books in the series should have been read, but those two reasons were not mentioned.
There was always a feeling of unease.
Knowing the answer came much later.
The investment advisory service 'Rich Man's Investment Techniques' started by billionaire Mark Ford, and I found it in the newsletters and the book by the legendary trader, Mark Minervini...
Translated
47
12
5
There were no plans to enter the market last night.
However, while performing daily screenings, something came to mind, and I thought I would try experimenting.
With some surplus funds, I plan to buy Natural Gas stocks that I intended to purchase in April, as well as stocks related to auto Insurance that are currently fluctuating within a range.
$Antero Midstream (AM.US)$
For me, it's a stock of Natural Gas that ideally should be purchased after entering April.
As a dividend stock, it also offers quite good Dividends.
The Dividends here are issued in a somewhat awkward amount, so I decided to increase my Buy when I purchase in multiples of 4.
(In other words, the minimum purchase quantity starts from 4 shares.)
$Root Inc (ROOT.US)$
It is currently a stock within the range.
It is an Insurance stock.
Think of it as being in the same category as Berkshire Hathaway-A.
This is a stock that does not pay Dividends.
The rating evaluation of the company is not necessarily high.
However, in this declining market, the price movement is not bad.
After placing a Limit Order and checking the closing price after the market closes, it can be seen that both are roughly at the lower end of the previous day's stock price.
In other words, when placing a Limit Order, it seems better to set it around that price...
However, while performing daily screenings, something came to mind, and I thought I would try experimenting.
With some surplus funds, I plan to buy Natural Gas stocks that I intended to purchase in April, as well as stocks related to auto Insurance that are currently fluctuating within a range.
$Antero Midstream (AM.US)$
For me, it's a stock of Natural Gas that ideally should be purchased after entering April.
As a dividend stock, it also offers quite good Dividends.
The Dividends here are issued in a somewhat awkward amount, so I decided to increase my Buy when I purchase in multiples of 4.
(In other words, the minimum purchase quantity starts from 4 shares.)
$Root Inc (ROOT.US)$
It is currently a stock within the range.
It is an Insurance stock.
Think of it as being in the same category as Berkshire Hathaway-A.
This is a stock that does not pay Dividends.
The rating evaluation of the company is not necessarily high.
However, in this declining market, the price movement is not bad.
After placing a Limit Order and checking the closing price after the market closes, it can be seen that both are roughly at the lower end of the previous day's stock price.
In other words, when placing a Limit Order, it seems better to set it around that price...
Translated
12
sirius2xanadu OP HONDA N-ONE : When funds are limited, investing in growth stocks without dividends is difficult.
If the stock price drops, it leads to immediate damage.
In the end, starting with a small amount and gradually learning, it's the only way to build up steadily with a humble Start.
sirius2xanadu OP 初心者の人 : It's understandable.
The difficulty is high right now.
When you don't know what to do, please stay hidden in the bushes with cash in hand.
And wait for the opportunity.
So that you can act when the time comes.
Last night, I followed the rules, compensated for the reduced unrealized gains and losses, and turned it into a profit.
Tonight, I will upload this story as a practical example of the article I have written.
Additionally, I will upload my current watchlist in a separate article.
However, it is not a recommendation.
Right now, it is important to look at each Candlestick and become accustomed to the movements.
Everyone misses their readings sometimes.
I do too.
It's not something to be ashamed of.
sirius2xanadu OP 初心者の人 : Yes. Please use this as reference, thinking of it as 'practice material'.
sirius2xanadu OP おねご : Of course, that's a valid option.
There should be an investment style that matches you.
Please try to update while sticking to that.
sirius2xanadu OP 今年の本命はゴリラ : Thank you for your kind words. I am truly honored.
This time, I think there were quite a few stocks that experienced slippage. I believe that the 'heart-pounding stocks' are not in a state for a short-term battle right now, making it tough.
Currently, please keep an eye on the overall market flow, maintain your cash, and wait for the right opportunity to come. There is no need to force any actions.
Sometimes, doing "nothing" can be the best choice.
I wish you successful results.
View more comments...