Until now, I have occasionally commented on the transmission of conspiracy theories and crash theories.
There are no comments on the caller.
Conspiracy theories and crash theories get a lot of attention, and PV and views can be earned.
Thank you and I am also grateful for introducing such detailed data.
It is also praised for being able to look at such detailed data.
Readers and viewers will become followers and will also buy paid content.
It's legal, and viewers are happy, so it's a win win.
I think it's a great monetization model.
I'm not saying anything about the outfield.
Opportunities may have been lost due to watching too many conspiracy theories and crash theories, but investing is at your own risk.
So why am I commenting?
That's because my viewers are anxious and listen to it.
According to that comment, they talk about trivial information (from my point of view) as a sign of economic collapse.
Moreover, the explanations are based on English articles and numbers, and it seems to be persuasive.
The main methods are as follows.
・Numbers don't lie, but as there is a saying that fraudsters use numbers, take a close up look at numbers that make you uneasy...

Economic activity in the first quarter expanded at a moderate pace. In recent months, the increase in employment has been solid, and the unemployment rate remains low. The inflation rate remains at a high level. The banking system in the USA is sound and resilient. The deterioration of household and corporate credit conditions is believed to weigh heavily on economic activity, employment, and inflation. The extent of these impacts remains uncertain. The committee continues to have a high level of concern over inflation risks. The committee aims to achieve maximum employment and 2% inflation in the long run. In support of these goals, the committee has decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 5-5-1/4%. The committee will carefully monitor incoming information and assess its impact on monetary policy. When determining the degree of additional policy tightening needed to return the inflation rate to 2% in the long run, the committee will consider the cumulative tightening of monetary policy, the lags with which monetary policy affects economic activity and inflation, and the economic and financial conditions. Furthermore, as previously announced in the plan, the committee plans to continue reducing the holdings of Treasury securities, government agency bonds, and government agency mortgage-backed securities. The committee is strongly committed to returning the inflation rate to the 2% target. In evaluating the appropriate stance of monetary policy, the committee will continue to monitor the impact of incoming information on the economic outlook. The committee stands ready to adjust the stance of monetary policy appropriately if risks emerge that could hinder the achievement of the committee's goals. The committee's assessment will involve considering a wide range of information, including labor market conditions, inflation pressures and expectations, and financial and international developments.

In conclusion, the FOMC in June is hundreds of times more exciting than May ‼️
Pow has almost factored in interest rate hikes of 0.25% in the May FOMC. This became the terminal rate in June, and the focus has already shifted to whether interest rate hikes will finally stop.
Also, there is a surprise production cut in the Middle East, and the impact will come out after May, and attention is being paid to how to determine the labor market that is still strong and issue an SEP (economic outlook) at the June FOMC. Let's be prepared that the possibility that the 5.1% terminal rate issued by the March FOMC will be revised upward is not zero either.
Now, at the end of April before the FOMC, an important index called the “employment cost index” is about to be announced once every 3 months, and I would like to emphasize that if this is strong, it is a factor that will increase the possibility of interest rate hikes in June. There isn't much focus on other media, so I'm going to share it with you here. This is an excerpt from my humble book “Super Discussion Series,” which was published in a note at the end of the year, and the following shows which items in the labor market the Fed is paying particular attention to.
“What are the components that have broken down the labor market...