redskye
liked
Today's market is very delicate.
The price of crude oil, crude oil, suddenly fell below the 20-day EMA, which means that the upward trend may come to an end.
Previously, I also repeatedly reminded myself that when energy prices restart their downward trend, it's time to look for an opportunity to hit the bottom of technology stocks. We can't talk about going up or down yet; there's only a certain probability that it will peak. Continued observation is required.
Looking at big tech stocks, I suddenly discovered that the stock prices are all very subtle:
$Apple (AAPL.US)$ , $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ with $Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$ The prices were all accurately stopped at the upper edge of the previous exit. Just like an athlete standing neatly on the starting line, it seems as soon as a gun sounds, they have to start running. It's just that no one can predict which way to run.
$Amazon (AMZN.US)$ It stopped at the previous high before the earnings report. The gap was partially filled, and there was no closure.
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ Racing against the clock, they ran all the way from 300 to the southeast, and the meteor made their way to an important support level around 220. Hopefully, we can see a signal to stop the decline at that time.
Let's take a look at a few more rookies:
$Palantir (PLTR.US)$ , $Unity Software (U.US)$ , $Rivian Automotive (RIVN.US)$ They all felt about the same. I only held a small amount of these three stocks, but I also lost some. But I believe it can rise back...
The price of crude oil, crude oil, suddenly fell below the 20-day EMA, which means that the upward trend may come to an end.
Previously, I also repeatedly reminded myself that when energy prices restart their downward trend, it's time to look for an opportunity to hit the bottom of technology stocks. We can't talk about going up or down yet; there's only a certain probability that it will peak. Continued observation is required.
Looking at big tech stocks, I suddenly discovered that the stock prices are all very subtle:
$Apple (AAPL.US)$ , $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ with $Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$ The prices were all accurately stopped at the upper edge of the previous exit. Just like an athlete standing neatly on the starting line, it seems as soon as a gun sounds, they have to start running. It's just that no one can predict which way to run.
$Amazon (AMZN.US)$ It stopped at the previous high before the earnings report. The gap was partially filled, and there was no closure.
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ Racing against the clock, they ran all the way from 300 to the southeast, and the meteor made their way to an important support level around 220. Hopefully, we can see a signal to stop the decline at that time.
Let's take a look at a few more rookies:
$Palantir (PLTR.US)$ , $Unity Software (U.US)$ , $Rivian Automotive (RIVN.US)$ They all felt about the same. I only held a small amount of these three stocks, but I also lost some. But I believe it can rise back...
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redskye
liked
Although the current bear market is caused by inflation, it is different from the previous two crashes: 2000 was the technology bubble, and 2008 was the financial and real estate bubble. However, at present, due to excessive loose monetary policies by the US government and the Federal Reserve during the pandemic, severe bubbles have emerged in technology, finance, and real estate. If the worst-case scenario occurs: all bubbles must burst to control inflation, then this collapse is equivalent to the combination of 2000 and 2008.
Let's see how many years it took for various stocks to recover from the two crashes and reach new highs:
1. $Apple (AAPL.US)$ 4 years, 1 year. Among technology stocks, it is considered relatively fast, thanks to the iPhone.
2. $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ Since 9 years. Because there was no new high in 2007, it only counts as that one in 2000.
3. $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ In 14 years.
4. $Intel (INTC.US)$ In 18 years, it was so miserable, so it was called Adou.
At the beginning of this century, owning a computer and being able to access the internet was definitely the dream of countless people. However, if the bubble is inflated too much, it will only be more tragic after it bursts. Compared to Apple's launch of the 📱, after the bubble bursts, these two companies are basically still doing what they were doing before the bubble burst, making it difficult for the stock prices to return to their highs. It's really lamentable.
So, if the ai bubble gets too big, if $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Stock price rises above 400...
Let's see how many years it took for various stocks to recover from the two crashes and reach new highs:
1. $Apple (AAPL.US)$ 4 years, 1 year. Among technology stocks, it is considered relatively fast, thanks to the iPhone.
2. $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ Since 9 years. Because there was no new high in 2007, it only counts as that one in 2000.
3. $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ In 14 years.
4. $Intel (INTC.US)$ In 18 years, it was so miserable, so it was called Adou.
At the beginning of this century, owning a computer and being able to access the internet was definitely the dream of countless people. However, if the bubble is inflated too much, it will only be more tragic after it bursts. Compared to Apple's launch of the 📱, after the bubble bursts, these two companies are basically still doing what they were doing before the bubble burst, making it difficult for the stock prices to return to their highs. It's really lamentable.
So, if the ai bubble gets too big, if $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Stock price rises above 400...
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redskye
liked
[Alan talks about US stocks] #ba能买吗? #iq怎么评估? #f #tour #net #ai #jef #soun #lly #shop #ung #gdx #msft #coin #soxs Live Streaming Netizens' Individual Stock Answers $Boeing (BA.US)$ $iQIYI (IQ.US)$ $Ford Motor (F.US)$ $Tuniu (TOUR.US)$ $Cloudflare (NET.US)$ $C3.ai (AI.US)$ $Jefferies Financial (JEF.US)$ $SoundHound AI (SOUN.US)$ $Eli Lilly and Co (LLY.US)$ $Shopify (SHOP.US)$ $United States Natural Gas (UNG.US)$ $Goldex Resources Corp (GDX.CA)$ $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ $Coinbase (COIN.US)$ $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3x Shares ETF (SOXS.US)$
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redskye
liked
As I mentioned before, I put out part of my money at the end of last year to set up a fixed investment package. Actually, I made three combinations:
1. The recession-resistant sectors of S&P include healthcare, the public sector, necessities, and the future growth directions I'm optimistic about, such as biotech IBB, clean energy ICLN, semiconductor SOXX, and small-cap stocks that grew faster during the recovery (Russell 2000), plus the stock market's $Berkshire Hathaway-B (BRK.B.US)$ Wait, we've rounded up an evenly distributed combination. The goal is to have a PK with S&P. The reason I didn't choose qqq is because qqq is basically just those few weights, so it's not interesting. I don't like the price of semiconductors, but I can still invest a little bit.
$Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU.US)$ $The Health Care Select Sector SPDR® Fund (XLV.US)$ $Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP.US)$ $iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB.US)$ $iShares Global Clean Energy ETF (ICLN.US)$ $iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX.US)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM.US)$
...
1. The recession-resistant sectors of S&P include healthcare, the public sector, necessities, and the future growth directions I'm optimistic about, such as biotech IBB, clean energy ICLN, semiconductor SOXX, and small-cap stocks that grew faster during the recovery (Russell 2000), plus the stock market's $Berkshire Hathaway-B (BRK.B.US)$ Wait, we've rounded up an evenly distributed combination. The goal is to have a PK with S&P. The reason I didn't choose qqq is because qqq is basically just those few weights, so it's not interesting. I don't like the price of semiconductors, but I can still invest a little bit.
$Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU.US)$ $The Health Care Select Sector SPDR® Fund (XLV.US)$ $Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP.US)$ $iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB.US)$ $iShares Global Clean Energy ETF (ICLN.US)$ $iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX.US)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM.US)$
...
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redskye
reacted to
$Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$
If it rises, call it; if it falls, put it. If that's the case, even kindergarten kids can speculate in stocks.
Currently, I am still bullish on the market rebound, but this round of rebound is not over yet. Although there was a drop today, it is possible to challenge the high point again. I think QQQ can return to the 310-320 range, and I will reduce positions at that time.
I am not bullish on the Dow Jones, but I will selectively buy quality value stocks at opportune moments.
TLT has been experiencing a bit of a pullback recently, but I think it's unlikely to fall below the previous low (around 100). If it returns to 100 again, I will add to my positions. Since my previous positions were a bit heavy, I reduced some of them on rallies, made a small profit by buying low and selling high, but TLT remains my largest holding unchanged. $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$
If it rises, call it; if it falls, put it. If that's the case, even kindergarten kids can speculate in stocks.
Currently, I am still bullish on the market rebound, but this round of rebound is not over yet. Although there was a drop today, it is possible to challenge the high point again. I think QQQ can return to the 310-320 range, and I will reduce positions at that time.
I am not bullish on the Dow Jones, but I will selectively buy quality value stocks at opportune moments.
TLT has been experiencing a bit of a pullback recently, but I think it's unlikely to fall below the previous low (around 100). If it returns to 100 again, I will add to my positions. Since my previous positions were a bit heavy, I reduced some of them on rallies, made a small profit by buying low and selling high, but TLT remains my largest holding unchanged. $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$
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redskye
reacted to
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$
$Meta Platforms (META.US)$
$MicroSectors FANG+ Index 3X Leveraged ETN (FNGU.US)$
I just wrote a bunch of stuff ready to be published, but the results haven't been saved
Too lazy to rewrite it, in a nutshell, just six words:
Always be ready to run away!
Junk stocks are flying all over the sky. It's really hot to see. Too lazy to read it, ship it out.
$Meta Platforms (META.US)$
$MicroSectors FANG+ Index 3X Leveraged ETN (FNGU.US)$
I just wrote a bunch of stuff ready to be published, but the results haven't been saved
Too lazy to rewrite it, in a nutshell, just six words:
Always be ready to run away!
Junk stocks are flying all over the sky. It's really hot to see. Too lazy to read it, ship it out.
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