Last week review 👉🏻Market Review + Hold Positions (03/02-07/02 2025)
Market behavior this week:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ Distributions on Tuesday and Wednesday; accumulation on Thursday;
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ and $Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ Distributed on Wednesday, accumulated on Thursday.
SPX > NDX > RUT.
The terrible CPI data on Wednesday caused the market to plunge at the opening, but it rebounded back up from intraday to close, demonstrating a strong upward trend; after an elusive 4T VCP, NDX finally reached a new high, SPX returned to the highest level range, and the moving averages are almost about to become positively ordered, while RUT formed a higher low in the second base; all of the above feedback shows a strong willingness of the market to go up. 🚴🏻
Weekly Charts:
There has been no change, and the upward trend remains strong; for a long time, the RUT has accumulated energy for 8 weeks, waiting to see when it starts to release it.
Breadth:
Only Wednesday is in red, serving as a watershed in distinguishing the strength of individual stocks, and good names will be retained in the 2362.
Weekly Notes:
Change of RS in trading names within the system: UNFI +1.
Market Sentiment:
Since last week when AAII reached a record red, this week red has set another record, with the Put ratio reaching a new high again, and at the same time the market has reached a new high... For me, nothing is better than this; the counter-trend market behavior on Thursday was strong, and the week...
Market behavior this week:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ Distributions on Tuesday and Wednesday; accumulation on Thursday;
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ and $Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ Distributed on Wednesday, accumulated on Thursday.
SPX > NDX > RUT.
The terrible CPI data on Wednesday caused the market to plunge at the opening, but it rebounded back up from intraday to close, demonstrating a strong upward trend; after an elusive 4T VCP, NDX finally reached a new high, SPX returned to the highest level range, and the moving averages are almost about to become positively ordered, while RUT formed a higher low in the second base; all of the above feedback shows a strong willingness of the market to go up. 🚴🏻
Weekly Charts:
There has been no change, and the upward trend remains strong; for a long time, the RUT has accumulated energy for 8 weeks, waiting to see when it starts to release it.
Breadth:
Only Wednesday is in red, serving as a watershed in distinguishing the strength of individual stocks, and good names will be retained in the 2362.
Weekly Notes:
Change of RS in trading names within the system: UNFI +1.
Market Sentiment:
Since last week when AAII reached a record red, this week red has set another record, with the Put ratio reaching a new high again, and at the same time the market has reached a new high... For me, nothing is better than this; the counter-trend market behavior on Thursday was strong, and the week...
Translated
+20
1
Liquidation:
$Ginkgo Bioworks (DNA.US)$ (+0.447%) On Monday, the original Buy price was breached, and 2/3 of the position was exited at breakeven, resulting in an Account profit of 0.447%.
$DLocal (DLO.US)$ (+0.36%) The symbol's ATR was insufficient, voluntarily exited on Monday, yielding an Account profit of 0.36%.
$Butterfly Network (BFLY.US)$ (-0.357%) On Monday, the Stop Limit Order was triggered, leading to an exit in a volatile market, resulting in a loss of 0.357% in the Account.
$Hesai (HSAI.US)$ (-0.28%) On Monday, a gap was filled after the Buy, leading to an exit in a volatile market, resulting in a loss of 0.28% in the Account.
$ASP Isotopes (ASPI.US)$ (-0.311%) On Monday, the Stop Limit Order for buying was triggered by the cheating platform breakthrough, leading to an exit on Tuesday, resulting in a loss of 0.311% in the Account.
$Archer Aviation (ACHR.US)$ (-0.581%) On Monday, the Buy was triggered by the cheating dense area breakthrough, and on Tuesday, a manual Stop Loss was executed before market open due to a sudden significant decline prior to the market open, leading to a premium loss in the Sell, resulting in a loss of 0.581% in the Account.
$Amprius Technologies (AMPX.US)$ (-0.318%) On Tuesday, fell below the Stop Limit Order, resulting in a loss of 0.318% in the Account.
$Rocket Lab (RKLB.US)$ （-0.296%）...
$Ginkgo Bioworks (DNA.US)$ (+0.447%) On Monday, the original Buy price was breached, and 2/3 of the position was exited at breakeven, resulting in an Account profit of 0.447%.
$DLocal (DLO.US)$ (+0.36%) The symbol's ATR was insufficient, voluntarily exited on Monday, yielding an Account profit of 0.36%.
$Butterfly Network (BFLY.US)$ (-0.357%) On Monday, the Stop Limit Order was triggered, leading to an exit in a volatile market, resulting in a loss of 0.357% in the Account.
$Hesai (HSAI.US)$ (-0.28%) On Monday, a gap was filled after the Buy, leading to an exit in a volatile market, resulting in a loss of 0.28% in the Account.
$ASP Isotopes (ASPI.US)$ (-0.311%) On Monday, the Stop Limit Order for buying was triggered by the cheating platform breakthrough, leading to an exit on Tuesday, resulting in a loss of 0.311% in the Account.
$Archer Aviation (ACHR.US)$ (-0.581%) On Monday, the Buy was triggered by the cheating dense area breakthrough, and on Tuesday, a manual Stop Loss was executed before market open due to a sudden significant decline prior to the market open, leading to a premium loss in the Sell, resulting in a loss of 0.581% in the Account.
$Amprius Technologies (AMPX.US)$ (-0.318%) On Tuesday, fell below the Stop Limit Order, resulting in a loss of 0.318% in the Account.
$Rocket Lab (RKLB.US)$ （-0.296%）...
Translated
+18
7
2
The real acceleration of the decline starts from below the 50MA, such 'low probability events' will bring a double blow to your wallet and mental level, the stop loss you initially set always has its meaning...🚴🏻
Translated
3
Last week review 👉🏻Market Review + Positions Held (27/01-31/01 2025)
Market behavior this week:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ Payday on Friday;
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ Accumulation on Wednesday;
$Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ Accumulation on Wednesday, distribution on Thursday and Friday.
spx
ndx
rut
The market this week has almost replicated last week's trend, experiencing a Monday plunge for two consecutive weeks. It seems highly probable that next week will see a repeat. Whether or not, as long as the FTD on January 15th is not broken, there is no need to abandon this upward trend. RUT has a solid base formation at a low level (two consecutive ones), still intact. If it can rise above the 50MA, it will indicate readiness. The scanner still shows many good setups, especially those individuals who have been above the 50MA for the past two weeks. Keep tracking and filtering.
Weekly Charts:
The upward trend is still holding up well. If you are worried about whether it is a bubble, there are clues in the monthly chart of NDX below.
NDX monthly (pay attention to the trajectory before the bubbles of 2000 and 2008 set off)
Breadth:
Slight shaking in progress.
Weekly Notes:
Trading within the system RS change: DLO-1, BB+2.
Market Sentiment:
AAII周三看跌比例来到了近1年最高，这是我喜欢的数据，本周四有反情绪市场行为,周五停止；
恐慌指...
Market behavior this week:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ Payday on Friday;
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ Accumulation on Wednesday;
$Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ Accumulation on Wednesday, distribution on Thursday and Friday.
spx
ndx
rut
The market this week has almost replicated last week's trend, experiencing a Monday plunge for two consecutive weeks. It seems highly probable that next week will see a repeat. Whether or not, as long as the FTD on January 15th is not broken, there is no need to abandon this upward trend. RUT has a solid base formation at a low level (two consecutive ones), still intact. If it can rise above the 50MA, it will indicate readiness. The scanner still shows many good setups, especially those individuals who have been above the 50MA for the past two weeks. Keep tracking and filtering.
Weekly Charts:
The upward trend is still holding up well. If you are worried about whether it is a bubble, there are clues in the monthly chart of NDX below.
NDX monthly (pay attention to the trajectory before the bubbles of 2000 and 2008 set off)
Breadth:
Slight shaking in progress.
Weekly Notes:
Trading within the system RS change: DLO-1, BB+2.
Market Sentiment:
AAII周三看跌比例来到了近1年最高，这是我喜欢的数据，本周四有反情绪市场行为,周五停止；
恐慌指...
Translated
+20
20
In the example of GRRR: On the day of purchase, the 22-day average ATR was $2.416 (14%), with the actual stop loss at $1 (5.84%), resulting in a three-fold difference of 24.48%.
In the example of PDYN: On the day of purchase, the 22-day average ATR was $1.5 (16.8%), with the actual stop loss at $0.5 (5.6%), resulting in a three-fold difference of 33.6%.
In the example of PDYN: On the day of purchase, the 22-day average ATR was $1.5 (16.8%), with the actual stop loss at $0.5 (5.6%), resulting in a three-fold difference of 33.6%.
Translated
4
Yesterday, M.M's exchange interview at IBD was good👉🏻 - YouTube
Liquidation:
$Block (XYZ.US)$ (-0.194%) On Monday, stopped out due to stop loss, Account loss of 0.194%.
$Rocket Lab (RKLB.US)$ (-0.252%) Lessons learned from last week, manually Sell on Monday before the market likely triggered the stop loss, Account loss of 0.252%.
$Joby Aviation (JOBY.US)$ (-0.285%) Manual clearing before the market opened on Monday, Account loss of 0.285%.
$Eos Energy (EOSE.US)$ (-0.403%) Manual clearing before the market opened on Monday, Account loss of 0.403%.
$TheRealReal (REAL.US)$ (-0.31%) Stop loss was breached on Monday, Account loss of 0.31%.
$PSQ Holdings (PSQH.US)$ (-0.295%) Stop loss was triggered on Monday, exited in volatility, Account loss of 0.295%.
$Tempus AI (TEM.US)$ ( -0.281% ) On Tuesday, there was a gap up during buying, using a gap defense with a 0.3% Account risk, and was shaken out the same day (while concurrently trading PLTR on a 1-5 minute chart, so it was handled very simply), resulting in a loss of 0.281% in the Account.
$Sable Offshore (SOC.US)$ （+0.355%）...
Liquidation:
$Block (XYZ.US)$ (-0.194%) On Monday, stopped out due to stop loss, Account loss of 0.194%.
$Rocket Lab (RKLB.US)$ (-0.252%) Lessons learned from last week, manually Sell on Monday before the market likely triggered the stop loss, Account loss of 0.252%.
$Joby Aviation (JOBY.US)$ (-0.285%) Manual clearing before the market opened on Monday, Account loss of 0.285%.
$Eos Energy (EOSE.US)$ (-0.403%) Manual clearing before the market opened on Monday, Account loss of 0.403%.
$TheRealReal (REAL.US)$ (-0.31%) Stop loss was breached on Monday, Account loss of 0.31%.
$PSQ Holdings (PSQH.US)$ (-0.295%) Stop loss was triggered on Monday, exited in volatility, Account loss of 0.295%.
$Tempus AI (TEM.US)$ ( -0.281% ) On Tuesday, there was a gap up during buying, using a gap defense with a 0.3% Account risk, and was shaken out the same day (while concurrently trading PLTR on a 1-5 minute chart, so it was handled very simply), resulting in a loss of 0.281% in the Account.
$Sable Offshore (SOC.US)$ （+0.355%）...
Translated
+18
6
3
All the information you need is in the chart.
Price patterns and trading volume are the most authentic news.
This is where you need to stay focused 👇
It must be mentioned again: the essence of K.K's trading career insights 👇
Regarding sector rotation in a bull market... Just follow the setup, you don't need to worry too much, just follow the setup and stick to your sell rules... You will catch those rotations without overthinking. What you really need to do is focus on good setups... You don't need to know what is happening in the world, you don't need to know what Trump is doing, you don't need to know what China is doing, you don't need to know about planetary movements... You really don't need to know too much. If you want to get rich through trading, what you need is focus, you need to concentrate on the right things. –– @Qullamaggie
Price patterns and trading volume are the most authentic news.
This is where you need to stay focused 👇
It must be mentioned again: the essence of K.K's trading career insights 👇
Regarding sector rotation in a bull market... Just follow the setup, you don't need to worry too much, just follow the setup and stick to your sell rules... You will catch those rotations without overthinking. What you really need to do is focus on good setups... You don't need to know what is happening in the world, you don't need to know what Trump is doing, you don't need to know what China is doing, you don't need to know about planetary movements... You really don't need to know too much. If you want to get rich through trading, what you need is focus, you need to concentrate on the right things. –– @Qullamaggie
Translated
7
Take GRND as an example:
The chart structure is perfect,
However,
Average ATR on the 22nd: 0.542, 20-day average line: 17.433;
ATR=0.542/17.433=3.1% <5%;
ATR of 3.1% indicates moderate volatility, names at a moderate level of volatility are more likely to receive moderate returns;
If your long-term goal is outstanding returns, what you need are outstanding names, their ATR will hardly be below 5% 🚴🏻
The chart structure is perfect,
However,
Average ATR on the 22nd: 0.542, 20-day average line: 17.433;
ATR=0.542/17.433=3.1% <5%;
ATR of 3.1% indicates moderate volatility, names at a moderate level of volatility are more likely to receive moderate returns;
If your long-term goal is outstanding returns, what you need are outstanding names, their ATR will hardly be below 5% 🚴🏻
Translated
3
Today has already moved down from the range and started to move away from the 50MA. To avoid financial or time losses, avoiding it is not a difficult decision, the recovery of the chart structure takes time 🚴🏻⏰
Translated
26
It won't be easy to enter them, be prepared to face continuous harassment from the market, but do not be provoked, always focusing on price behavior. 🚴🏻
The above is only a part, there are many more...
The above is only a part, there are many more...
Translated
+12
2
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