Last week in review 👉🏻Market Review+Position Analysis (08/07-12/07 2024)
“Keep an eye on your portfolio and be careful when you start experiencing unusual behavior.” -Mark Minervini
A quick review of this week's markets:
$NASDAQ 100 Index(.NDX.US)$ distributed on Wednesday;
$S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ Raise funds on Tuesday and distribute on Wednesday;
$Russell 2000 Index(.RUT.US)$ Attracting funds on Monday and Tuesday;
RUT>SPX>NDX.
On Monday and Tuesday, the market overheated response to Trump's assassination last weekend, and then drastically revised over the next three days; judging from the trading volume for the next three days, NDX and SPX were both large trading volumes, while RUT was relatively small. The rotation was further confirmed here; BTC-related, biotech, housing construction, finance and other fields gradually showed strength, and money continued to work in an orderly manner during the summer.
Weekly chart:
NDX has been corrected to around the 10-week line, and SPX is back below the channel pressure line, all with large trading volumes and incremental volumes; although the RUT is not looking good, given the excessive crazy gains of the previous few days and is in the early stages of breaking through after two years of consolidation, there is no need to worry too much about this candle pattern.
Personal breadth records:
The trend of healthy breadth is still very much maintained...

In a week of significant fluctuations, VIX's real volatility reached a new high since the bank crash in March 2023. Based on the experience of the past year and a half, I decided to delay making decisions on some individual stocks. I need to see the stock's performance when the actual volatility stabilizes (at least 3 days) to make a decision.
This week's deals 👇
Reduction/Clearance:
$First Solar(FSLR.US)$ (-0.36%) A normal stop-loss exit, a breakthrough after a pullback, and no trading volume support. Future decisions on similar trades need to be made earlier and more decisive, so that losses can be avoided/reduced, and account losses of 0.36% can be avoided.
$TG Therapeutics(TGTX.US)$ The stock price has risen 30% since the purchase point, and selling 20% of the original position protects profits and increases the fault tolerance rate in the future.
$Royal Caribbean(RCL.US)$ (+1.24%) Touched the upper edge of the channel upward again this week, so it was decided to sell the remaining half of the position and leave the market. It has been holding for a long time. The return is more than 4 times the original risk, and the account profit is 1.24%.
$Amazon(AMZN.US)$ (-0.2%) Normal stop-loss exit. In fact, a signal was given on the penultimate sixth day before the exit. It broke through the tight flag in the case of a large trading volume. I was still living in a fantasy and turned a blind eye 😅, and my account lost 0.2%.
$Hims & Hers Health(HIMS.US)$ (-0.3%) and F...

Last week in review 👉🏻Market Review+Position Analysis (01/07-05/07 2024)
A major incident occurred today (Sunday). Former 🇺🇸 President Trump was shot by a sniper. Almost GG. Let's see how the capital market interprets the impact of this incident next week 👇
A quick review of this week's markets:
$NASDAQ 100 Index(.NDX.US)$ Funding is attracted on Monday, disagreements on Tuesday, and distributed on Thursday;
$S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ Disagreements on Monday and Tuesday, distributed on Thursday;
$Russell 2000 Index(.RUT.US)$ We attract funds every week, three days a week, and four days.
RUT>SPX>NDX.
There was an obvious large-scale transfer of capital on Thursday. Judging from the results, fund managers quickly deleveraged large stocks and quickly established positions in small and medium-sized stocks at the same time. The market breadth reached a major inflection point on Thursday and Friday. If this market continues and RUT forms a higher consolidation range during the fall (September/October) market consolidation, it will open a gold trading window for traders.
Weekly chart:
NDX and SPX can accept a slight downward adjustment in the future, and sideways trading will be a stronger symbol; the RUT closing price has broken out of the consolidation range of more than 2 years, and now it is necessary to continue the current upward strength to prove the effectiveness of the start of the market.
Market sentiment:
Before opening on Thursday...

There were a lot of trades this week, but let's take a look at my recent personal record on market breadth, which records the daily number of stocks with prices above 50MA and 200MA stocks on the market and stocks priced at the same time below 50MA and 200MA; this numerical record showed clear positive changes this Thursday and Friday, and it would be significant if it could maintain this state for 3-6 weeks in the future.
Back to stocks
Reduction/Clearance:
$Western Digital(WDC.US)$ (+0.13%) It was the first to clear this “fuel tank” on Monday, that is, it had no good performance or great potential. It was resolutely removed, cash was withdrawn, and the account made a profit of 0.13%.
$iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT.US)$ (-0.1%) This attempt at the 2B structure was shaken out due to the stop-loss setting too close, and the account lost 0.1%.
$Kaspi.kz(KSPI.US)$ (+0.01%) It raised its stop loss on Monday and fluctuated out on Tuesday. Its lack of liquidity was a major factor in not wanting to continue entangling, and it almost left the market in break-even balance.
$Crocs(CROX.US)$ (-0.17%) The stop loss line was raised on Monday, and the stop loss was out on Tuesday, getting rid of another “fuel bottle”, and the account lost 0.17%
$Shift4 Payments(FOUR.US)$ (-0...

Last week in review 👉🏻Market Review+Position Analysis (24/06-28/06 2024)
A quick look at this week's markets:
$NASDAQ 100 Index(.NDX.US)$ Attracting funds on Friday;
$S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ Attracting funds on Friday;
$Russell 2000 Index(.RUT.US)$ Dispatched on Fridays.
NDX>SPX>RUT.
Although NDX and SPX seem very high at the moment, don't take it for granted to be bearish on the market for the following reasons 👇
MSFT and APPL are indeed overextended, and a sideways or minor correction is possible; NVDA currently has a chance of moving to the next level on a small new platform; AMZN and META have just shown strength to break through record highs; GOOG and NFLX are still moving up the first level; AMD has just broken through from the bull flag of status...
RUT currently has an extremely tight structure, and I am still optimistic that there is a chance that it will break through before interest rates are cut.
Weekly chart:
NDX and SPX are being tested at the edge of the limit and are even breaking the limit. There is a chance that this situation will continue for a few weeks until it tells us it doesn't work; the RUT is still tightly attached to 30MA and appears to be waiting for a catalyst.
Market sentiment:
This Wednesday's data showed that the ratio of watching bulls and watching bears decreased slightly at the same time, showing that market participants are looking in both directions...

Response to shocks:
$Super Micro Computer(SMCI.US)$ Continuing to use the strategy of dealing with shocks. After falling below the stop loss, it was bought back after falling back above the original stop loss line. Currently, the price is above the three moving averages. The moving average is extremely condensed, and the trading volume has dried up in the past three days. Keep watching to see if it will take action this summer.
add:
$Marathon Digital(MARA.US)$ On Monday, when it broke through the dense zone, the trading volume for the day was also very good. The next few days were affected by the escalation of BTC panic, and fell rapidly. It recovered slightly on Friday, and the last three days were relatively flat. Currently, the price remains above 50MA, and the moving average is still condensing. We will see how the price acts next week.
$iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT.US)$ (Account risk 0.1%) BTC panic was released sharply on Friday. At the opening of the BTC market, it had already dived below its previous low. At that time, plans for 2B structured transactions began. When the price returned to the previous low, the purchase was bought, and the stop loss of 0.7 US dollars took advantage of 0.1% account risk, which was extremely cost-effective.
Here are all of this week's deals.
There are very few deals this week. I've seen many breakthroughs with low trading volume or excessive extension, but I'm not interested in participating; currently, I'm still concentrating on tracking the names the operator already holds. Maybe “Diamonds are in your backyard” 🕵️‍♂️🔎💎

First quarter link 👉🏻2024 First Quarter Summary and Reflections 👇
Second quarter monthly earnings chart:
There was a slight loss in April and a slight profit in May; the overall trading results were quite difficult.
Second quarter yield curve:
Total loss of 0.51%, lagging behind the overall market (SPX +4.13%)
YTD YIELD YIELD CURVE:
It has continued to lead the market since the beginning of the year, and the magnitude has been brought closer.
Top 5 winners in the second quarter:
$ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas(BOIL.US)$ （+4.2%) After 2 months of operation, it has experienced a wave of upward trend. The core position is about 3.X%, which brought 4.2% profit to the account. Currently, there are no positions. Another small position, a big contribution, but the overall operation is very exhausting for part-time traders.
$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$ （+2.47%) Using about 8% of the position, a wave of upward trend riding for about 3 weeks contributed 2.47% profit to the account. Currently, he has no positions. He continues to be optimistic about him in the future, and wait patiently for the next setup opportunity.
$Royal Caribbean(RCL.US)$ （+0.95%) Up to now, it has brought 0.95% profit to the account, and currently 1/2 of the position is still riding.
$Netflix(NFLX.US)$ （+0.72%) Currently bringing 0.72% to the account...

Last week in review 👉🏻Market Review+Position Analysis (17/06-21/06 2024)
A quick review of this week's markets:
$NASDAQ 100 Index(.NDX.US)$ distributed on Fridays;
$S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ distributed on Fridays;
$Russell 2000 Index(.RUT.US)$ Attracting funds on Friday.
RUT>SPX>NDX.
This week, RUT was used to replace DJI for broader analysis. The market breadth improved slightly this week. I was impressed by the sharp contrast between RUT's efforts in the last 30 minutes of Friday and NDX/SPX behavior.
Weekly chart: NDX and SPX raised last week's new high by 1 centimeter, and the Big Three companies are currently not very attractive; RUT seems to be building a launch platform near the 30-week line, and we should see it launch before interest rates are cut.
Market sentiment:
Benefiting from a slight recovery in the AAII bear-watching ratio after Wednesday's session, the market's trend on Thursday and Friday was relatively good. Remember to check before Thursday 👀
Fear & Greed Index: Still below 50, but there is a slight improvement in breadth.
Current profit and loss ratio of positions:
wherein $Carvana(CVNA.US)$ (RS 99) $Kaspi.kz(KSPI.US)$ （...