The following image is an example of a follow-up day after the bottom in late 1998 (with the follow-up day being the fifth day after the low), where the best follow-up days generally appear from the fourth to the seventh day after the lowest candle 🚴🏻.
Translated
3
Last week's review 👉🏻Market review + Hold Positions (03/03-07/03 2025)
This week's market behavior:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ Dividends are distributed on Mondays and Thursdays;
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ Distributing on Monday;
$Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ Distributing on Monday, accumulating on Friday.
xpx
ndx
rut.
So far, the market has temporarily found a short-term bottom, but it cannot be confirmed as a bottom with high probability until a recent (FTD) or structural bottom breakthrough occurs; however, in the short term, starting to move up from this bottom is highly likely, while sideways volatility is the second likely scenario, and directly moving down has the lowest probability; the feedback from the stock watchlist is somewhat different from the Index, with a few names starting to break out, some names nearly completing their setups, and other names quickly rising back into the consolidation zone after originally breaking it; these are the positive aspects observed.
Weekly Chart:
Both NDX and SPX have currently fallen out of the rising channel, while RUT has returned to near the breakout neckline of the early first phase bottom; additionally, the total trading volume over the past three weeks is evidently the highest level in the last three years from the chart.
Breadth:
Since self-recording, the five readings this week are currently ranked in the top five under red dates, and a potential breadth thrust is close to occurring.
Weekly Notes:
The RS rating of the Index ETF decreased significantly this week, which was expected; the RS ratings of the trading names within the system are still pretty good.
...
This week's market behavior:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ Dividends are distributed on Mondays and Thursdays;
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ Distributing on Monday;
$Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ Distributing on Monday, accumulating on Friday.
xpx
ndx
rut.
So far, the market has temporarily found a short-term bottom, but it cannot be confirmed as a bottom with high probability until a recent (FTD) or structural bottom breakthrough occurs; however, in the short term, starting to move up from this bottom is highly likely, while sideways volatility is the second likely scenario, and directly moving down has the lowest probability; the feedback from the stock watchlist is somewhat different from the Index, with a few names starting to break out, some names nearly completing their setups, and other names quickly rising back into the consolidation zone after originally breaking it; these are the positive aspects observed.
Weekly Chart:
Both NDX and SPX have currently fallen out of the rising channel, while RUT has returned to near the breakout neckline of the early first phase bottom; additionally, the total trading volume over the past three weeks is evidently the highest level in the last three years from the chart.
Breadth:
Since self-recording, the five readings this week are currently ranked in the top five under red dates, and a potential breadth thrust is close to occurring.
Weekly Notes:
The RS rating of the Index ETF decreased significantly this week, which was expected; the RS ratings of the trading names within the system are still pretty good.
...
Translated
+15
6
Add:
$GeneDx Holdings (WGS.US)$ (0.3%) High ATR Name (>10%), attempting to Buy after a 4-day shallow dip in the consolidation Range following a gap, with slight progress for now, Account risk 0.3%.
$MP Materials (MP.US)$ (0.3%) is the leader in the Metal (Rare Earth) mining and processing sector this year, with a persuasive action line since the beginning of the year, and it quickly tested the 50MA successfully during this period. The 3 consecutive days of trading volume contraction before Buy reflected the gradual depletion of supply. On Friday, Buy its breakout from a 4-5 week dense consolidation area, with slight progress for now, Account risk 0.3%.
$Inter & Co (INTR.US)$ The regional bank from Brazil, which is emerging from the bottom of its first consolidation Range (0.3%), has an ATR that is close to meeting requirements. Although there is still a cloud above (a resistance gap), the first arbitrage 🎯 target can already be met before the price reaches it. Therefore, an attempt to Buy the breakout was made on Thursday, with slight progress and an Account risk of 0.3%.
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ Previously mentioned in a Post, the situation with TSLA has been noted (−0.585%, 0.3%). On Tuesday, an attempt was made three times at structural breakout Buy with a 0.2% Account risk on the 5-minute chart, but all ended in being shaken out, resulting in an initial Account loss of 0.585%;
After a brief pause in trading, reflections on this Trade...
$GeneDx Holdings (WGS.US)$ (0.3%) High ATR Name (>10%), attempting to Buy after a 4-day shallow dip in the consolidation Range following a gap, with slight progress for now, Account risk 0.3%.
$MP Materials (MP.US)$ (0.3%) is the leader in the Metal (Rare Earth) mining and processing sector this year, with a persuasive action line since the beginning of the year, and it quickly tested the 50MA successfully during this period. The 3 consecutive days of trading volume contraction before Buy reflected the gradual depletion of supply. On Friday, Buy its breakout from a 4-5 week dense consolidation area, with slight progress for now, Account risk 0.3%.
$Inter & Co (INTR.US)$ The regional bank from Brazil, which is emerging from the bottom of its first consolidation Range (0.3%), has an ATR that is close to meeting requirements. Although there is still a cloud above (a resistance gap), the first arbitrage 🎯 target can already be met before the price reaches it. Therefore, an attempt to Buy the breakout was made on Thursday, with slight progress and an Account risk of 0.3%.
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ Previously mentioned in a Post, the situation with TSLA has been noted (−0.585%, 0.3%). On Tuesday, an attempt was made three times at structural breakout Buy with a 0.2% Account risk on the 5-minute chart, but all ended in being shaken out, resulting in an initial Account loss of 0.585%;
After a brief pause in trading, reflections on this Trade...
Translated
+4
7
The TSLA price has reached an important gap from October's Earnings Reports, which has not been fully filled yet (after hours/night trading has completely filled it), with enormous Volume;
This is a potential surrender day, or it's very close to a surrender day;
Thinking from the standpoint of Short Sell operations, this is also a point close to a home run for closing positions;
Considering all these factors, a rebound is likely in the short term, but the starting point for the next upward trend should still be far away.🚴🏻
This is a potential surrender day, or it's very close to a surrender day;
Thinking from the standpoint of Short Sell operations, this is also a point close to a home run for closing positions;
Considering all these factors, a rebound is likely in the short term, but the starting point for the next upward trend should still be far away.🚴🏻
Translated
7
Last week review 👉🏻Market Review + Hold Positions (24/02-28/02 2025)
Market behavior this week:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ Distributed on Tuesdays and Thursdays, accumulating on Fridays.
SPX > NDX > RUT.
Both NDX and SPX have simultaneously sunk to the breakout neckline for the fall of 2024, struggling multiple times along the way to push upwards. SPX has already broken through the recent nominal FTD defensive levels, while RUT is nearly dropping off the chart...
Maintain patience, anticipate various possibilities in advance, and wait for the needed signal, whether it's long or short.
Weekly Charts:
NDX has slightly fallen out of the upward channel, SPX barely remains within the upward channel, and RUT is completely below the 50-week line, currently briefly testing the breakout line of the previous two years' base; Volume has been huge for the past two weeks; this is a potential turning point in direction, or perhaps just a false alarm shakeout, who knows 🤷🏼, just wait for the signals needed to act, keep it simple.
Breadth:
The red values on Tuesday, Thursday, and Friday are the highest three records since tracking began.
Weekly Notes:
From the changes in RS, it can be seen that BTC's strength has started to outperform the market; there is only one LX left for trading in the system, which has hardly changed so far.
Market Sentiment:
AAII has almost no change...
Market behavior this week:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ Distributed on Tuesdays and Thursdays, accumulating on Fridays.
SPX > NDX > RUT.
Both NDX and SPX have simultaneously sunk to the breakout neckline for the fall of 2024, struggling multiple times along the way to push upwards. SPX has already broken through the recent nominal FTD defensive levels, while RUT is nearly dropping off the chart...
Maintain patience, anticipate various possibilities in advance, and wait for the needed signal, whether it's long or short.
Weekly Charts:
NDX has slightly fallen out of the upward channel, SPX barely remains within the upward channel, and RUT is completely below the 50-week line, currently briefly testing the breakout line of the previous two years' base; Volume has been huge for the past two weeks; this is a potential turning point in direction, or perhaps just a false alarm shakeout, who knows 🤷🏼, just wait for the signals needed to act, keep it simple.
Breadth:
The red values on Tuesday, Thursday, and Friday are the highest three records since tracking began.
Weekly Notes:
From the changes in RS, it can be seen that BTC's strength has started to outperform the market; there is only one LX left for trading in the system, which has hardly changed so far.
Market Sentiment:
AAII has almost no change...
Translated
+14
15
7 charts worth paying attention to later 👇
Translated
+4
6
Liquidation:
$United Natural Foods (UNFI.US)$ (+2.156%) On Monday, the hard stop loss was breached, sold the remaining 2/3 position, Account profit is 2.156%.
$MYT Netherlands (MYTE.US)$ (+0.98%) On Tuesday, the hard stop loss was breached, sold the remaining 2/3 position and exited in fluctuation, Account profit is 0.98%.
$XPeng (XPEV.US)$ On Thursday, after exceeding the stop loss, closed the short sell position, resulting in an account loss of 0.361%.
Reduction: $LexinFintech (LX.US)$ On Wednesday, leveraging the upward momentum, sold another 1/6 of the position at the 10 ATR profit level, currently holding onto 1/2 of the position for free riding.
This concludes all trades for this week;
"Do not hold too large a position, as fear will dominate your trading."
- Richard Bach's 'Unknown Market Wizards'
$United Natural Foods (UNFI.US)$ (+2.156%) On Monday, the hard stop loss was breached, sold the remaining 2/3 position, Account profit is 2.156%.
$MYT Netherlands (MYTE.US)$ (+0.98%) On Tuesday, the hard stop loss was breached, sold the remaining 2/3 position and exited in fluctuation, Account profit is 0.98%.
$XPeng (XPEV.US)$ On Thursday, after exceeding the stop loss, closed the short sell position, resulting in an account loss of 0.361%.
Reduction: $LexinFintech (LX.US)$ On Wednesday, leveraging the upward momentum, sold another 1/6 of the position at the 10 ATR profit level, currently holding onto 1/2 of the position for free riding.
This concludes all trades for this week;
"Do not hold too large a position, as fear will dominate your trading."
- Richard Bach's 'Unknown Market Wizards'
Translated
+2
1
Last week review 👉🏻Market Review + Hold Positions (18/02-21/02 2025)
Market behavior this week:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ Distributed on Monday, Tuesday, and Thursday; accumulating on Friday;
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ and $Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ Distributed on Tuesdays and Thursdays, accumulating on Fridays.
SPX > NDX > RUT.
After six consecutive days of rapid declines in the market, there was a temporary alleviation this past Friday. The NDX approached the gap from last November's election, while the SPX began to rebound after touching the defensive points from January and recent days, both indices saw huge trading volume on Friday. The RUT deviated significantly downwards from the 50MA, also witnessing huge trading volume on Friday. Considering the significant trading volume rebound on Friday, the likelihood of an upward trend lasting 2-6 days is high. An open attitude towards both directions will be maintained, and it is important to remain in a state of 'not knowing' to genuinely listen to the true voice of the market.
Weekly Charts:
NDX has reached the 30MA and the lower edge of the channel, SPX has reached the 30MA, and both are currently maintaining an upward trend; RUT has lagged a bit; the overall upward trend is still maintained.
Breadth:
Remain in red, slight upward reversal was shown on Thursday and Friday.
Weekly Record:
Only 4 names remain for trading in the system, RS is unchanged, and several leveraged ETFs have seen their RS greatly downgraded along with the market distribution; additionally, I accidentally noticed that NDX has been continuously marked...
Market behavior this week:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ Distributed on Monday, Tuesday, and Thursday; accumulating on Friday;
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ and $Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ Distributed on Tuesdays and Thursdays, accumulating on Fridays.
SPX > NDX > RUT.
After six consecutive days of rapid declines in the market, there was a temporary alleviation this past Friday. The NDX approached the gap from last November's election, while the SPX began to rebound after touching the defensive points from January and recent days, both indices saw huge trading volume on Friday. The RUT deviated significantly downwards from the 50MA, also witnessing huge trading volume on Friday. Considering the significant trading volume rebound on Friday, the likelihood of an upward trend lasting 2-6 days is high. An open attitude towards both directions will be maintained, and it is important to remain in a state of 'not knowing' to genuinely listen to the true voice of the market.
Weekly Charts:
NDX has reached the 30MA and the lower edge of the channel, SPX has reached the 30MA, and both are currently maintaining an upward trend; RUT has lagged a bit; the overall upward trend is still maintained.
Breadth:
Remain in red, slight upward reversal was shown on Thursday and Friday.
Weekly Record:
Only 4 names remain for trading in the system, RS is unchanged, and several leveraged ETFs have seen their RS greatly downgraded along with the market distribution; additionally, I accidentally noticed that NDX has been continuously marked...
Translated
+19
14
Liquidation:
$Summit Therapeutics (SMMT.US)$ (-0.333%) Stopped out on Monday, Account lost 0.333%.
$BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI.US)$ (+2.48%) Hard stop loss hit on Monday, Sold the last 1/3 position, Account gained 2.48%.
$Gorilla Technology (GRRR.US)$ On Tuesday, a hard stop loss was triggered, automatically selling the remaining half position, resulting in a profit of 2.36% for the account.
$BlackBerry (BB.US)$ On Tuesday, a hard stop loss was triggered, selling the remaining half position, resulting in a profit of 1.56% for the account.
$Neonode (NEON.US)$ (+0.026%) A stop-loss order was triggered on Friday, exiting in a fluctuation, with the account gaining 0.026%.
$Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US)$ (short +4.59%) On Monday, Tuesday, Thursday, and Friday, the remaining 5/7 of the Short Sell position was closed in four transactions using intermediate strength, resulting in a profit of 4.59% for the account over 8 trading days.
Review the start to the end of this Trade:
1. When seeing a Short Sell opportunity due to multiple conditions overlapping (resistance gap, excessive extension, huge Volume at the high point), decisively cleared the long position that was a long-term issue;
2. Used a 1-minute chart to find the huge trading volume for the sprint to the high point in the second half...
$Summit Therapeutics (SMMT.US)$ (-0.333%) Stopped out on Monday, Account lost 0.333%.
$BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI.US)$ (+2.48%) Hard stop loss hit on Monday, Sold the last 1/3 position, Account gained 2.48%.
$Gorilla Technology (GRRR.US)$ On Tuesday, a hard stop loss was triggered, automatically selling the remaining half position, resulting in a profit of 2.36% for the account.
$BlackBerry (BB.US)$ On Tuesday, a hard stop loss was triggered, selling the remaining half position, resulting in a profit of 1.56% for the account.
$Neonode (NEON.US)$ (+0.026%) A stop-loss order was triggered on Friday, exiting in a fluctuation, with the account gaining 0.026%.
$Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US)$ (short +4.59%) On Monday, Tuesday, Thursday, and Friday, the remaining 5/7 of the Short Sell position was closed in four transactions using intermediate strength, resulting in a profit of 4.59% for the account over 8 trading days.
Review the start to the end of this Trade:
1. When seeing a Short Sell opportunity due to multiple conditions overlapping (resistance gap, excessive extension, huge Volume at the high point), decisively cleared the long position that was a long-term issue;
2. Used a 1-minute chart to find the huge trading volume for the sprint to the high point in the second half...
Translated
+6
8
Taking profits is neither too early nor too late, there is no need to be conflicted;
This is already close to the overlapping price of the 50MA and the gap, and also the initial maximum Target Price;
Short Sell requires paying interest, and there's no need to Hold for too long. 🚴🏻
$Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US)$
This is already close to the overlapping price of the 50MA and the gap, and also the initial maximum Target Price;
Short Sell requires paying interest, and there's no need to Hold for too long. 🚴🏻
$Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US)$
Translated
9
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![[loading]](data:image/svg+xml;base64,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)